So a guy goes into a bar to talk about Gold investing..funny illustration

padre31 · May 17, 2009

http://lewrockwell.com/daughty/mogambo10.html

by Richard Daughty

I looked around the barroom and said, “The gold exchange on the Comex is a den of lying, thieving, corrupt bastards who are in cahoots with the lying, thieving, corrupt banks and the lying, thieving, corrupt government!”

Instead of the expected rousing response of, “You’re right, Mighty, Mighty Mogambo (MMM)! This is an outrage!” all I got was a few, “Shut the hell up!” replies and one wag saying, “Tell us something we don’t already know! Hahaha!”

Undaunted, I continued on with an appeal to their greedy natures by saying, “Well, GoldForecaster.com reported the interesting news that ‘With a hefty increase in long positions of nearly 28 tonnes and the trimming of some short positions, COMEX turned around again and went long last week.’ This means that although the gold exchange is full of lying, thieving, corrupt bastards, they are not stupid! They are buying gold! These are the insiders! And they’re buying! Gold is going up! They know it! I know it! Now you know it!”

There was a sickly silence in the room until the bartender came over and bent down low and said, “Why don’t you go someplace else with your Stupid Mogambo Crap (SMC), because we are all really sick of hearing you run your loud mouth.”

So I look him in the eye with every ounce of sincerity I can muster, and I say, “But this is a chance to make some money! Your retirement and investment accounts are down by almost half, and the valuations of stocks are too high by more than half! Hell, the price-to-earnings ratio for the Dow Jones Industrial Index is now a hefty 43.1! It should be, historically, less than 20!”

My voice rising, my eyes started to bug out in hysteria, and I said to him “And as bad as that is, it is better than the Dow Transportation Index which has a P/E ratio of 54.40, which in turn is better than the S&P 500 Index, which sports a staggering P/E of 62.45, thanks to a piddly $11.88 of earnings!”

I can see his eyes actually glazing over in confusion and disinterest, and so I again turn to my bar companions and shout, “Hell, the dividends of the S&P500 are $22.86, meaning that the corporations in the index are paying out 50% more than they make! How long do you think stock prices will go up, you morons, when they are giving away the store? And yet with a guaranteed fall in the stock market, insiders buying gold, and central banks around the freaking world suddenly creating money by the ton and buying gold, you don’t buy gold? You’re all morons! Morons!”

Almost as if planned, the bartender and most of the patrons get simultaneously to their feet and start coming at me, shouting, “That’s it! You’re outta here!”
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The companies listed in the S&P as a whole are paying out more in dividends then they are making in profits, the writer is correct, sooner or later, that will collapse.

texasPHINSfan · May 21, 2009

commodity speculation is something i've always done. it is one of the most blatantly cyclical things in the investment world.

padre31 · May 21, 2009

texasPHINSfan said:

commodity speculation is something i've always done. it is one of the most blatantly cyclical things in the investment world.
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Yep. Though I tend to try and only sell when the sale can pay for itself.

With gold at 950 today, if I paid 475 per oz, I can sell half and keep the rest, it paid for itself.

To me, with the current monetary policy commodities will see a prolonged bump, unless something really terrible happens and demand just falls due to weak demand via unemployment or a dollar crash.

texasPHINSfan · May 21, 2009

padre31 said:

To me, with the current monetary policy commodities will see a prolonged bump, unless something really terrible happens and demand just falls due to weak demand via unemployment or a dollar crash.
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this is entirely possible and is why i'm cautious right now. i do the same with oil speculation as it trades almost perfectly inverse to the dollar

Themole · May 25, 2009

I'm going the 90% junk silver route. I feel it has more ground to cover to catch up with gold. It also give me a bigger pile to waller on when get the notion.

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