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2014 NFL Schedule Release Thread - Leaks, Speculation, Discussion (Release Wednesday)

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by B.Sebo, Apr 22, 2014.

  1. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    2014 NFL Schedule Release Thread - Leaks, Discussions, Etc (Update: Pats/Phins Wk 1?)

    Since a thread hasn't been created, and the schedule release is tomorrow, I thought I would go ahead and create a place to discuss the leaks before the release and the actual schedule after the release. We should start seeing leaks sometime tomorrow afternoon (we already have that the Bills will play @Detroit on Thanksgiving and will play Green Bay on MNF).

    Here is what we know for sure . . .
    Miami will play a "road" game against Oakland in London in week 4. Our bye week will be week 5.

    The following is speculation. I went back and logged every game against non division opponents since 1988 to see when Miami played them. Below are the results, including some interesting overall stats for our NFC North opponents.

    Kansas City – 9, 16, 10, 7, 4, 5, 15, 15, 8, 6
    San Diego – 11, 4, 3, 4, 14, 8, 13, 9, 16
    @Oakland (wk 5) – 2, 13, 12,
    @Denver – 7, 8, 1, 15, 6, 2, 14, 4
    Green Bay – 6, 7, 9, 7, 3, 2, 3 (only played after Oct. 2x in all years)
    @Chicago – 11, 9, 13, 8, 10, 14, (only played before Nov. 2x in all years)
    @Detroit – 16, 13, 1, 9, 15, 17, 2
    Minnesota – 2, 12, 16, 2, 4, 5 (2 of 13 games not in Sept/Dec in all years)
    Baltimore – 5, 9, 6, 15, 17, 11, 11, 3, 7
    @Jacksonville – 15, 15, 14, 6, 7

    While none of this will factor into the scheduling matrix, it is always fun to me to see the (assumed) accidental trends through the years. Also as usual, here is my mock schedule. I'm not overly happy with it, but it does follow all of the NFL scheduling principles.

    Week 1 – @Jacksonville (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 2 – Buffalo (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 3 – Minnesota (FOX 4:05 PM)
    Week 4 – @Oakland (London CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 5 - BYE
    Week 6 – @New York (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 7 – Green Bay (CBS 8:20 PM)
    Week 8 – @Denver (CBS 4:25 PM)
    Week 9 – @New England (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 10 – Baltimore (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 11 – San Diego (CBS 4:05 PM)
    Week 12 – @Chicago (ESPN 8:20 PM)
    Week 13 – New York (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 14 – New England (CBS 4:25 PM)
    Week 15 – @Detroit (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 16 – Kansas City (NFLN Saturday Doubleheader TBD)
    Week 17 - @Buffalo (CBS 1:00 PM)

    That's two primetime games (one ESPN MNF, the other getting our mandatory Thursday date on the CBS side, not the NFLN), and one of the NFLN Saturday doubleheader slots (the way I see it, with it being so close to Christmas, using Miami/KC would give them an excuse to milk the longest game ever played from our playoff game back in the day).

    If you want to take a shot at a mock, go ahead. I will be back throughout the day tomorrow with what I hear about the schedule as a whole as we try to piece together what's going on with Miami.
     
    PhinishLine, Fin D, SICK and 2 others like this.
  2. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    I hope your schedule comes to fruition. I like the way that plays out.

    1 cold weather game, 5 of last 8 at home?? Yes, please.
     
    Puka-head likes this.
  3. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    One of my favorite parts of the offseason. Can't wait!

    I'd be pretty surprised if we didn't get a MNF game. My guess is 1 MNF and 1 TNF game.
     
  4. CaribPhin

    CaribPhin Guest

    The first four weeks of your schedule, anything less than 4-0 is a bad sign for a team wanting to make the playoffs. Buffalo in week 2 will immediately test our O-line, but at least they will have had a game to see how they gel. If we beat Oakland, I will accept that as our first win against the Texans until we get the chance again.
     
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  5. Puka-head

    Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member

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    Slightly left of center
    Course it could mean we never beat Oakland again. Be careful what you wish for.
     
  6. Alex13

    Alex13 Tua Time !!! Club Member

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    i think we will have more division games b2b at the end of the year
     
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  7. Deerless Dice

    Deerless Dice Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I don't think we're going to see a a 1 pm division game in September. The NFL doesn't like to schedule them for Miami, and I believe the last one was in 2009 versus the Jets. Miami also didn't get the @NE in December last season, so that's going to be on the schedule this year. I think we'll see another road game before the week 5 bye, or a night home game versus a non conference opponent (vs Bears?)
     
  8. RoninFin4

    RoninFin4 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I believe the Raiders game in Week 2 of 2012 was a 1pm start.
     
  9. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Sick of playing the Ravens every damn year.
     
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  10. Deerless Dice

    Deerless Dice Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    i fully endorse moving the Raiders to the AFC East
     
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  11. SICK

    SICK Lounge Moderator

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    It's a "W" this year.

    Anyways, I am super stoked about the schedule release tonight. Sebo, thanks as always for doing this thread....I look forward to it every year, almost as much as you look forward to Christmas :hi5:

    With the schedule release and Heat game tonight.....may be working from home tomorrow so I can sleep in haha. May be a long night! :ffic:
     
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  12. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Seriously considering faking an injury tonight. Double header 830-930. :pity:
     
  13. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    That's certainly been the case of the past couple of years. Technically, the only mandate must for the NFL is division in week 17 with the hope to schedule more division games in the last four weeks. Every year we see a team or two that plays weeks 15 and 16 versus a non-division foe, thus why I shunted the Jets and Patriots to 13 and 14. I will say this, I don't envy the actual schedule makers, it is tough sledding to do one with one team and get all the scheduling principles right, I can't imagine everybody.

    I think there is a real chance you are absolutely right, Deerless. I will say this though, the no 1pm games was a Ross request, not an NFL thing. They've done their best to fulfill the request. It is especially challenging this year. Let me explain. With a road game already in week 4 in London, Miami is promised week 3 at home. This leaves us with what to do with the first two weeks. Since CBS has the US Open Finals (last year for that I believe), there are no late afternoon games on CBS for week 1. That means Miami as a couple of options. They could play at home at 1pm, play at home in a night game, play Green Bay or Minnesota at home in a 4:25 game on FOX. This is getting complicated, but my thing when mocking a schedule is to look at the whole picture and choose what is the easiest outcome for the whole. At the end of the day, I will be wrong though! :)
     
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  14. SICK

    SICK Lounge Moderator

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    Takes a very smart brain to break down all of these logistics and work them out, they have a tough job, and we really appreciate the effort you put into it for us here every year bro. Holy-moley thats a lot of intangibles behind it (picking the schedule)
     
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  15. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Raheem Club Member

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    I think that this is both realistic and would work to our favor. I'd really like to see the team get the game at Buffalo out of the way early. Also hoping to avoid cold weather of course, but as we all know, the league loves to screw us in that way. Things have been more fair the last few years, but we went through about a 20 year streach where we played @ New England during the last 6 weeks about 80% of the time, which is almost a guaranteed loss, no matter how good the Pats are.


    Week 1 – @Buffalo (CBS 1:00 PM)

    Week 2 – Baltimore (CBS 4:00 PM)
    Week 3 – San Diego (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 4 – @Oakland (London CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 5 - BYE
    Week 6 – Green Bay (ESPN MNF 8:30 PM)
    Week 7 – @ New England (CBS 4:00 PM)
    Week 8 – NY Jets (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 9 – Minnesota (FOX 1:00 PM)
    Week 10 – @ Detroit (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 11 – @ Denver (NBC 8:30 PM)
    Week 12 – Kansas City (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 13 – @ Chicago (CBS 4:00 PM)
    Week 14 – Buffalo (NFL Network Thursday 8:00 PM)
    Week 15 – @Jacksonville (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 16 – @NY Jets (CBS 1:00 PM)
    Week 17 - New England (CBS 1:00 PM)
     
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  16. Dolphins1Beatles

    Dolphins1Beatles Ziggy Stardust

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    Well we already know Buffalo is getting the glow of Thanksgiving that the Dolphins used to get often, and they deserve it after sweeping Miami and finishing on a stronger note.

    Dolphins...two primetime games, the obligatory Thursday and then probably a Monday Nighter. I'd love a Sunday night game since they've only been on it twice (and the 2006 one was the Wed/Thurs season kickoff against Pitt so it wasn't even Sunday).
     
  17. finyank13

    finyank13 Reality Check

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    Please can Miami not get the annual early bye week please?
     
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  18. Dolphins1Beatles

    Dolphins1Beatles Ziggy Stardust

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    They already are. Its Week 5, every team gets the bye after the London game, which was confirmed as being week 4, the NFL sets the London game weeks early. I wouldn't complain about playing Oakland in London though.
     
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  19. finyank13

    finyank13 Reality Check

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    ugh....
     
  20. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Travis ( aqua4ever) is gonna be giddy tonite when this is released..
     
  21. Arodgers12

    Arodgers12 Well-Known Member

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    Hope the Pack plays down there in December. Playing in September or even October we would roast to a loss lol.
     
  22. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    Although I wouldn't quite call it a leak, more of a rumor, but given how quiet it's been so far, I will share it.

    RUMOR: Redskins/Giants early MNF DH week 1, Redskins/Colts on MNF at some point, Eagles @ Redskins and Cowboys @ Giants week 17 (which would mean the Jets would be on the road against Buffalo, Miami, or New England).
    Likelihood of Validity: 50% It seems like it would fit, but the source is less than great.

    Edit: It appears this will indeed false.
     
  23. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Personally, I could care less about the schedule, it does give us something to talk about though.
     
  24. CaribPhin

    CaribPhin Guest

    We don't want to get our *** blasted by Buffalo's D-Line Week 1. I want them to get at least one game of play time before they go in there.
     
  25. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    I am with you. I just can't get excited about the announcement.
     
  26. Larryfinfan

    Larryfinfan 17-0...Priceless Club Member

    The only problem I see with your equation is that it's only been the last couple of years that they started to make the early season and late season as "division" weeks... I think we'll end up with at least the last two weeks with division opponents and at least 2 of four first weeks....just my two cents, but the schedule you came up with has a good chance of being close....
     
  27. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    According to Matt Barrows of the Sacramento Bee, the Niners think they will play on Thanksgiving this year. They do play in Dallas this year, so it could be that game. Or it could be in the late NBC slot.

    Also, it is unsourced, but it looks like the Bills @ Bears in week 1.

    EDIT: Also, in a move that's been expected in the TV world, FLEX scheduling will now be possible in weeks 5-10 for SNF. The catch is the NFL can only do this twice in that period (weeks 11-17 remain completely open, minus network protected games).

    EDIT2: The NFL has also officially announced the cross-flex mechanic. Again, been known for a while, but it means that an all AFC game can be flexed to FOX and an all NFC game can be flexed to CBS. To be used in situations where for example you have DEN/SD in a 4:05 SH on CBS, and GB/MIN in the 4:25 DH on FOX. Now, those can be switched if the all AFC game is more compelling, giving a broader audience. If that makes any sense.
     
  28. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    It will be Dallas vs. Seattle in the season opener. CONFIRMED by Norm Hitzges

    WFAN is reporting it will be the Giants @ Lions as part of the early week 1 Doubleheader on ESPN.
     
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  29. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    Apparently this is the Giants schedule, it was accidentally posted and then taken down real quick.

    at Detroit MNF
    Arizona
    Houston
    at Washington tnf
    Atlanta
    at Philadelphia snf
    at Dalas
    bye
    Indy mnf
    at Seattle
    San Francisco
    Dallas snf
    at Jacksonville
    at Tennessee
    Washington
    at Saint Louis
    Philadelphia
     
  30. The G Man

    The G Man Git 'r doooonnne!!!

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    Sure B.Sebo, I'll take a SWAG (scientific wild a$$ guess) ;) But I ain't messin' around with the networks and/or the times.

    Week 1 – San Diego
    Week 2 – Buffalo
    Week 3 – @New York
    Week 4 – @Oakland (London)
    Week 5 - BYE
    Week 6 – Green Bay
    Week 7 – @Jacksonville
    Week 8 – @Chicago
    Week 9 – Kansas City
    Week 10 – @Denver
    Week 11 – New England
    Week 12 – Baltimore
    Week 13 – @Detroit
    Week 14 – Minnesota
    Week 15 – New York
    Week 16 – @New England
    Week 17 - @Buffalo
     
  31. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    This could be our first Dolphins leak! Tom Curran of Comcast Sports says from what he's hearing, the for forecast for the Patriots opener is going to be hot. Looking at the Patriots opponents, that could only mean Miami or San Diego (and it can't be San Diego because CBS doesn't have a late game and San Diego can't have a 10am local start at home).

    So if Curran is right, and he's about as legitimate as it goes, it looks like New England @ Miami in week 1. This is NOT confirmed, though.

    Also, Indianapolis @ Denver for the week 1 SNF.

    Chicago @ San Francisco for the week 2 SNF.

    Indianapolis has 5 total games in primetime. 2 of them are on MNF, that means they will have 2 SNF games (one already known to be @Denver) and the obligatory TNF game).
     
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  32. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    How does a team as bad a the 2013 Giants get 5 primetime games?
     
  33. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    1. New York TV market
    2. NFC East matchups draw ratings, so the NFL favors them in primetime games
    3. Eli Manning is still a name
     
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  34. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    Latest leaks put the Niners in Dallas to open the season in the 4:25 game on FOX. This is from Pat Mayo of ABC. He also says SEA @ SF will be the Thanksgiving night game on NBC. What does this mean for the Seattle opener? That basically means it has to be Green Bay @ Seattle for the opener.

    Harry Teinowitz from sports radio in Chicago is claiming that we get Cowboys@Bears week 14 on NFLN and Saints@Bears on MNF week 15. I find this a little hard to believe because that is a marquee game on NFLN and those were supposed to all be on CBS and it would give the Cowboys THREE straight national TV games (SNF v Giants, Thanksgiving, @Chicago) and two straight on Thursday. IF this is true, that means Miami will not play in Chicago weeks 13-17 (no three straight home games, and week 17 is just for division games).

    EDIT: Okay, things are getting crazy now. Both major papers of the teams reporting it is the Bears@Lions on Thanksgiving. This is really strange. It means one of two things is happening. Either CBS is getting a 2 NFC team game on the schedule or they are jacking with the rotation and Dallas will be back on CBS this year. Exciting times.
     
  35. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    Week 10 - Miami @ Detroit per Detroit Free Press.

    This is off the Lions Bye week.
     
  36. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I hope that cowboy niner game is at Jerry world..maybe romo and Garrett will get released at the same time.
     
  37. Ronnie Bass

    Ronnie Bass Luxury Box Luxury Box

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    Baltimore @ Miami Thanksgiving Night maybe:

    @NealDriscoll
    I cannot confirm Ravens at Miami Thanksgiving night. Radio personality in Baltimore announced it
     
  38. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    Whoa. Love it!
     
  39. B.Sebo

    B.Sebo TV Mastermind

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    Not true, I pressed Driscol on it and be backed off of it.

    They may play that weekend, but it looks like Seahawks/Niners that night.
     
  40. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    Week 10 at Lions.
     

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