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Ryan Tannhill led us to the playoffs not Matt Moore

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by dolfan40, Dec 26, 2016.

  1. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    Well on one hand this may be gamesmanship on the part of Gase with the injury report. But, these guys are knuckleheads if they don't give the kid ample recovery time. It'll just f- his knee up for the foreseeable future.
     
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  2. danmarino

    danmarino Tua is H1M! Club Member

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    The ball was thrown and led him right into the defender. Luckily, for us and parker, the defender curled up and avoided the tackle.


     
  3. danmarino

    danmarino Tua is H1M! Club Member

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    Not really. It's been shown that RT needs protection, as do all QB's, in order to "be good".

    New England: Ajayi-14 yards/ RT 94 passer rating
    Cleveland: Ajayi- 28 yards/ RT 94 passer rating
    Chargers: Ajayi- 75 yards/ RT 130 passer rating
    Rams: Ajayi-77 yards/ RT 89 passer rating
    Arizona: Ajayi48 yards/ RT 124 passer rating
     
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  4. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    No, no, no ..... try again.

    Look at the space between he and the defenders AFTER HE CAUGHT THE BALL (not to mention he has a blocker ahead) ...... but please continue marginalizing.

    [​IMG]
     
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  5. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    Actually what Tanny has shown is you must reduce the amount of attempts he has (will finish with career lows regardless of the injury), plus the THREAT of an actual run game and a competent O-line.

    What QB wouldn't need these things though? Unless of course they're elite, in which case they don't always need perfect surroundings.
     
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2016
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  6. danmarino

    danmarino Tua is H1M! Club Member

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    You can keep showing incomplete frames of the play, but it still doesn't make you correct. The video I posted shows the truth. I'm not marginalizing anything. It wasn't a bad throw, but it was a TD because, and ONLY because, the defender curled up. Not because of ball placement.
     
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  7. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    I never said the ball placement was the sole reason for the TD. You on the other hand keep crapping on all of his throws, completely understating what he did out there - especially as far as recognition in the 2nd half.

    It would be one thing if defenders were draped all over DVP and he made a circus play like we see with runningbacks. However, Moore led him perfectly on a drag route with SPACE BETWEEN multiple defenders. DVP then turned on the jets, with two defenders late on the play taking bad angles getting shed like crumbs.

    This is what they call teamwork.
     
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2016
  8. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    In regards to the D.Williams catch that he turned up field for 44 yards - now that is throw where Moore is locked onto Williams and Gilmore sees it all the way ..... but he's playing back in a zone so there's no way for him to jump the route. His recognition enables him to get up on Williams quickly.

    Williams was mostly responsible for that turning into a big play.
     
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  9. keypusher

    keypusher Well-Known Member

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    Man, this thread keeps getting crazier. No, I didn't say RT would have thrown 4 TDs against the Jets. I said we would have won. But given that Moore had never thrown four TD passes in a game before, I wouldn't rule Tannehill doing it out against the jets that night.
     
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2016
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  10. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    C'mon guys.. this isn't difficult. Tannehill helped us win 8 of 10 and Moore helped us win the other 2.

    And I think it's equally unfair to take away Moore's contribution from the Buffalo game as it is Tannehill's from the Rams game. Both played terrible for long stretches of those games, but what they did do right led to crucial TD's. Can't just dismiss that because someone on the defense missed a tackle etc.. that's all part of the game!
     
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  11. danmarino

    danmarino Tua is H1M! Club Member

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    I wrote from the beginning that we are lucky to have Moore. He's a gamer and he's doing what he's supposed to be doing. My only point in this debate is he's not as good as RT. He's completed 31 passes in 3 games. Yes, his passer rating is really good, but it's skewed because he's played so little. His passer rating is better than anyone playing QB not named Matt Ryan. I'm not going to call that lineman from KC the best QB ever because his one and only pass was a TD against the Broncos...after all, his passer rating is 158, right? lol
     
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  12. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    Dude!! That play with Dontari Poe was AWESOME!! It's like rubbing salt in the wound of a SB champ.

    In any case, I think most agree Tannehill > Moore based on the 2 games so far. I'll change my opinion if Moore plays lights out in games to come of course, but right now I think most people see Moore as a competent backup to Tannehill. Having said that, I do hope Moore plays lights out and way outperforms Tannehill or any other QB! I want that SB dammit!
     
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  13. The Finest

    The Finest Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    The overarching point is that tannehill doesn't move the needle
     
  14. The Finest

    The Finest Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Still Tanny >>> Moore
     
  15. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    OK so how about this...his average yearly salary = $19.25M, Average yearly salary for top 32 QB contracts = $19.8M. He's out-performing his contract.

    There sure is a difference.
     
  16. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Tannehill had been beating blitzes quite a bit this year too, and was like the #1 under pressure QB in the NFL.


    Stop trying to confuse the narrative with fact.
     
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  17. Runnincm

    Runnincm Active Member

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    Talk about twisting facts and then your post saying how it is true LOOOOL Tannehill lovers. Tannnehill had a 39QBR vs. the browns - Ajayi was still splitting carries just like the NE game. The team had 115 yards rushing vs. cleveland, but RyGuy still managed two picks against that team.
     
  18. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Last year people complained that Tannehill threw too much because we would abandon the run game. This year, Tannehill throws a little less, because we actually run the ball, and that's now an indictment of Tannehill? Even though he had been having a great season, and the team was winning.

    Oh, and Tannehill is bad against blitzes (ROFL), and Moore gives the team a better chance to win.

    Crazy pills.
     
  19. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    39 QBR? Who the **** pays attention to that bull**** stat, besides the mouth breathers at ESPN?

    Save it...most moronic pile of crap I've seen today, and that's saying something.
     
  20. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    btw.. to the question of how many passing attempts Matt Moore (or any QB) should have before we can start comparing their passer rating to other starting QB's, this is a graph of all passer ratings by attempts over a season the past 9 years (2007-2015):
    https://i.imgsafe.org/438a70c024.png

    You can start to compare passer ratings when attempts are different once the variance (how much the data varies vertically) is approximately the same, and it looks like that means QB's with 150+ attempts are roughly comparable. Matt Moore has 53 attempts right now, so let's see what his passer rating is after he gets closer to 150 attempts.

    btw.. the QB at far right in that graph is Matthew Stafford with a single-season high record 727 attempts in 2012!!
     
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2016
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  21. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Or we could simply compare career numbers.

    You guys keep acting like Matt Moore is some sort of unknown quantity.
     
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  22. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    You can definitely do that, but I would make sure to adjust stats for era first if you do. That is.. note that for example average league-wide passer rating in 2007 (first year for Moore) is 80.9 while it was 88.4 last year. So I'd personally have a problem with just a raw (unadjusted) career passer rating comparison unless they were over roughly the same years.
     
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  23. Fin-O

    Fin-O Initiated Club Member

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    Ryan has always produced better on average under pressure than without pressure. Is he as calm and cool as Moore when under siege? No. but he has been beating blitzes for years now.
     
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  24. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    You're over-simplifying those situations.

    The "threat" of Ajayi keeps defenses honest. If it were Damien Williams out there - Tanny would be facing different defensive looks. So there's a mixture of good execution, as well as benefiting from one of the league's better backs.
     
  25. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    Ryan Fitzpatrick was 10th in QBR for half the season. And several top end quarterbacks were ranked relatively low. Anyone who uses that stat as some kind of legit evaluation tool is really grasping at straws.

    There's a reason ESPN is the only one who uses it, and there's a reason it's often mocked.
     
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  26. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Yeah, I just don't think we need to see anything more from him. We already have all the data we need. How he finishes this season doesn't change his career averages a whole lot, probably.
     
  27. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    Anybody with eyeballs knew they needed to cut down Tannehill's attempts considerably ...... 582 attempts/year was absolute madness. His efficiency is a function of talent, Gase's playcalling, and a run-focused attack. I personally mentioned multiple times this is what I wanted to see if we were to stay with him as our starting QB because trying to turn him into Aaron Rodgers was pointless.

    Finishing the season with divisional road games and a couple of non-division playoff contenders was an important barometer given the playoffs were on the line.

    It's just too bad he got hurt.
     
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2016
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  28. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    He beats blitzes with his arm, instead of his legs.

    The the majority of his career when he's forced to move around is when the difficulties start for him - due to lacking a natural feel in the pocket. Gase was helping him to improve that a bit this year.
     
  29. Fin-O

    Fin-O Initiated Club Member

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    Yep. Throwing at that rate is not a recipe for success unless you are like 3 guys on the planet.

    We finally have the ingredients in place to be a 12 win football team and division champs in 2017.
     
  30. roy_miami

    roy_miami Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, if it were up to me Moore never would have been signed in the first place. He shouldn't have been allowed to hang around through the Philbin regime and it should have been a huge no brainer for Gase to get new guy to groom. Had we been looking in the thirdish round we might have snagged Dak.
     
  31. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    We need some pieces on defense first. A linebacker and a pass rusher.

    Get those two things, get some healthy guys back like Reshad and Pouncey? Yeah, we can definitely win the division.
     
  32. Runnincm

    Runnincm Active Member

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    You are going to be sadly disapppinted if you are expecting 12 wins next year. Tannehill will be back and the schedule won't be the easiest in the NFL again
     
  33. Fin-O

    Fin-O Initiated Club Member

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    Agreed.

    And to me this is why his long term value as our QB is evident. He has been through the worst of the worst from a situational standpoint. And now he has all those experiences under his belt and because of that football must seem so much more easier to him now.

    In football (and life) you can go through some horrible **** and become much better for it, it's called overcoming things and not feeling sorry for yourself and pounding it in to your own head that its "not my fault". Those people fail in life in general much less at QB in the NFL. In 2017 Ryan will likely cement the "made it" role, and we should be proud of him for having the mentality to do that.

    The perfect example of this again is Tim Couch, he really believed that nothing was his fault...he was broken emotionally and took on the poor me attitude. He didn't last in this league despite having all the tools you could want in a QB. Because he was a mental midget.
     
  34. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    I was referring to Moore with regards to knowing what he is, and career numbers probably not changing much. I would really like to see Tannehill play in those sorts of games under Gase.
     
  35. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    I dont know man...I would usually agree but a guy who believes nothing is his fault and his anus is golden just became our president soooo.
     
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  36. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    One can adjust for strength of schedule by finding the best-fitting line between wins our opponents have on the x-axis and whether we won or lost that game (represented by 1 or 0) on the y-axis. Wherever that line crosses the 8 wins point on the x-axis tells you what to expect given an average strength of schedule.

    Turns out the Dolphins would be expected to win just a tad over 8 games with an average strength of schedule, given our games this season. How we end the season changes the result though: if we beat the Pats we'll have performed as a 9-win team on average, if we lose we're a bit better than a 7 win team with average strength of schedule.
     
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2016
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  37. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    I'll go against my "don't feed the trolls" policy one last time, just for you.

    Besides the Cheatriots playing Houston where we played Tennessee (basically a push), and the Cheatriots playing Denver when we played San Diego (tougher game for NE), the schedules were identical.

    That the only reason they have 13 wins?

    There is currently, ZERO way of knowing how tough next year's schedule will be. At the beginning of this season, this year's schedule looked a TON tougher than it ended up. Arizona was favored to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. The Stej were a 10-6 team. The Jills were on the brink of the playoffs, and expected by several to make the playoffs. The Bengals were a very good team. As of now, next year's schedule looks harder than this year's, but it's impossible to tell. Anybody who's watched more than one year of football knows this...yet I have to repeat this every year, and it proves true every time.

    Edit: And even if we lose the Cheatriots game, we'll be tied for the best home record in the AFC...WITH said Cheaters.
     
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  38. LI phinfan

    LI phinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I'd probably settle for 11 wins and that you don't come back!.. yeesh, time to change the broken record already
    I tend to trust Gase knows what he is doing.. you?, not so much

    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
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  39. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Whether you agree or not I think both sides are presenting their cases in a respectful fashion..except 1
     
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  40. Rock Sexton

    Rock Sexton Anti-Homer

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    I understand "why" you think that, so I won't attempt to debate you on it.

    From my perspective - yes he's been in the league 9 years but he's only appeared in 45 games (started 27). Starting QB's generally don't hit their primes until year 5 and beyond. I believe under better coaching conditions his career trajectory could have been different, as well as his performance.
     
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