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Am I Crazy?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by texanphinatic, Sep 20, 2020.

  1. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Or have we played 2 games against two playoff/Super Bowl contending teams?
     
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  2. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=-

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    You're a lunatic. All due respect.
     
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  3. Destroyer

    Destroyer There for every play.

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    Yes very crazy. Buffalo has played Miami and Jets. Bottom 5 teams IMO.
     
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  4. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    Am I crazy or did many experts predict that Miami will be a playoff contender as well? They basically got smacked in the face twice.

    Your "it's ok to be a loser" attitude is what's very wrong with this fanbase.
     
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  5. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    The Jests are awful, but the Bills are good. We aren't talking about a team that went 4-12 last year, they were a playoff team and should have beaten Houston. I hope Josh Allen hasn't really turned the corner, but he's looked really good and played largely mistake free. That was their biggest weakness on a playoff team.

    Meh, realism has to strike at some point. We don't have the talent base and experience at this point. New England and Buffalo are largely veteran teams that have had key pieces in place for multiple years, we haven't.

    We've played two really good teams. We haven't gotten crushed, we've gamed. We lost, ok.

    I think we are simply seeing a dose of reality - we overachieved some at the end of last year. Fitz was bound to regress. Our defense will take time to gel and still features a decent amount of filler like Lawson and Ogbah.

    Let's play more than 2 games against last years playoff teams before we decide Flores is Cam Cameron and we will be worse than 5-11 lol. Chill y'all!
     
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  6. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    Bills are Division round exit talented, the Pats are Wildcard round exit talent. Miami is in the running for Trevor Lawrence (and you take him if you get the chance).

    Oh, and yes, you lack mental stability! :chuckle:
     
  7. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    Quoted myself by accident!
     
  8. ExplosionsInDaSky

    ExplosionsInDaSky Well-Known Member

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    Agreed, moral victories occur in extremely rare circumstances. We had a chance to win this game, we should have won, we should be playing better.
     
  9. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    The scores don't really indicate what happened in these two games.
     
  10. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    All of this a fair observation!

    But man, some people are acting like we've just gotten crushed. Teams that should be real worried are teams like the Eagles and Vikings. Then there are teams like the Jests and Lions.

    I will say, losing to the Jags and the Seahawks? That's when we should start really questioning things. Just seems like people maybe got a bit unrealistic in their expectations.

    I do want to see Tua though. Fitz can sit.
     
  11. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Every fan of every team likes to make this argument. Ultimately, the scores are what they are and the records are what they are. It's not good certainly. But we aren't the worst team in the league. We aren't a returning playoff team or even a playoff competitor from last year off to a disappointing start.

    We are the leagues youngest team with a streaky/flukey QB and like 6-7 new defensive starters, a whole new OL, a whole new RB unit. Expecting everything to come together to roll a pair of solid and well coached teams was fun homerism for awhile, but probably we got ahead of ourselves.
     
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  12. KeyFin

    KeyFin Well-Known Member

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    I thought about that myself- what if we are picking #1 overall? Do you really take Lawrence and shop Tua...AKA the Rosen technique? I think you almost have to play Tua extensively this season to know that answer for sure, because you'd hope the right move would probably be trading down and grabbing some more skill players.

    I really hope it doesn't come to that....but if we're only going to win 4 or 5 games anyway is that worth rooting for yet again? LOL, Go Titans!
     
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  13. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    It’ll be interesting to see how New England plays against Seattle tonight because that will provide some perspective about last week’s game.
     
  14. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    IF we are winless or have at most 1 win midseason then yes you have to play Tua precisely because of the scenario you describe. You have to find out how good Tua is. If he's not the QB you hoped for then you pick Lawrence.

    Thing is, 4-5 wins won't do it. You'll most likely need at most 2 wins (e.g., last year you had one 2-win team and two 3-win teams). Competition is fierce at the bottom too lol!
     
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  15. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    There are some bad teams, lead by the Jests. The Lions also are looking bad. I wouldn't be surprised to see them fire Patricia rather quickly. Philly and Minny have both surprisingly looked abysmal as well.
     
  16. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    Wouldn't Tua have to look like one of the worst quarterbacks in the history of the game to prompt that decision with such a small sample size? I mean even Josh Rosen got 13 games to look like one of the worst quarterbacks in the history of the game before the Cardinals moved on the following year.
     
  17. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    If Lawrence is thought to be a generational talent and Tua doesn't do well in 8 games or so, what would you do? Gamble that it's just small sample size with Tua or go after a generational talent? I go after the generational talent.

    There's of course a 3rd option: pick Lawrence and keep Tua. Well this is all irrelevant speculation anyway. I don't think we'll end up worst in the league, and you'll have to be the worst to pick Lawrence as no one is trading away that pick.
     
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  18. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Plenty of game to play, but Cam just drove them down and ran it in himself.
     
  19. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    I disagree with this. This score is what it is in the W-L column, but from the perspective of analyzing your team, the score doesnt show anything about how well or poorly you played.

    In my opinion.
     
  20. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    How can the score show “nothing” about how well or poorly a team played? You don’t figure that by the end of the year, overall points differential is a pretty good indicator of the quality of teams throughout the league?
     
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  21. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    You’re coo coo for Cocoa Puffs!

    :sidelol:
     
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  22. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Cocoa Puffs are the bomb. Delicious AND you get chocolate milk at the end?!?!?!
     
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  23. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    Easily.

    Sometimes a play has nothing to do with what you actually did defensively.

    For instance, last year on the pick 6 brady threw, we played it terribly defensively and there were two WR open by a few feet each. Brady threw a duck between them both that was picked off.

    I dont care about the result when evaluating performance on the play. I care that it should have been an easy completion.
     
  24. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Allen sure does look like he's turned the corner from that debacle he displayed against Houston. Caveat: he's played the Stej and Fins so far.
     
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  25. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    OK, so you're saying that in the case of an extremely small sample size (i.e., one score), point differential can be meaningless in terms of the quality of a team. That I can agree with. What I can't agree with is that over the long haul (e.g., a season), point differential is meaningless as an indicator of the quality of teams.

    Certainly you don't think that after 16 games, a point differential of let's say +200 means nothing in comparison to a point differential of -200, in terms of an indicator of the quality of the two teams? The team with the point differential of -200 is just as good as the team with the point differential of +200?
     
  26. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    My issue is that I'm kind of talking more about week to week.

    I'd love the full seasons worth of data, but by the time I have it, it just doesnt help me preparing for week 3 or 4.

    Also it's possible some of my early year problems arent my late year problems. Maybe early on we couldnt stop the run, but the last few weeks it's the pass we are struggling against.

    I agree all the data encapsulates the season better.
     
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  27. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Right that's the coaches job, but even then we may not see all the nuance. Was Brady baited into the mistake via setups from earlier? Did pressure come? Did the scheme confuse him? Or ... did he just make a huge mental error, but we still managed to capitalize instead of dropping the ball.

    Probably the best argument you can make is the idea of a team down by 3+ TDs making up some score differential in garbage time, but ultimately that's fairly obvious and doesn't happen as much as probably think.
     
  28. Fishhead

    Fishhead Well-Known Member

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    Buffalo is a legit playoff team. Too early to tell with Cam and the Patsies.


    It’s very clear that Miami needed a full camp and preseason, maybe more than any team in the league.
     
  29. Puka-head

    Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member

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    We are probably losing to the shehacks. And the timing sucks for catching the jags. Starting the season with 3 of 4 playoff teams is tough. Set expectations accordingly.
     
  30. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Always tough going coast to coast, and four weeks in we may either be seeing Tua or starting to gel. I'd give the Hawks a wide margin, but it's gettable.

    Jags have put up some offensive numbers, but I think a lot is just volume and playing without abandon - almost like us late last season. Minshew is playing well but making mistakes. I think if we win the TO/Penalty battle we win the game and vice versa.
     

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