Well the number raised to 80 and looks like it will continue to go up, everyone is loving the Over I guess, won't touch that.
Anyone have news on Bridgewater? Seems game time. I think he plays but may be bothered by the ankle. Money keeps coming in on MIN though.
If money keeps coming in on MIN then I would think Bridgewater is secretly considered probable to play. I'll breathe a sigh of relief if he does. Right after the draft I took a prop on whether Bridgewater or Bortles would start more games in 2014. At the time Jacksonville's staff seemed really convincing that they fully intended to give him the Carson Palmer treatment. I caught a break with Cassel's injury followed by Bridgewater's sterling set of performances. It ended up playing out to where I could expect a push, barring injury. But now the injury is coming into play, especially on the short week. Agh! For those that forget, when the Bengals took Palmer #1 overall Marvin Lewis immediately declared that Jon Kitna would be the starter that year whenever healthy and he stuck to it the whole year. Then the next year, Lewis declared that Palmer would take the job and stuck to it even as Carson struggled during the first half of the year. I thought it showed remarkable decisiveness and discipline. I'm still not sure if it was the right call or not, but I admire it all the same.
I'm hearing he's out but not confirmed yet. I'm taking gb -7. Road team, short week. Also taking the chance Ponder is playing. Sent from my Nexus 10 using Tapatalk
Schefter is saying all signs point to Ponder. Well so much for that theory. Yeah I've made a vow to stay away from TNF games, and I know the two systems I have going will probably signal the Vikings here, but I'm still tempted to go with Green Bay. I'm also kind of operating on a running theory that Rodgers is going to go on a little bit of a tear the next few weeks.
@RapSheet: The #Vikings will start QB Christian Ponder tonight vs #Packers, source says. Teddy Bridgewater will be inactive Sent from my Nexus 10 using Tapatalk
I jumped on GB at -7.5 earlier this afternoon thinking the spread will only go up from there and it's now -8.5. Home teams with exception being WASH dominated TNF. There are several reasons to take MIN here but this line opened at 9 and I'll take the value despite some match ups that favor MIN, particularly in the run game on both sides. Weather also calling for thunderstorms for the O/U guys.
In light of the Christian Ponder start and the fact that home favorites are KILLING on Thursday night, I was hoping that my systems wouldn't pick the Vikes even though they're prone toward underdogs. Well, I'm pretty pleased overall. The CBS pool did indeed pick the Vikes but with a signal so weak it wouldn't have prompted a bet, and the OFP pool actually picked the Packers despite its inherent propensity toward picking underdogs.
Update through tonight on the OFP system: Above 25.0%: 15-5 (0.750) Above 20.0%: 19-9 (0.679) Combination of above 25.0% for Dogs and above 10.0% for Favorites: 18-7 (0.720) I favor the latter because of the system's inherent tendencies toward underdogs. I think the modification will make it robust enough to survive the whole season with a healthy win percentage. There's usually a point in the season when Dogs stop winning. Week 1: 7-1 Week 2: 3-2 Week 3: 3-1 Week 4: 4-3 Week 5: 1-0 (thus far)
Wasn't on it but did not expect to wake up to an Oregon loss. I think the spread was too high for there to be an ML. But if there was? WOW.
There was one on betonline at +1100 lol I did not expect Arizona to score over 30 after half time, went to bed and woke up pleasantly surprised to another bet covered.
Sounds like a great system. Hope you're applying it to individual betting through the websites. I'm trying to develop my own system but really don't know where to start. I have a spreadsheet already made that takes latest info from the web etc. but now is the hard part, the calcs and then correlating the match up against the spread. It's just something I'm playing with at the moment and not really putting as much time as I'd like into it, but I've always wanted to develop my own system.
I got them at -35 but even at -41 I still like ECU to cover against SMU. I'd feel comfortable going to -45 with it. I'm still looking at tomorrow and I'll post any others I see.
Sound reasoning for both. I mainly worry about Utah State's defense ruining the BYU play, as the two teams have a history of playing tight games. But on the other side of it, BYU was able to score 40+ on a very good Virginia defense and Taysom Hill looks a little unstoppable right now.
eh decided I'll stay away from that game and going with a different pick 10:00 game +4 San Diego State (vs Fresno State)
Yeah I stayed away from BYU in this one and I'm glad. They were getting dominated on defense in the 1st half even before Taysom Hill took what looks like it could be a broken leg (second time that's happened against Utah State).
Poor Taysom, hope he comes back strong, good thing is it's not his knee so the bone should heal up good.
12:00 games Ohio State/Maryland Over 59 Florida/Tennessee Over 54 3:30 games NC State +14 (@ Clemson)
Can't believe ECU's defense is making no adjustments. They're playing 10 yards off and SMU is throwing short. I knew UNC's defense sucked but I really thought their offense would carry them today. Sent from my Nexus 10 using Tapatalk
That's the second time I put a bet on East Carolina ever, and probably my last time. SMU..... that's like the worst team in the FBS... you've got to be kidding me lol
