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Great site analyzing Dolphins playoff chances-

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by burton87, Dec 5, 2008.

  1. burton87

    burton87 New Member

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  2. Mile High Fin

    Mile High Fin New Member

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    Thanks for the link. Very interesting site and info.
     
  3. The Aqua Crush

    The Aqua Crush New Member

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    I used to use that site for NHL teams, awesome site to see how a win or loss effects a teams chances. I couldn't refind the site, so happy you posted it here burton.

    Intersting to see our game is much more imp. than the jets, pats games this week. A jets and pats win only effects us -2.2 percent each game. A dolphins loss is -17 pts. If we win we increase our chances by 17 %.

    This site is awesome for people wanting the statistical effect of each game. If you click on the AFC east link it shows graphically how each team has move up or down.
     
  4. Califin

    Califin Well-Known Member

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    Cool site, even though I'm unsure what the specific percentage points (displayed when hovering over) are in reference to, nor if the graph is suggesting what I would basically assume it suggests, whereby the higher the graph spikes, the more the teams chances improve.

    Given that understanding, and with respect to the graph "Chance Will Make Playoffs", I'm a bit confused as to why our victory at Denver (%30.01) appeared to have earned us a %10 climb, yet our victory over Oakland (%49.47) revealed a much greater spike.

    This, while the Raiders were considered a far weaker team, both were outside the division, and the win was accomplished at home as opposed to Denvers Mile High Stadium.

    The New England contests, and the disparities of their outcomes are also mystifying, as our win garnered less than 10 percentage points, while our loss to them saw our chances plummet 30 percent? A difference imo, that seems skewed despite the narrowing playoff picture.

    While our return to playoff contention last week was greatly affected by our division rival's simultaneous losses, our resulting defeat of the Ram's, would appear to show a graphical relation, arguably appropriate to the opponents strength, and thus the curious inconsistencies.
     
  5. Califin

    Califin Well-Known Member

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    Actually, the "affect" of divisional wins and losses would indeed magnify considerably as the picture narrows, so if the graph reflects the "effect" that each win or loss had, "when" it occured, then that would probably clear up my confusion.
     
  6. felly smarts

    felly smarts New Member

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    I must be stupid because I couldn't understand a word of it. :no:

    It made absolutly no sense to me what so ever. :cry:
     
  7. Califin

    Califin Well-Known Member

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    I was simply referring to our meetings with the Pats this year, having beaten them in week 3 the graph reflects merely an "atta boy" effect, as opposed to the devastating way the graph calculated our loss to them week 12.

    I presume week three with everyone still in the hunt, it didn't really mean diddely squat, while in week 12, with teams separating, our loss then can arguably be seen as more pivotal.
     
    cnc66 likes this.
  8. cnc66

    cnc66 wiley veteran, bad spelur Luxury Box

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    So today, I need to be a Miami, 49er, Bengal, Redskins, Seachicken, Cowboys, and Packers fan.

    Man, that NE game rocked our odds turribul.
     
  9. Califin

    Califin Well-Known Member

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    Actually, I now see what the percentage number relates to, answering the apparent disparity between what appeared to be the value attached to the opponent, is instead the calculated result of where the teams chances lie after any given win or loss.

    :wacko:
     
  10. RGF

    RGF THE FINSTER Club Member

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    Relax! My crystal ball says all is well in Dolphin land.For the second week in a row our beloved fins will be the only victorious team from the AFC east.
    ..Upset of the week- "Seachickens" over the Patricias.
     
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