Amazing the stat line on this one, if you consider who won and who lost. The stats I've bolded below are the ones most strongly correlated with winning. See if you can figure out which column belongs to which team in this game. [TABLE="class: mod-data"] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]1st Downs [/TD] [TD]21 [/TD] [TD]19 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Passing 1st downs [/TD] [TD]15 [/TD] [TD]18 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Rushing 1st downs [/TD] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]1st downs from Penalties [/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]1 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]3rd down efficiency [/TD] [TD]6-16 [/TD] [TD]4-16 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]4th down efficiency [/TD] [TD]1-1 [/TD] [TD]2-2 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Total Plays [/TD] [TD]74 [/TD] [TD]71 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Total Yards [/TD] [TD]480 [/TD] [TD]297 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Yards per play [/TD] [TD]6.5 [/TD] [TD]4.2 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Total Drives [/TD] [TD]16 [/TD] [TD]15 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Passing [/TD] [TD]394 [/TD] [TD]269 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Comp - Att [/TD] [TD]26-41 [/TD] [TD]29-48 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Yards per pass [/TD] [TD]9.6 [/TD] [TD]5.6 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Interceptions thrown [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Sacks - Yards Lost [/TD] [TD]4-37 [/TD] [TD]8-55 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Rushing [/TD] [TD]86 [/TD] [TD]28 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Rushing Attempts [/TD] [TD]29 [/TD] [TD]15 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Yards per rush [/TD] [TD]3.0 [/TD] [TD]1.9 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Red Zone (Made-Att) [/TD] [TD]1-3 [/TD] [TD]2-3 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Penalties [/TD] [TD]4-40 [/TD] [TD]6-62 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Turnovers [/TD] [TD]4 [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Fumbles lost [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: even"] [TD="align: left"]Interceptions thrown [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Defensive / Special Teams TDs [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR="class: odd"] [TD="class: bi, align: left"]Possession [/TD] [TD]35:00 [/TD] [TD]31:31 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] The only thing I can take from this is that the turnover margin, which actually has the strongest correlation with winning, overcame the other areas of play in this one and was responsible for the loss. I don't think we're a team that can afford to lose the turnover battle. We don't have the talent to create that kind of margin for error.
Arizona made the big plays when needed a we didn't. The Tannehill smack down on the snap resulting in the fumble, the multiple 4 th down conversions and the INT in OT where Tanny got hit. They won by executing when they had no margin of error
This team needs to just start calling a full TO halfway through the 4th quarter and have an entire team meeting, am I right.
i have absolutely no problem with today's play calling on offense, sherman called a great game imo, this was all about execution
What this really shows is that statistics really doesn't mean much in sports. It all comes down to which teams make the plays when the game is on the line. If statistics were what counted, there would be no reason to keep score.
Actually it doesn't show that, because the statistic that correlates most strongly with winning -- turnovers -- predicted who won the game. There's a reason why coaches say "we have to protect the ball" and "we have to win the turnover battle." It's because that WINS GAMES.
You liked that little pitch out play? I mean I know execution is one thing but Sherman forgot to take his meds on that one.
QB rating is right up there with turnovers, and oddly enough, despite his 400+ passing yards, Ryan Tannehill's QB rating was only 2.5 points higher than Kevin Kolb's.
I agree that turnovers are a major variable regarding wins and losses. I just don't put much stock in all the other statistics you listed above. I apologize for not reading though your entire comments before writing my response. I was stuck on all the other stats you listed and failed to read your comments regarding the turnovers. Sorry about that.
Like last week, one of out two stops on 4th down and we win. Last week it was one out of 2 FG's. Luck plays in to this.
Haha I'm just messing with you I really wish that we could have tannehills fumble back. Part of the growth process I guess.
Should've been calling running plays there IMO. Tannehill had won the game for the team. It was the team's turn to return the favor at that point. Should've made them do it.
Whats frustrating is that plays were consequently made, that seemed to otherwise nullify the turnover. [whine]I despise the idea of being that pitiful team, who's woeful December record, fails to reveal numerous matchups throughout the year, where the team almost won, yet somehow got punked in the closing minutes. Deserving to win and losing, particularly on a continual basis can be more defeating than just getting beat.[/whine]
Reminds me of the Colts game with Penny in 2009... That game we had the TOP 45-15 and we still lost, due to big plays allowed and not executng when we needed also... We are coming aound, most of us noted that this team will struggle early this year and will get better as the season progresses... I am still hoping that be true...
That fumbled on the play where Thill got blind sided when going back to pass... We recovered the ball right??? We probably would have fumbled on the handoff since these guys were on the backfield that quick... and we probably would have lost the possesion...
I personally had no issue with the call. They were sending 8-9 people every play and had all their timeouts plus the two minute warning if I'm not mistaken. A first down wouldn't have iced the game and sending all those men there isn't even a guarantee you'll pick up the first. A quick pass might actually end up with a huge gain there and pretty much ice the game by flipping field position at the very least. Poor execution on a good call IMO
That pass call when tanny fumbled was a joke. Why throw there? 2 TE set, pound it in the middle. or off tackle with Reggie.
Couldn't agree more with running on 2nd and 8. Then run on 3rd and long and pin them back and make Kevin Kolb beat you by driving 85-95 yards with 2 minutes and 0 timeouts. I normally don't second-guess play-calling. But I did there. Especially with the relative success of the previous 4-5 runs.
Then again that play could've very well been one of those where he pump fakes a flanker screen and then hands off to Bush. Those were used last week when we needed to kill clock and were effective. The blitzer got through there so quickly that it's hard to know for sure. Either way, though, I'm not sure I risk anything there. I get Tannehill far away from the line ASAP and get the ball handed off.
The reason we lost the game is (as crazy as it sounds) because we didn't score enough points! Plenty of yards, but no points, thanks in part to Carpenter. As many have said, it isn't Bess and Hartline, they are solid, it is no one behind them... Naanee proved he is complete garbage out there. Was Armstrong even in the game?
I cant believe people are still *****ing about a play that resulted from Arizona pullin a Maddenesque Nano Blitz cheat. Hard to tell but it was the right call given the circumstances; just crap execution. Like someone previously stated, the defender was in the backfield literally within 2 seconds of the snap. We would have been screwed no matter what the call would have been.