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2012 NFL Sharps Challenge (season 2)

Discussion in 'Other NFL' started by Fin-Omenal, Sep 1, 2012.

  1. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    For us avid and recreational gamblers this is a great time of the year for multiple reasons. One being the added thrill of sportsbetting.

    Last year we selected our 3 best NFL games against the spread each, while I was fortunate enough to come out on top last year, I think a high % of us had winning records wich is not easy to do. After all sports betting isn't a billion dollar industry because cappers are picking winners.

    Rules

    1. Max of 3 NFL games (Sides & totals)
    2. Please don't "edit" posts after your first game is kicked off. Mods can see this.
    3. When posting your picks please include your total record and results from previous week.
    4. Last year we used Bodog for lines I believe, I'm open to using it again but ESPN lines and any reputable sportsbook are acceptable, just specify wich you are using please.
    5. Write ups are not necessary but encouraged, sometimes a fellow members reasoning behind there pick makes a ton of sense and honestly the ultimate goal is to help eachother in the "real" betting world while gaining some minor bragging rights on here.

    We had about 8-9 people consistently posting last year but unfortunatly if someone was picking bad they didn't participate....EVERYONE has cold streaks gentleman, no need to be discouraged.

    GL
     
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  2. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    I'll give this a shot this year. I know nothing about this but could definitely use to learn about it.
     
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  3. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Week 1- 0-0

    Lines via 5Dimes


    Rams +9 @ Detroit

    As of now this team is healthy, they have the kind of DL that will wreak havoc if you are one dimensional. And Detroit is as one dimensional as it gets. Chris Long and Robert Quinn will be in Staffords face all day, the Rams offense is balanced and will score. Not only do the Rams cover the 9, I think they have a shot at winning out right.

    SD/OAK Under 47 1/2

    Not sure what I'm missing here, not exactly 2 good offenses and 2 bad defenses. Vegas has me scratching my head on this one.


    SEA -1 1/2 @ Arizona

    Forget who the QB is, the Cards OL can not protect. I know a rookie QB on the road is not ideal for success, but the Seahawks defense is underrated and Lynch is a stud.
     
  4. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    You know I'm in. I'll post mine sometime next week.
     
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  5. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Week 1 (0-0)

    Lines from BetOnline.ag

    NYG -3.5

    Not sure how the defending SB champs are only a .5 favorite on a neutral field.

    Philly -9

    I see the same thing happening this year as last years week 1 game between Philly and STL.

    GB -5.5

    Aaron Rodgers is 33-17 ATS. I'll take my chances.
     
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  6. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Week 1- 0-0

    Lines via Bovada

    Seattle -3 @ Arizona

    Arizona is arguably one of the few teams worst than the Phins. No brainer here.


    New England -6 @ Tennessee

    I expect New England to score and score big against Tennessee. Let me know when Tom Brady isn't Tom Brady and Jake Locker is a real QB.



    New York Football Giants -4 vs Dallas

    Defending super bowl champs. Explosive, high powered offense. Scary good DL. Witten is also a huge question mark. I think New York wins easily.
     
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  7. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    This might get more views if it was in the lounge or something...?
     
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  8. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Leave it to the NYG to screw up the trend of opening day SB champs covering the spread.
     
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  9. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    The Rams/Det has moved from 9 to 7.5
     
  10. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Peter Kings article likely had a lot to do with it. Although you didn't have to be a GENUIS to see that change of culture in ST Louie.
     
  11. Paul 13

    Paul 13 Chaotic Neutral & Unstable Genius Staff Member

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    I would have picked the over last night... but since I didn't... it doesn't count :tongue2: Trend was totally for the over though.
     
  12. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Don't be scrrrred..
     
  13. Paul 13

    Paul 13 Chaotic Neutral & Unstable Genius Staff Member

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    didn't I win this last year?
     
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  14. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    ok I shall try my hand at this:

    Minnesota -3.5 against Jacksonville
    No, Minnesota is not an elite team, but they should be able to beat a weak Jacksonville team by more the 3.5.

    Seattle -2.5 at Aizona
    Ha, Arizona is going to be as bad as us this year. This game won't even be close.

    Oakland -1 vs San Diego
    A lot of people like the Chargers year in year out, but we've seen the raiders step up their game the past year or two. I think they surprise some this week and do the job against a caught off-guard SD team.

    EDIT: at 7:19 PDT just to note that I got these lines from footballlocks.. it was the first site that popped up when i googled the lines. If this is unacceptable let me know
     
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  15. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Bumping.

    Sad to see last years guys not in this....can't be afraid of failure gents.
     
  16. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Week 2- (1-2)

    Lines via betonline.ag

    Minnesota @ Indianapolis (+1.5)

    I just don't think the Vikings are a good team save for AP. Indianapolis has a very solid squad, and Luck earns his first NFL victory this week.

    Arizona @ New England (-14)

    Even giving 2 TD's New England should slaughter Arizona. Cards don't know who their starter will be this week, and NE seems to have discovered their running game. I expect Brady to rip them apart.

    Houston (-7) @ Jacksonville

    Is this for real? Seems to good to be true. I expect a repeat of week 1 for the Texans
     
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  17. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    0-3 cause that's how I roll....
     
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  18. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    Ditto. Will try harder this year
     
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  19. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Week 2 (2-1)

    Via 5 Dimes


    Chicago +7 @ GB

    This offense is reborn in Chi town...Marshall looks unstoppable, Forte is healthy. No reason the can't keep this within 7.


    TB +9 @ NYG

    Schiano returns to NY with a young team that I believe plays with great pride and effort. Doug Martin looks like a fine player.



    KC +3 @ Buffalo

    The Bills OL is terrible, unless Spiller goes bizerk I think KC wins outright.


    GL
     
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  20. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    and by year of course i meant week., anyway, here goes:
    via footballlines again

    New Orleans (-2.5) at Carolina
    Saints. Get. Pissed.

    Miami (+2.5) vs Oakland
    Tannehill. Is. Pissed.

    Washington (-3) at St. Louis
    RGIII. Stays. Pissed.
     
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  21. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Week 2 (0-3) Betonline.ag

    Baltimore (+2.5) The Eagles are garbage.
    Houston (-7) The Jags are garbage as well.
    NE (-14) Tenn>Ari
     
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  22. Paul 13

    Paul 13 Chaotic Neutral & Unstable Genius Staff Member

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    since I didn't post first week... we post three right?

    So I'll go for a sixer to make up for it:

    GB/Chi un 52 ... trend is seriously for the under. It's the only trend I'm looking at with my six games
    Hou -7.5 ... Houston goes on the road to prove they are the real thing
    Oak/Mia un 39.5 ... this has to be a low scoring game... just has to.
    Dall -3 ... lets see if the Cowboys are for real against an inconsistent Sea team.
    Wash -3 ... same thing with the Cowboys... lets see if RG3 is for real on the road again in the dome vs the pathetic Rams
    Pitt -5 ... at home vs the Jets, possibly without Revis... Steelers should be out for blood. Clark is back at safety. They should destroy the Jets... should.

    lines from sportsinteraction.com
     
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2012
  23. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    2-1. I'll take a Pats loss though. :)
     
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  24. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Week 3 (3-3, last week 1-2)

    lines via betonline.ag

    NY stinking fistpumping sonofab**** Jests at Miami (+3)

    The Dolphins come out the gate and destroy the living day lights out of the Jests, rendering Fistpumper's offense inept and the punchline of jokes for years to come. Dolphins win handily by 88 points, and Rex Ryan's wife denies him her feet later that night.


    Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-3)

    Again, I think Indy is better than they are given credit for. If MJD is contained this should be a no contest, especially if Henne sees action again this week.


    Cincinnati (+3.5) at Washington

    I'm starting to become a believer in Andy Dalton. I like the Skins a lot this year too, but just have a gut feeling that Cincy pulls this one out.
     
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  25. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    alrighty then, 1-5. Time to step it up:

    via footballlines

    Detroit (-3) at Tennessee
    tennessee is not playing that great, and the lions look to bounce back from a tough loss this week

    Pittsburgh (-5) at Oakland
    Sorry Raiders, but Pittsburgh can stop the run too, so unless you figure out the passing game you're staring at 0-3.

    Atlanta (+3) at San Diego
    San Diego realizes they are San Diego this week, they take a nap against an fairly elite Atlanta team.
     
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  26. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Agree with all those picks Penn.
     
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  27. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Week 3 (2-4)


    Atlanta +3
    Detroit -3.5
    Indy -3

    Betonline.ag
     
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  28. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    Week 3 (3-3)

    Lines via 5dimes

    ATL +3

    Chargers are getting way over valued here, Atlanta is Rollin to the WC on a short week I know, but they are better in ever facet of the game.

    Rams +7.5

    Yea that's 3 weeks in a row I'm takin the Rams...Steven Jackson or not.

    KC +9.5

    They looked terrible last week and now travel to a public darling on the road. Vegas wants you to take the Saints....
     
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  29. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Week 4 (3-6)

    Rebound week.

    Tampa -3

    The Bucs are 3-0 this year ATS. I like them at home against a young QB.

    Atlanta -7

    The Falcons are 3-0 as well ATS. The only team Carolina has beat is a team that is still winless.

    Houston -12

    Lots of points here but I have my reason(s). Before the Titans played Detroit, they lost by 28 and 21. The Lions have a very weak defense giving up 25+ pts in all their games. The Texans defense is solid and Houston should roll.

    Lines via Betonline.ag
     
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  30. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

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    2-1 last week...see a lot of good totals out there this week.

    Week 4 (5-4)

    Baltimore -12
    ..Brandon Weeden is not very good, the Browns OL is badddd. Bmore on a short week gets it done 27-7 ish, and the Colt McCoy backers come out in full force.

    SF -4
    ...Jets are a bad team. Harbaugh will have his troops blood thirsty and focused.

    Chicago/Dallas OVER 41.5
    ....2 overrated defenses and 2 high powered offenses on prime time.


    GL
     
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  31. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    well i have a ton of catching up to do

    week 4 (2-7)

    lines via footballlines

    San Fran (-4.5) at NYJ
    Jets took a serious hit with Revis out, and they are not a good team anyway. SF handles this game

    Oakland (+7) at Denver
    Sure, Denver may win, but by 7? nah

    Cincinnatti (-1) at Jacksonville
    Bengals win this one

    rolling with the away teams this week
     
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  32. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Week 4 (4-5, last week 1-2)
    lines via Bovada

    Oakland at Denver (-7)
    going with Denver here. I know Oakland is coming off a big win but I think Peyton will exploit that soft secondary.

    Cincinnati (-3) at Jacksonville
    I'm sticking with the Bengals until Andy Dalton cools down. Jacksonville struggled last week against Luck, I think they are in for a repeat performance.

    Washington (+3) at Tampa Bay
    This should be a really tight game. I believe Garcon will play and RGIII has a big day as the Skins roll to victory.
     
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  33. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    Week 4 (0-0)

    Min +4
    Buf +4
    Jax -1
     
  34. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    woot first week where i got two games right! 4-8 babayyyy
     
  35. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Another awful week. Gonna have to mix things up.

    Sent from my Samsung Epic 4G using Tapatalk.
     
  36. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Getting this now before it goes up.

    Week 5 (4-8)

    Texans -7.5
    - Jets get slaughtered again at home. This time on national television.

    Cleveland +9.5

    Miami +3
     
  37. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Week (7-5, last week perfect 3-0!!!)
    lines via betonline.ag

    Atlanta (-3) @ Washington
    The Falcons look convincingly good. I am a big fan of the Skins this year, but can't pick against ATL. Hopefully Tony Gonzalez picks up another TD!

    Chicago (-6) @ Jacksonville
    I expect this Chicago D to give the Jags fits all day. Shouldn't even be close.

    Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh (-3)
    Pitt is 4-1 coming off the bye week with Tomlin as the head coach, having won 4 straight. With the probably return of Mendenhall, I think Pitt wins by more than a FG.
     
  38. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    Already went up on many sites lol
     
  39. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    Already at -9. :lol:

    I knew it would happen. Jets are a mess.
     
  40. Paul 13

    Paul 13 Chaotic Neutral & Unstable Genius Staff Member

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    It wouldn't surprise me to see the Jets somehow win that game or at least cover a 10 point spread. As much as I hate them... I haven't posted a pick in a couple of weeks... maybe I'll just start posting the opposite of what Penn picks. :shifty:
     

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