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Depends on what exactly happens and what seems to be the problem that needs fixing. There’s no single answer. But if it ends like this year with...
Sad to hear that, but understand. Maybe you'll change your mind if we become a true contender. Much of the negativity should naturally go away....
I know. My entire argument is that you should use stats in making predictions (perhaps with other sources of information) because with large...
Whether it's a favorite or not definitely matters. It changes the probability of the outcome. Being able to predict which underdogs win for a...
Yes, but your predictions were always for the favorite except the Tennessee and first Jets game — you got one of those right and one wrong — and...
That intuition is correct. The Nick Foles part is correct. I was just arguing the use of Moneyball over fewer games.
Intuition is actually wrong there. Let's say you have a system that wins you 10 out of every 16 games (using 16 so we can multiply by 10 to get...
It's certainly important to demonstrate that statistics are applicable in given situation, I'll agree with that. What each fan cares about is up...
That's questioning which model is the best predictor, not whether comparing predictions to actual data is useful. resnor is saying we shouldn't...
No it's not. By demonstrating you have a more accurate model — increasing the predictive accuracy of models — you increase win% by using that same...
Why try to predict? To increase win%!!! Coaches need to win to keep their jobs. That's why analytics is making serious inroads. Also, if everyone...
The goal in sports is to win! Of course it matters what best predicts win%. Why would it not matter? Comparing model predictions to actual data is...
Practically everyone wanted Brees, so it's not hindsight. Even on draft day it was a total shocker for so many we didn't pick him. Also, the...
lol.. not every game is do or die. The probability of making the playoffs changes in very different ways whether you win a game early in the...
Tannehill would have been a dud no matter how long he sat. The guy never could carry a team when the rest of the team performed poorly. At least...
