1st combo STL +7 Buff +7 Balt +3.5 NYJ +7 (that one is going to kill me I'm sure, but don't the Jets always play the Chargers tough in San Diego?) 2nd combo...M/L Mayhem KC AZ ATL HOU
For better or worse, went with Jacksonville +7 and Atlanta +4. Also taking Kansas City +6.5 and Arizona +7.5, as per the system that I mentioned heading into this week has a 72.0% success rate. For full disclosure the picks for that system were (in order of confidence) Kansas City +6.5, Arizona +7.5, Baltimore +3.5, Houston +4.5, Carolina -2.5, Detroit -7.5, Green Bay -8.5 and Cincinnati -0.5.
Not a bad day. Still didn't catch up to what I lost yesterday though. I can't bet on a ****ty NE team even if they rebound. I'll take Cincy -2.5 but it's very small.
Thinking About +7 washington, gonna let the line play out tho till the last second... Maybe itll go up
Glad I went small here. I'm not sure if I've ever won a bet taking Cincy. Andy Dalton always lets me down. Sent from my Galaxy S3 using Tapatalk
Went 3 for 6. Lost PHI and DET by half a point and KC had a terrible 4th quarter. I won SD, PIT, and CAR. Could've had a great week, instead I lose a little bit of money. I'm leaning on SEA after the bye. WAS only beat a very poor JAC team to date. I think you have to lay 7 on this.
My math might be off but at first glance it appears the top 17 picks went 6-5-1 yesterday. I did the top 17 because those were tied for 1st and 2nd place.
Well looks like the majority went for underdogs on the road... Chicago and the Ravens probably screwed with everyone. I counted it as a W at halftime with Chicago, then Cutler happened.
Everyone and their mom will be on the Broncos and Chargers next week. They're playing the Jets and Raiders. Should be some opportunities.
Broncos opened up at -7 and are at -9 already. lol As for college football, I'm staring at WVU -4 (vs Texas Tech). I also like -2 Bowling Green (vs Ohio), Bowling Green is 4-2 and Ohio is a terrible team. Will decide later this week though.
If anyone's interested in what Cortana thinks... Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans — Colts win, 59.8% chance (Colts -3) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans — Titans win, 68.8% chance (Titans -6) Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Ravens win, 62.9% chance (Ravens -3) Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets — Broncos win, 77.8% chance (Broncos -8) Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings — Lions win, 55% chance (Lions -1.5) New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills — Patriots win, 53.3% chance (Patriots -3) Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals — Bengals win, 72.9% chance (Bengals -7) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns — Steelers win, 53.3% chance (Browns -2) Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins — Packers win, 58.2% chance (Packers -3) San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders — Chargers win, 80% chance (Chargers -7) Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons — Falcons win, 61.4% chance (Falcons -3) Dallas Cowboys vs. Seattle Seahawks — Seahawks win, 74.2% chance (Seahawks -8) Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals — Cardinals win, 78.9% chance (Cardinals -3.5) New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles — Eagles win, 58.2% chance (Eagles -3) San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams — 49ers win, 68.8% chance (49ers -3.5) http://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-engine-nailed-world-cup-212213703.html
I'd say... Indianapolis -3.0 over Houston simply because this year Thursday night games have been a bloodbath for whichever team has the disadvantage. Luck and the Colts are playing well as of late and I don't think the Texans were ever as good as their 2-0 start. Also the Texans fought pretty hard to the finish in a classic trap game in Dallas, coming up short in overtime, and that can really take the wind out of your sails. Now they have to turn around and play four days later after that overtime heartbreak? New York Giants +3.5 over Philadelphia. My heart tells me not to doubt Chip Kelly. But my head tells me the Giants are on fire and the Eagles really only have a habit of squeaking by bad opponents. Don't let the final score against Jacksonville fool you, for most of that game Jacksonville was dominating and the Jags would've easily covered the spread if Henne didn't decide to fumble and let an Eagles DL recover for a touchdown with like 2 minutes remaining. They squeaked a field goal victory against the Colts, squeaked a field goal victory against the hapless Redskins, squeaked a 6 point victory at home against Austin Davis and the Rams, letting the Rams charge back into the game in the fourth quarter. Even if Philly wins, it seems a damn good chance it'll only be by a field goal, maybe even less. Minnesota +2.0 over Detroit, because A) Teddy Bridgewater comes back, B) The GB blowout wasn't necessarily that the Vikes are THAT bad but probably just part of the weird Thursday night thing that's been happening this year, C) Just a hunch but I think the Lions are going through a short slump. Kind of a trap game here, got beat by Buffalo so now they think they're facing a weak division opponent they can beat up on, but they're gonna find a team that is ready to play them. This is the Detroit Lions. They wouldn't be the Detroit Lions if they didn't go through a stretch at some point in the season to where they have to look at each other and say, "WTF is wrong with us?" New England -3.0 over Buffalo as I think Buffalo's defense kind of shot their wad last week with the emotional win over the Lions and carrying Jim Schwartz off the field, etc. I think this is about the time NE starts to find their groove and indeed they showed they may have found it last week against the Bengals. Some are going to be tempted to see the Bengals win as a product of inability to pressure Brady, then they'll look at the quality on the Bills DL and say this should be different. Maybe. However the quality on the Bengals DL is significant. Geno Atkins is incredible. Carlos Dunlap is great. Wallace Gilberry is a great rush specialist. Margus Hunt had a ridiculous preseason and is physically superb, very much threatening to make me look dumb for doubting him pre-Draft. There was more going on here than the Bengals just having a Falcons-like terrible pass rush, IMO. Carolina +7.0 over Cincinnati simply because I don't believe anyone should be giving 7 points to the Carolina Panthers right now under any circumstances. I mean, I get it, but at the same time Carolina is a 3-2 team and Cam Newton has a pretty good away record, Baltimore game notwithstanding. It just seems like too wide of a spread is all.
****. And now that I say that about the Giants +3.5, I read that Chip Kelly brought in New Zealand All Blacks coach Graham Henry for a chat and is going with all black uniforms Sunday night against the Giants. This is why my heart tells me not to doubt Chip Kelly. People scoff at how gimmicky stuff like this is, how we're all adults and stuff like this shouldn't matter. But there's a part of your brain that gets affected by this kind of stuff no matter how cynical the other part of your brain is. I picked the Giants and I'll stick. But I'm already regretting.
How the hell is Cincinnati a 7 point favorite with possibly no AJ Green.... I'm definitely going to jump on that. :| I don't think Cincinnati has been that impressive, there's always a team that starts hot. The Bills have had great Septembers many times and then their fans are looking forward to the draft in Week 14... Cincinnati likely wins the division but they're not a 7 point favorite on any given Sunday powerhouse.. TNF: Under 47
Having a tough time finding a side for tonight's game. On one hand you have Indy who is playing really well right now but they're a road team on TNF. On the other hand, Houston has a first year head coach and so far that's been disadvantageous on TNF. The public is also all over Indy and yet the line dropped from -3 to -2.5