So this will put Tua off for another 2-3 weeks minimum. As long as we hover around 500 for the year Fitz will be the guy.
Dolphins still only 65% likely to win right now, despite the score. That's because the 49ers were favored so heavily.
Both -- Dolphins are playing extremely well in the passing game, and 49ers are playing extremely poorly in the passing game, hence the score. You don't see lopsided games in the NFL unless both teams contribute. Too much parity.
Fantastic half of football. On both sides of the ball. Apart from that one drive, the Niners haven’t had a look-in. Keep it up, guys.
Yeah but we've basically assaulted one practice squad level corner is my point and their offense has been off more than our defense has been amazing. We have played well dont me wrong, but I think their own mistakes have as much to do with the score.
That's what I mean -- we're playing extremely well in the passing game, and they're playing extremely poorly in their offensive passing game. Picking on one corner doesn't fully explain a passer rating of 150, EPA per pass play of 0.86, and CPOE of 21.7. Those numbers are astronomical.
It kind of explains it fairly well actually. No one thing fully explains any group statistic but I'd wager that is the biggest factor.
Garoppolo's passer rating is 15.7. EPA per pass play -0.63. CPOE -23. Pretty much can't do any worse.
Well, something has to be the biggest factor. But you're talking about the biggest factor in something astronomical and highly improbable. There are other strong factors.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/8379024/nfl-explaining-expected-points-metric https://www.nfl.com/news/next-gen-stats-introduction-to-completion-probability-0ap3000000964655