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Is Ryan Tannehill Going to Become a Franchise QB?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by shouright, Jan 5, 2013.

  1. CaribPhin

    CaribPhin Guest

    Lol.

    Sent from my GT-P3110 using Tapatalk 2
     
  2. Sumlit

    Sumlit Well-Known Member

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    Bwahahahaha

    That's priceless.
     
  3. Dolphin 12

    Dolphin 12 New Member

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    Neither do stats nordo we have stats for developing QBs. We all knew Ryan tannehill was going to be a project and most likely sit a year to learn from a vet QB. Since tannehill just finished his rookie season and isn't a bonafide bust and will continue to be developed by our coaching staff why would we not try to improve the talent around him? You would have to be insane to think we should just throw him out the window after this season.
     
  4. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    I don't think we should stand pat with the talent around him. I was merely highlighting the error of logic in thinking that improvements to the surrounding cast would automatically yield significant improvements in Tannehill's play.
     
  5. Dolphin 12

    Dolphin 12 New Member

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    I agree but it can possibly help, but what the **** are some of those QBs on that chart tag with a yes for a franchise QB? Do you see how misleading they are for you categorize Dalton, Ponder, Palmer as franchise QBs? And in no way shape or form do people tag Stafford and bradford as the answer for QB or call them a franchise QB. It blows my mind you think freeman deserves a yes for franchise QBs so would some buc fans.
     
  6. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    I think that tells you right there, that WPA is bull**** stat.
     
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  7. smahtaz

    smahtaz Pimpin Ain't Easy

    Wayne had 5 TDs, 73 1st downs and 1,355 yards.
    Hartline had 1 TD, 48 1st downs and 1,083 yards.
    Bess had 1 TD, 38 1st downs and 778 yards.

    Please explain "clutch" play.
     
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  8. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin Premium Member Luxury Box Club Member

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    No kidding. The day Hartline, Bess, Hilton, and Avery truly have a better WPA than Reggie Wayne is the day I crap a lobster dinner, complete with butter sauce.
     
  9. Boik14

    Boik14 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Regardless of whether its right or wrong, well done Shou.
     
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  10. FinNasty

    FinNasty Alabama don’t want this... Staff Member Club Member

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    They complain about those 2 players only b/c of the roles they are forced to play. Hartline is a solid WR and Bess is one of the better slot WRs in the league. But they are forced to play roles they are unsuited for due to the lack of talent that should be ahead of them on the depth chart.
     
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  11. sports24/7

    sports24/7 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I hate to tell you, but neither do your statistics. All you can do is use those to make guesses. A more productive exercise in my opinion would be to break down the strengths and weaknesses in Tannehill's game via game tape, then breaking down the strengths and weaknesses of his receivers and compare that to the strengths and weaknesses of other receiving corps around the NFL, or take a look at other young QBs and see if their play was elevated (again using game tape rather than statistics) by adding talent around a previously weakly talented group. Again though, that would still be far from giving us anything substantial as to whether Tannehill will be a franchise QB or not.

    It may be less certain, but the difference in certainty is marginal. And as you previously stated, the Dolphins are going to move on with Tannehill for the foreseeable future anyway, so what does it matter?
     
  12. sports24/7

    sports24/7 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Great point. This is what seems to be lost on the crowd that defends Tannehill's receivers. Hartline and Bess aren't bad players, but If the Dolphins cut all of their receivers tomorrow there is a good chance that the only two who would be signed would be Hartline and Bess. That is saying something.
     
  13. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    It's interesting?
     
  14. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    Look back at the original post.
     
  15. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    You tell me whom to remove from the franchise QB category, I'll re-do the analysis with them in the non-franchise QB category, and we'll see if it makes a difference.
     
  16. Dolphin 12

    Dolphin 12 New Member

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    You don't have to because no stat would every tell me ponder/palmer is a franchise QB or worth sticking with and no stat could possibly categorize the rest I mentioned to franchise QB status
     
  17. smahtaz

    smahtaz Pimpin Ain't Easy

    That's just nasty.
     
  18. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin Premium Member Luxury Box Club Member

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    It's quite good really. Bring your bib, I'll invite you over.
     
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  19. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    [​IMG]
     
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  20. Boik14

    Boik14 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Does it smell like a trap too?
     
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  21. Mexphin

    Mexphin Well-Known Member

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    Also, i would say that the only QB that honestly would like to have a different group of players around him is Ryan Tannehill
     
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  22. Mexphin

    Mexphin Well-Known Member

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    Because they dont score touchdowns
     
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  23. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Meh... again, to me, this is another example of trying to use stats to make a point, that common sense, and your eyes while watching the game should tell you otherwise. its another perfect case for stats dont tell the whole story....

    However, nice work nonetheless...
     
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  24. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    Well if your eyes are telling you Tannehill is going to become a franchise QB, the stats here lend credence to the quality of your "eyesight." ;)
     
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  25. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    And neither does Tannehill throw them.

    His number of pass attempts per TD pass (39.92) is far more like that of the average of the "non-franchise" group in the original post than the average of the "franchise" group.
     
  26. Ducken

    Ducken Luxury Box Luxury Box

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    Sorry I had to stop reading and reply right here. Shou I have yet to see the masses complain about either WR. As has been said countless time, they are good.....very good at what they do, but neither is a true play maker or #1. So please stop making it sound like everyone is saying our starters suck because no one is. We need upgrades at WR/TE positions and if we get those upgrades you will see better numbers from Tanny.
     
  27. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    I don't think the objective evidence is at all consistent with that.

    How can you be sure of that?

    Really what the objective evidence suggests is that his numbers are going to improve regardless of any "upgrading" that may be done, and that projection is based on what he's done with his current surrounding cast, the one so many deem to be so poor.

    In fact, Chad Henne's WPA went from 0.90 in 2009, to -1.28 in 2010, after the addition of Brandon Marshall. In his first season as a starter, he was actually performing in a way that was consistent with a future franchise QB, and yet after Brandon Marshall was added, he did not! :)
     
  28. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    Are you really saying that because the results of a statistic don't match your perception, then the stat is flawed?????
     
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  29. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    Are you really defending a stat that you've no idea how its calculated? There's nothing specific explained. There's a vague notion given, but we have no idea how the stat is actually calculated. We have no idea how weights are determined and given. We have no idea with what consistency they are even applied.

    So yeah, add that all up with results that don't pass the sniff test, then yes I will say the stat is flawed.
     
  30. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    I have every idea how WPA is calculated. It is one of my favorite stats, along with EPA.

    And to be clear, I didn't even go so far as to defend it.
     
  31. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    Then explain it.

    Explain how its objective.

    You were defending it. You don't need to make a proclamation that you're defending it to defend it. The simple fact you claimed its your favorite stat is proof.
     
  32. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    How could it not be objective? It is entirely based on previous results. There is nothing arbitrary about it. This is clearly explained:

    There is absolutely nothing subjective about WPA.
     
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  33. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    How does that translate to a QB's individual effort? Or a WRs?
     
  34. Ducken

    Ducken Luxury Box Luxury Box

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    Ok I just went and picked out 11 true play makers whom I believe we all can agree are play makers. and compared to Bess and Hartline here are there TD per rec. ave. Now tell me again there is no evidence that those two are not play makers.

    Name TD #Rec TD to Rec
    Bess 12 321 26.75
    Hartline 06 183 30.50

    C. Johnson 54 488 9.04
    Jennings 53 425 8.02
    Finley 17 198 11.65
    Wayne 78 968 12.41
    Hilton 7 50 7.14
    Wallace 32 235 7.34
    Bowe 39 415 10.64
    Jones 18 133 7.39
    A. Johnson 56 818 14.61
    Gronkowski 38 187 4.92 (INSANE!!!!)
    Green 18 162 9.00
     
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  35. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    I think it helps to look at how WPA correlates with the consensus perceptions of QBs' ability:

    http://wp.advancednflstats.com/playerstats.php?pos=QB

    I'd say the correlation is striking, myself.
     
  36. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    QBs WPA is based on all passing plays. WRs WPA is based on every time they are targeted.
     
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  37. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    Right, but give me an example.
     
  38. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    OK, well now I realize you're defining "playmaker" in terms of receptions per TD, and in that case we agree. :)
     
  39. shouright

    shouright Banned

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    Right, but now we're on your "witness stand," being "cross-examined" by you. Why don't you put yourself on the stand and go do some investigation of your own?

    I mean look at the ridiculous amount of work I've done to generate this thread, and now I'm sitting here being asked to do additional work by you, and then being flippantly told it "doesn't help"?

    Come on. :)
     
  40. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    Its all clearly stated in the link in the OP.
     
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