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cbrad's Recent Activity

  1. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    Yards per game is not a good measure of a RB's ability, at least for shorter periods of time like a season or two, because: 1) it...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 2:22 PM
  2. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    What?? There's arguably more data supporting what I said. All the statistical significance data, the z-score argument showing...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 1:43 PM
  3. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    Right.. which is one reason why I can't make a purely statistical argument – the comparisons aren't symmetric. The other reason is...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 12:38 PM
  4. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    No it actually would, assuming the comparisons were truly comparable. Ignore for the moment that the comparisons aren't symmetric (e.g.,...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 12:15 PM
  5. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    That's why it's an opinion. Same is true for the opposing argument.

    Mar 31, 2020 at 11:50 AM
  6. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    Yes but you get no estimate of the variance which is necessary for estimating statistical significance. And the variance would be...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 11:49 AM
  7. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    Let's make sure it's clear that's your opinion only and not statistical analysis because you're using words like "within-season...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 11:45 AM
  8. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    First of all, I have opinions on a lot of things. I just make it clear when something can and cannot be justified statistically, so...

    Mar 31, 2020 at 11:29 AM
  9. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    Yeah that's a good point. There's no comparable data point like that with Tannehill, and you actually do get statistical significance...

    Mar 29, 2020 at 2:24 PM
  10. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    The general mechanisms by which smoking causes lung cancer are well understood so that's not analogous:...

    Mar 29, 2020 at 1:44 PM
  11. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    You have 32 correlations listed there, not 31. I'm guessing the 0.27 was accidentally listed twice? Anyway, yes the 0.65 is...

    Mar 29, 2020 at 1:10 PM
  12. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    That's true, but to make any kind of claim there it needs to be statistically significant. Can't just eyeball it. And that kind of...

    Mar 26, 2020 at 10:32 PM
  13. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    Can't exclude data points like that. That's called cherry picking, and the reason you can't exclude data points like that is because...

    Mar 26, 2020 at 10:14 PM
  14. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    So? None of that would be statistically significant. Not by any means. And what you're missing is that these types of examples are much...

    Mar 26, 2020 at 10:05 PM
  15. cbrad replied to the thread Titans to start Ryan Tannehill.

    What?? You learned absolutely nothing from our discussion. Go read this post again:...

    Mar 26, 2020 at 9:50 PM