Disnardo

"danmarino wrote:

Our baby boy was born 6/21/2017. He was 2 weeks early, but he weighed in at 9lbs 2oz. He and mamma are both doing great! He's our 5th child, but first boy. :)

Late to the party, but happy to say congrats. Wishing the best for the growing family...

Grilling Churascos (skirt steaks) and some Argentine sausages as well... and to wash them down... Stellas.... Becks... Sam Adams....

Not being picky...:chuckle:

"Unlucky 13 wrote:

With the double negative, is he inferring that he does in fact see someone stopping us? :whistling:

Go Fins :lol:

Sometimes you wonder why they play the game... GO PHINS....

"KeyFin wrote:

Sure, let's look at the numbers.

Week one, Seattle scores 12 points while we leave 17 on the field due to inexperience in a new offense, first game jitters or whatever you want to call it. We lost, but Miami beat the crap out of this 9-5 team.

Week two, New England obliterates us in the first half. Miami comes out on fire with adjustments across the board, and we miss overtime by a pass that Parker never even tried to catch. We lost again, but you could see it in Belichek's eyes....his 13-2 team had no answers for us.

Weeks 3-5, we took the field with a college-level offensive line. It was ugly and people were fired; it's hard to eve count these games as being actual games. Miraculously, we won one contest against a very bad team.

Weeks 6-7, both Pitt and Buffalo were on win streaks and ranked within the top 7 league wide. We had lost four of five and not expected to compete. Both wins were decisive.

Week 14, the Ravens beat the brakes off us. This was the only loss of the entire season where we had something resembling starters on the field and didn't make it a game.

So yes, we beat some bad teams and some average ones too. But if we replayed Seattle today, Stills makes that TD catch. Franks makes at least one of those missed field goals. We win that one easily. And for New England? Well, we'll find out this Sunday if Miami is "the best of the rest" or a legitimate contender. But make no mistake- the sub .500 stat lies to you in many different ways...we have beat quality teams this season when they were at their very best.

I am right with you on this, its your point of view as well as PF1968...

"Brasfin wrote:

You're contradicting yourself. First you said (paraphrasing) we're beating bad teams and that means we're not as good, then you say "you are what your record says you are", and here we are at 10-5. Which is it?

You can't believe both things at the same time...

Again I am not saying that we are a bad team, but we have for the most part beaten bad teams... That is the record that I am talking about... and what I stated in the first posting, as to why I don't feel confident about this team till we get half way through next Season (2017)... start beating 50% of the good teams and I am starting to pay attention and smiling a lot...

Just like in 2008... We were 11-5 and won the AFCE... that was great, but when it came to the PS we got killed again by the Ravens... we did not have the talent to make up for it... and the excuse was by everyone that our Strength of Schedule was what made our record that season... Yes we won 11 games that year, but for the most part it was against bad teams...

"PhinFan1968 wrote:

Ya the problem with the post you're answering to, was there was zero context, yet it was being presented as "logical."

You made some good points, and there's several other good points that argue against the "they only beat losers" argument. For one, if we don't sweep the Jills, they're .500+. They're a team that beat NE at NE, and ALMOST beat Seattle at Seattle, yet we swept them. Does it make "logical" sense just off that fact? No, that's why context is required.

And that other post had zero.

You are what your record says you are PF... sure on any given Sunday Cleveland can win... and we were lucky to beat them... is that lucky or logic??? there is your context...

Look I am happy as hell we are in the Post Season... just not carried away with the way the season has gone...

Guys and gals I love what Gase has done with this team and its fans...

If you don't want the wind on your sails to be stolen, please don't read the following...

I want to believe, but I have to look at it logically...

The 10 games this team has won has been mostly against teams that are sub .500 (except for Pit)... 50-99 record, combined 33 winning %...

The only victory against a wining team was against Pit (currently 10-5), everyone one else have a combined 40-94 record... a combined 28 winning %...

I want to believe that this team has turned the corner for the future, but will have to settle for the now, till next year....

"Aqua4Ever04 wrote:

Had a late night thought last night, as I am one to do.

But if we beat the Ravens and Cardinals, we play the Jets on Saturday night. Win that game and you're 10-4.

The next day, the Broncos and Patriots play.

Let's assume New England beats both Los Angeles and Baltimore and let's assume the Broncos beat both Jacksonville and Tennessee.

If that's the case, we'd be 10-4, Denver would be 10-4 and New England would 12-2.

Who are we rooting for in that game? A Patriots win puts us one win against Buffalo from assuring playoffs but a Broncos win puts us two wins away from a division crown?

I would be scared as hell of playing the Patriots in the divisional round if we knock them off week 17. Belichick doesn't often lose to a team twice in the same year.

Never say never Travis... Never say never...

What ever the circumstances culture change, offensive planning, coaching, roster talent, etc. can have an impact on the team performance...

Noticed this little bit of fact concerning the teams performance over the last 3 years...

In games where run attempts were at least 25 attempts per game this year, the team is currently 6-0...
under 25 attempts per game and they are 1-4...

In games where run attempts were at least 25 attempts per game in 2015, the team was 5-1...
under 25 attempts per game and they were 1-9...

In games where run attempts were at least 25 attempts per game in 2014, the team was 4-1...
under 25 attempts per game and they were 3-8...

Whatever the situation was for this team to limit themselves from a ground game of over 25 attempts per game, the last 3 years should be one of the reasons why it has done poorly within that time-frame...

Over the last 2 and 2/3 years this team has been 15-2 (88% wins) when rushing at least 25 times a game...
and is 5-21 (19 wins) when they don't reach that target...

My guess is one can go back 5-10 years and see if there is still that pattern to a loosing record...

I know that the NFL wants to make teams pass more to score more points... but for the record and for this franchise over the last few years...

Passing more did not equate to more victories...

Giving my 2 cents worth for the first time in this thread...

The Dolphins remaining Opponents and their played S.O.S. (Strength of Schedule)...

Starting with the Ravens who are currently 6-5...
Baltimore's 6 game wins have been against opponents this year who have had won a total 31% of their games (or 17 of 55 games), while losing 5 games against opponents who have won a total of 67% of their games (36 out of 54 games)...

Arizona who is currently 4-6-1 (36% wins)...
Cardinal's 4 game wins have been against opponents this year who have had won a total 30% of their games (or 10 of 33 games), while losing 6 games against opponents who have won a total of 60% of their games (36 out of 66 games)...

N. Y. Jets who are currently 3-8 (27% wins)...
Jets 3 game wins have been against opponents this year who have had won a total 35% of their games (or 12 of 34 games), while losing 8 games against opponents who have won a total of 56% of their games (48 out of 85 games)...

Bill who are currently 6-5 (55% wins)...
Bills 6 game wins have been against opponents this year who have had won a total 36% of their games (or 23 of 64 games), while losing 5 games against opponents who have won a total of 59% of their games (32 out of 54 games)...

and NE who is currently 9-2 (82% wins)...
Patriots 9 game wins have been against opponents this year who have had won a total 37% of their games (or 36 of 98 games), while losing 2 games against opponents who have won a total of 62% of their games (13 out of 21 games)...

Now for those wondering, Miami is currently 7-4 (63% Wins)...
Miami's 7 game wins have been against opponents this year who have had won a total 32% of their games (or 25 of 78 games), while losing 4 games against opponents who have won a total of 58% of their games (25 out of 43 games)...

Now don't really know what all these numbers mean, and I mean that it all depends how an individual sees it. An individual would see that barring circumstances (roster deficiencies, weather, etc...) the Phins can win 4 out of the next 5 games or lose 3 out of the 5 or as they have done in previous Decembers lose 4 out of 5...

So sorry with your loss 407...

He will be missed around these parts... Again my condolences and prayers to you and your family....

"Ohiophinphan wrote:

A very happy, healthy, and blessed Thanksgiving to all of you and yours.

Happy Thanksgiving to all Football and all sports fans in general...

"ckparrothead wrote:

Right now you have to realize Miami profiles out a lot like they did in 2008. We lost to the good teams (NE and SEA) and have beaten up on the bad to middling teams we've faced (wins vs CLE, PIT, BUF, NYJ, and LAR; losses vs CIN and TEN).

We ended up winning the division back in 2008 because Brady was hurt all year. But I think most of us kind of dreaded what would happen in the playoffs when we face good teams. Sure enough we were booted out, first thing.

I'm not saying history will definitely repeat itself. But certainly on the face of things you'd like it a lot better if Miami had managed to steal one of those games against NE or SEA.

Though I agree with you Chris that it does feel like 2008 there are subtle differences...

For one, that year (2008) the team played most games against Rushing Defenses that were in the lower the ranking (from 16-32)... We are talking about 7 out of the 11 wins were amongst those ranked.

This year (2016), so far in rankings, only 2 wins were against teams in these lower rankings (16-32)...

In 2008 this team in those 11 wins scored an average of 9 points per game in the 3rd and 4th quarters combined (2nd half)...

This year (2016) in those 6 wins they are scoring an average of 17 points per game combined in the 2nd half...

"finfansince72 wrote:

Man, generally speaking we have not played well with Pouncey and Albert out. Our oline has been pretty damn bad without those two out there. I do think we can win a 14-10 game where the offense doesn't play that well and the protection doesn't hold up all day but we can't turn the ball over in a game like that. I think this is a real test today despite the Rams not being that good. The playoff picture looks a hell of lot brighter at 6-4 than 5-5.

That said we had also D. Thomas, J. Jerry and Jason Fox (place any other names here...) anchoring those same lines... Left this line with one decent lineman in James...

Not saying it won't be easy, but hopefully we still have a decent 2/3's of an OL with adequate depth...

"Aqua4Ever04 wrote:

Just spent all morning watching the tape and working on this piece. Went into Jay's background from his days in England, to Boise State to almost ruining his chance here to now exploding onto the scene.

His footwork and power are special, fellas. You'll see what I mean by the screen grabs at the bottom of this article.

https://welcometoperfectville.com/2016/10/25/jay-ajayi/

Great job Travis, really enjoyed reading it...

Keep it up....

"CrunchTime wrote:

Though there’s obviously no final decision, the Dolphins, at this point, expect to keep Ryan Tannehill next season. But here’s something that must change: His play within the division.

Tannehill’s AFC East record through 25 games? An unacceptable 8-17.

His passer ratings: a dismal 70.6 against the Jets, 75.6 against the Bills, 81.9 against the Patriots.

Against the AFC East, he has 32 touchdowns, 27 picks and a 76 career rating.

Against the rest of the league, his rating is close to 90, with 61 touchdowns and 34 picks.

You know how many times the Dolphins have topped 20 points in 25 AFC East games in the Tannehill era?

Eight, and he missed most of one of those seven (a 30-9 win against the Jets). So it’s essentially 7 of 24.

More glaring: The Dolphins’ offense couldn’t top 20 points in any of six games against the AFC East last year.

This season, they scored 24 points against the Patriots Sept. 18 because of a furious late rally after faltering throughout the first half.
Of his last 15 games inside the division (during which Miami has been outscored 407-241), Tannehill has had only three good games, three decent ones and nine bad games; his passer rating has been below 80 (usually well below) in eight of them.

Obviously, blame extends well beyond Tannehill, with the defense and offensive line also at fault.

That point shouldn’t be overlooked.

The good news: Tannehill has played well in his last two AFC East games, against the Patriots.

MORE

http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/barry-jackson/article109891017.html

Not really trying to defend Thill... but we really need to understand that during those 24 AFC East games under Thill's tenure (not going to count the game against the Jets in 2012 where he was injured early) the "starting OL" changed in 16 of those 24 games...

2012-OL Starters
J. Long, R. Incognito, M. Pouncey, J. Jerry and J. Martin then J. Martin, R. I, M. P, J. J and N. Garner... (2 OL changes in 5 AFC games)...Record of 1-4...

2013-OL Starters
J. Martin, R. Incognito, M. Pouncey, J. Jerry and T. Clabo then B. McKinney, R. I, M. P, J. J and J. M then J. M, N. Garner, M. P, J. J and T. C then B. McK, S. Brenner, M. P, J. J and T.C... (4 OL changes in 6 AFC games)...Record of 2-4...

2014- OL Starters
B. Albert, D. Colledge, S. Satele, S. Smith, and J. James then J. J, S. Smith, S. S, M. Pouncey and D. Thomas then J. J, D. Colledge, S. S, M. P and D. T then J. J, D. C, S. S, MP, J. Fox... (4 OL changes in 6 AFC games)...Record of 3-3...

2015-OL Starters
J. Fox, D. Thomas, M. Pouncey, J. Douglas, J. James then B. Albert, D. T, M. P, B. Turner, J. J then B. A, D. T, M. P, B. T, and J. F then B. A, D. T, J. D, B. T and J. F... (4 OL changes in 6 AFC games)... Record of 1-5...

2016- OL Starters
B. Albert, L. Tunsil, A. Sheen, J. Bushrod, and J. James then B. A, L. T, M. P, J. B and J. James then (scheduled currently)... (2 OL changes in 2 AFC games)...

We will find out if this current lineup stays mostly healthy and together for the rest of the year. We have this to look forward to see how they compare to the rest of the AFC East opponents Defensive front this year... After all, they say the battle is won in the trenches...

Agree Thill seems to be struggling some today as well..

But can someone tell me if they thought that this team would have to score 28 points a game to HAVE A CHANCE to win???

The new NFL... the 16th ranked team is averaging 22 PPG (Vikings)... the TOP Offensive performances are averaging 27+ PPG and that is 9 teams...

That is what we are facing this year after 4 games... maybe things will come down in PPG as the season goes along...

Any given Sunday has really gotten a meaning this year...

"KB21 wrote:

https://twitter.com/chrisperk/status/785142616711131137

Lord!

This is not the week to evaluate Tannehill.

On the contrary, we can see what he does with what we have... but we have seen that before...

EDITED: I always though you evaluate the QB when he does not have much to work with...

"Boomer wrote:

One thing to think about that Chris and I mulled over a long car journey a couple of weeks back. I would say that in the last 15/18 years we've had five Hall of Fame passers come into the game: Brees, Big Ben, Brady, Manning and Rodgers. Aside from the fact that Miami had two of them and went in different directions - Jamar Fletcher and then Culpepper, and Ronnie Brown - and given those five have won ten SB's between them, you take the QB every time.

Not going to disagree with the results Simon, but one piece of fact that goes with those 10 SB wins is that those SB teams had defenses that only yielded an average of 17 points per game/per season combined for those SB years...

It does help...

"Alex13 wrote:

as much as i love Zach Thomas...i take another Dan Marino 100 out of 100 times before him

No disrespect Alex but the 2001 Baltimore Ravens says "hello"...

and the 2015 Denver Broncos as well... We could look back at many past SB's...

Mark Sanchez says hello as well...

Alex I believe that a good/great QB can win enough games through the Regular Season to make the Play-offs...

BUT... you will need a good/great Defense to WIN CHAMPIONSHIPS...

You need enough leaders and playmakers on D to make it to the Super-bowl...

Marino said it, it would be easy to make it to the next SB after the 49rs'... What happened afterwards, was he never had a Defense to help him get there again...

Just my two cents worth...