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Ten Thoughts on First Half of Panthers Preseason Game

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by ckparrothead, Aug 20, 2011.

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  1. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Interesting. I didn't see such hew and cry when people started talking about eliminating that Fasano interception from his stat line. In fact, it were the people that didn't like Henne that suggested doing that.
     
  2. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    My take is he looked fine, missed some throws, made some throws, liked his improved footwork, and iirc Henne always does well in preseason gm #2, it is #3 that gives him all sort of problems the last 2 preseasons, playing in a monsoon both yrs does not help, but still that is supposed to be the tune up game for the regular season, and the Bucs will have a chip on their shoulders after the Patsies lambasted them this week.
     
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  3. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Because it was clearly on Fasano and not anything Henne did?

    Either way, to hit a guy for what MIGHT have happened instead of what did happen is a bit much.
     
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  4. steveincolorado

    steveincolorado Spook, Storme & Pebbles

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    Then it becomes the "what if" game. What if Sean Smith could catch? How many pick 6's could SS have if he knew how to catch?
     
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  5. Alex13

    Alex13 Tua Time !!! Club Member

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    but if you calculate these numbers that he has, the rating of 71.2 is correct
     
  6. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    I'd say, for once, that the sacks/runs stuff actually is working in his favor and it would help his cause in terms of passer rating. I don't know that we can expect that to be the case for this year. Do you? Maybe it will be. I dunno. But no, he has not taken a sack yet.

    He's 19 of 32 for 271 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs. I realize a lot of people are going to say oh well we should take away that Fasano pick, it wasn't his fault, it was an unlucky play. That's fine but it still leaves a rather lucky non-interception on the board from that decision to throw the wheel to Daniel Thomas really late as he ran through a corner back's short zone.

    The numbers are what they are. The beauty of them is he can always do better in the next game or the game thereafter and have good numbers on the preseason.
     
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  7. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    As is pretending that something that DID happen, did NOT happen.
     
  8. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Hmm, then why does NFL.com have him averaging right around 85%?
     
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  9. steveincolorado

    steveincolorado Spook, Storme & Pebbles

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    Sorry, I don't buy the fact you can be having a sub-mediocre night and one pass and one scramble makes it a good night. Two plays don't change it that much, it may help the sting if your having a bad night, but thats it.
     
  10. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    That's correct. 19 of 32 for 271 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs is a 71.2 QB Rating. If you took away the Fasano INT, it's a 84.2 QB Rating. Then again, if you add back the dropped INT, it's back to a 71.2 QB Rating. Hence the virtue of simply leaving the stats as they lay.
     
  11. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Let me get this straight, Henne takes the blame for both what did happen, and what did not happen in your view?

    I'm not a huge Henne guy, that is an interesting notion.
     
  12. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Two plays in a half absolutely do. They can make all the difference in a world in winning a game or losing a game.
     
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  13. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Henne takes the responsibility for his role in everything that did and did not happen, he takes ownership of his own performance, that's correct. It's called accountability.
     
  14. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Why does NFL.com have him at 83.9 and 87.8 for the two games?
     
  15. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    I see, Fasano messes up=Henne messed up Defender drops an int=Henne's fault as well?
     
  16. Killerphins

    Killerphins The Finger

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    What about the first drive.... On 3rd and 9 he ran for the first down and had it called back on a penalty by Murtha. Suddenly 3rd and 19. Not a good situation for any offense to convert. He throws a 15 yard pass to Fasano in the middle of the field and Fasano immediately tackled. We had to punt. You blaming Henne for that set of plays? We were moving the ball and he moved the sticks with the run. That part of your mediocre grade?
     
  17. Zeke0123

    Zeke0123 message board ******* Club Member

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    CK were you watching a stream?? Because pouncy and actually everyone looked very skinny on the stream but the I got a look at them a few times on NFL network and they looked much bigger ie normal.
     
  18. steveincolorado

    steveincolorado Spook, Storme & Pebbles

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    That's Dan Griese's math......
     
  19. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    It was mentioned that was not the proper throw to make, Bess was open a bit deeper down the field.

    Henne cannot win inow.
     
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  20. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    QBR has different weights attached to different plays, longer passing plays and YPA count more heavily.
     
  21. Alex13

    Alex13 Tua Time !!! Club Member

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    i have no idea, but we'll find out over the next weeks for sure
     
  22. Killerphins

    Killerphins The Finger

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    Oh good God it was 3rd and 19 for Christ sake.
    The haters be smoking the bong.
     
  23. GridIronKing34

    GridIronKing34 Silently Judging You

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    The thing I liked most about Henne was the fact that he led our offense down the field for two touchdown drives. He didn't throw the balls into the endzone himself, but when you lead your team inside the 10 and they score... I don't care if he's the one directly putting it in the endzone or not, that's a good thing.

    We put the ball in the endzone twice and chipped in an extra three points when Henne was on the field. Sure he turned the ball over on downs, but let's be honest... in the regular season we probably wouldn't have even went for it on forth down.

    There are things that Henne did wrong where you could really nitpick if you wanted to, but he played well. His passes were on target and he looked much quicker. He looked more like a leader than he did all of last year.

    Had Henne thrown one of those touchdowns instead of running the ball in with Hilliard or Thomas, his QBR would be over 100. So I fail to see how the QBR argument even holds water.
     
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  24. steveincolorado

    steveincolorado Spook, Storme & Pebbles

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    I guess by his logic a kicker can miss a couple FG's, and still have a good night by kicking a 50 yd game winner.
     
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  25. put-me-in-coach

    put-me-in-coach Season Ticket Holder

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    I could be wrong but that "dropped pick" to Thomas had a very very slim chance of being a pick. I'd like to watch it again but the defender didn't seem to be in any position to do anything but knock it down.

    Also it seems to me that Hennes' slimmed down this year and is sensing the pressure a lot better. CK isn't that something you've been wanting from him?
     
  26. steveincolorado

    steveincolorado Spook, Storme & Pebbles

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    Maybe you need to re-read my posts. I never said anything about two plays winning or losing a game.
     
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  27. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Henne throws an off target pass = Henne messed up. Henne throws a pass into a defender's hands = Henne messed up.
     
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  28. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    First off, I don't think he had the first down. He began his slide and his butt hit the ground with the ball still a yard shy. They'd have had to go for it on 4th & 1. Second, you can get into every single detail of how everyone else but Henne screwed up, if you like. But that opens things up for the dropped interception, discussions of what throws he left on the field, etc.
     
  29. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    You figure it out. I'm not here to do your thinking for you.
     
  30. Paul 13

    Paul 13 Chaotic Neutral & Unstable Genius Staff Member

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    ah Ck... was beginning to think you got lost on the way to the computer.

    Where to begin?

    Well, before the game, Sparano said he wanted to see Chad get the ball into the redzone and see what he could do from there. How many passes did he attempt once inside the 20? Anyone?

    Do you still think we're gonna get bombed by the Pats opening week? I mean, two preseason performances by New England has you convinced they are on the top of their game. Even though the Pats game planned and the Bucs didn't... Yet we play well against the Panthers, with a supposed game plan when they didn't, and you can't give the Dolphins any ounce of credit moving forward eh? That opening week game didn't get any closer in your view? Maybe a field goal closer?? One less Henne pick six?

    When we score a touchdown, do you cheer or clap when you're watching the game? It's an honest question, not meaning to be disrespectful.
     
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  31. Jaj

    Jaj Registered

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    In going back and watching some 2010 highlights I think we were overrating that early 2010 line in pass blocking quite a bit. The reason we're probably so harsh on the OL now is that we're finally seeing what it looks like when we're not keeping seven guys in to block.
     
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  32. steveincolorado

    steveincolorado Spook, Storme & Pebbles

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    Almost always on 3-19, your only looking to add yards to your upcoming punt and in this case we added 15 yards to our punt. He didn't take a sack or turnover the ball, so there was nothing wrong with that pass.
     
  33. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Pardon me dude....but....I had the same question. NFL.com most certainly has him at 83.9 the first game...and 87.8 for the second. Why be condescending......its not like its a stupid question?

    Your compiling all of his stats....from both games together. They average both QBR ratings. Or at least thats what I thought. Its a good question.....who knows how they compile the damned number
     
  34. Desides

    Desides Well-Known Member

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    This cliche has long since worn out its welcome. Who continuously expects Dan Marino? I've never heard or read anything along the lines of "Well, this year's QB isn't Dan Marino, time to start over again." No one is holding AJ Feeley or John Beck up to Dan Marino's standards, they're holding them up to contemporary NFL QB standards and finding them lacking… because they are.

    Chad Henne is a career 75 passer rating QB in an era where the rules are so imbalanced in favor of offense that an obscene amount of QBs have exceeded a 90 passer rating on an annual basis. It's not just the Tom Bradys and the Peyton Mannings, it's the Matt Schaubs and the Tony Romos responsible for that curve-bending. Henne can't break into the 80s when you have QBs on playoff teams breaking 95-100? Come on.

    Dan Marino has nothing to do with the almost insultingly bad line of quarterbacks this franchise has trotted out over the last decade, and no one said Chad Pennington's 2008 wasn't satisfactory because he couldn't sling it deep like Dan did. Quite the contrary: who here wasn't happy with the quarterback play we had in 2008? Everyone loved our QB play in 2008, and Pennington used to be a freaking New York Jet!

    Dan Marino is definitely a tough act to follow, but Chad Henne isn't following Dan Marino's act. He's following Chad Pennington's act, who followed John Beck's act, who followed Cleo Lemon's act, who followed Daunte Culpepper's act, who followed Sage Rosenfels' act, who followed Gus Frerotte's act, who followed AJ Feeley's act, who followed Ray Lucas' act… etc.

    Getting really tired of the Patience Brigade (thanks, Schmolioot) claiming unrealistic standards on the part of those who are pessimistic with Henne. It's just the opposite.

    NFL.com does not average both passer ratings. (And let's finally put this one to bed: it's called passer rating, not quarterback rating. Quarterback rating is an unofficial name for the stat officially referred to as passer rating. ESPN has now co-opted the "quarterback rating" name for use in its new stat, which NFL.com does not list. So let's all just be accurate and refer to it as passer rating, because that's what it's called.)

    All you have to do is click the More button on Henne's NFL.com profile page, and you're greeted with this, a page where Henne's combined passer rating for two preseason games is… 71.2. Why is it 71.2? Because it is not correct to take the average of his passer ratings from both games (which is what padre and you are doing). You must take the raw data—the attempts, completions, passing yards, TDs, and INTs—and plug them in as one singular large calculation. Then you, as NFL.com has, will arrive at the correct passer rating for multiple games.

    Taking 83.9, adding 87.8, and dividing by 2 is not the correct method of calculating Henne's passer rating over two games. Instead, you go to a passer rating calculator, plug in 19 completions (4 + 15), 32 attempts (8 + 24), 271 yards (77 + 194), 1 TD (0 + 1), and 2 INTs (2 + 0) and you wind up with… 71.2.
     
  35. unifiedtheory

    unifiedtheory Sub Pending Luxury Box

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    I thought Henne was pretty good. He looked under control and accurate. Taking what he had, no bone head decisions. He looks MUCH more athletic to me right now, he has quicker feet. To me it's not about "what he could have done, the throws he could have made" it's about what he did, which was lead the team and not turn the ball over.

    Reggie Bush looked fantastic. Explosiveness on offense, what a concept. I've never been a fan, always thought he was too brittle and overrated. The fact he is brittle has not changed because we are 2 preseason games into the season. He brings an element to the offense we have not had in a long time, he is a walking mismatch. We must keep him healthy and Daboll must continue to work for the mismatch when team adjust. He could be Chad Henne's best friend with those short little dump offs that pick up chunks of yardage. All that is the reason I think Daniel Thomas is the key to this offense this year as much as anyone. We have to be able to trust him to do the heavy lifting to keep Reggie fresh. If Thomas shows nothing and Reggis is overused then he'll get hurt and our offense will lose it's explosiveness.

    I'm worried about our pass rush.

    I'm REALLY worried about Jake Long.
     
  36. jim1

    jim1 New Member

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    Let's see: almost 200 yards passing in the half, two touchdown drives, a field goal drive and no interceptions. And before a very good, heady throw to Fasano his performance wasn't even mediocre? Just to refresh you on the math, 156 yards passing in one half of football is, by all accounts that I'm aware of, a pretty darned good half of passing the football. If you doubled it that becomes 312 yards for a whole game. And Henne's actual 194 yards in the half, if doubled, would be 388 yards for the game. And that's pretty good, isn't it? No interceptions is pretty darned good. Leading your team on 2 TD drives and a Field Goal drive is pretty darned good. A 17-0 lead at the half is pretty darned good when you contributed significantly to that lead.. And yet, in your Malletized bitterness, you can't even give Henne a tip of your cap, a ""nice job".

    And that is ridiculous. If Kyle Orton had been traded to the Dolphins and had that kind of a half of football you might have peed and pooped yourself at the same time. If it were Mallett- those two and add a wet dream. Your analysis has become so negatively biased it's a joke- I'll confess, I actually read it for laughs. It wasn't my intent at the beginning of this thread, but sure enough, there you go right down the hole into some bitter pit of foresaken spite. Dude, give it a rest. Either that or become a Patriots or Jets fan, whatever's easier.
     
  37. MarinePhinFan

    MarinePhinFan Banned

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    poty!
     
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  38. JMHPhin

    JMHPhin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    ok arguing someones opinion get nowhere.

    I thought Henne played well, much imporoved over week 1, no not perfect, but much better and progressed. He showed poise under pressure, escaped trouble and made plays, more than 1 time. If you want to find fault, you will find fault (NOT A SHOT, it is just if you r expectations are here and he doesnt reach them IYO then you will find fault). He wasnt perfect. Henne was not surgeon like, but he was solid and lead the offense to 17 points. he made 3rd and long passes like the one to Bess.

    It is what it is, it was 1 very good week, some will grade it higher, some lower, but it seems right now the team is behind him. But it was `1 week, and it will take more than 1 game to win people over, a preseason game at that. but it was better than teh alternative of him under 60% and 2 picks again
     
  39. MrClean

    MrClean Inglourious Basterd Club Member

    I totally agree.
     
  40. MrClean

    MrClean Inglourious Basterd Club Member

    It does though. Just like in the first game the combined QBR for Henne and Moore was lower than either one individually. Weird, I know.
     
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