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2018 Week 1 - Dolphins vs. Titans

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Galant, Sep 7, 2018.

  1. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member Club Member

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    Trends - Tennessee at Miami
    Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

    ATS TRENDS
    Tennessee
    • Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
    • Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Titans are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 road games.
    • Titans are 15-39-4 ATS in their last 58 vs. AFC.
    Miami
    • Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1.
    • Dolphins are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
    • Dolphins are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
    • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
    OU TRENDS
    Tennessee
    • Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
    • Under is 8-3 in Titans last 11 games in Week 1.
    • Over is 7-3 in Titans last 10 games in September.
    Miami
    • Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games in Week 1.
    • Over is 8-3 in Dolphins last 11 games overall.
    • Over is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 home games.
    HEAD TO HEAD
    • Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
    • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
    • Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
    Preview: Titans at Dolphins
    Gracenote
    Sep 6, 2018

    The Tennessee Titans kick off the Mike Vrabel Era in earnest on Sunday as they open the 2018 NFL season against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Vrabel became the franchise's 19th head coach after replacing Mike Mularkey, who guided the Titans to the playoffs for the first time since 2008 and saw the club rally past Kansas City in the wild-card clash.

    Marcus Mariota, who sat out Tennessee's 16-10 loss to Miami last season with a left hamstring injury, was instrumental in the victory over the Chiefs after throwing two touchdowns -- including one to himself. The former Heisman Trophy winner, however, tossed more interceptions (15) than touchdown passes (13) last season and is learning a new playbook under former Los Angeles Rams offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur. While Mariota had an up-and-down campaign 2017, Miami's Ryan Tannehill will play in a regular-season game for the first time since December 2016 as he returns from a torn ACL that he re-injured last summer. The Dolphins answered a 10-6 campaign with a 6-10 performance last season, with Jay Cutler, Matt Moore and David Fales each taking turns under center.

    TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Titans -1.5. O/U: 45

    ABOUT THE TITANS (2017: 9-7, 2ND IN AFC SOUTH): Derrick Henry takes over lead-back responsibilities for the now-retired DeMarco Murray and looks to punish opponents with a 6-foot-3, 247-pound frame that he used to churn out 390 rushing yards in the fourth quarter last season. Offseason acquisition Dion Lewis, who is listed at 5-8 and 195 pounds, posted career highs in scrimmage yards (1,110), rushing yards (896) and rushing touchdowns (six) with New England in 2017. Mariota's most trusted target is Delanie Walker, who has joined Rob Gronkowski (Patriots) and Travis Kelce (Chiefs) as the lone tight ends to record 3,000-plus receiving yards and 20-plus touchdown catches since 2014. Former Dolphin Rishard Matthews has 118 receptions for 1,740 yards and 13 touchdown catches in two seasons with Tennessee while former first-round selection Corey Davis is looking to rebound following an injury-riddled rookie campaign.

    ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (2017: 6-10, 3RD IN AFC EAST): Kenyan Drake enjoyed success following the midseason departure of fellow running back Jay Ajayi to Philadelphia, recording 594 scrimmage yards over his final five games of 2017. Drake, however, will be involved in a bit of a timeshare in the backfield with the ageless Frank Gore, who ranks fifth in NFL history with 14,026 career rush yards. Miami likely will be without wide receiver DeVante Parker for the season opener as he nurses a broken finger, but the club added Danny Amendola (Patriots) and Albert Wilson (Chiefs) to go along with Kenny Stills as it deals with the offseason departure of three-time Pro Bowl selection Jarvis Landry (career-best 112 receptions) to Cleveland.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Miami DEs Cameron Wake and offseason acquisition Robert Quinn combined for 19 sacks in 2017.

    2. Tennessee S Kevin Byard recorded an NFL high-tying eight interceptions last season en route to earning a trip to the Pro Bowl.

    3. Miami's Reshad Jones, who scored on a 38-yard fumble return versus the Titans last season, led all safeties with 122 tackles in 2017.

    PREDICTION: Titans 19, Dolphins 16

    https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_preview_4.html



    Dolphins.com Official Depth Chart








    Bleacher Report Week 1 Picks

     
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2018
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  2. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member Club Member

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  3. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    "Up tempo in the Heat" should be our official slogan for the year- it's always been the secret to strong home performances.
     
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  4. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    His best quote- "I just think there's too much pressure on Adam Gase this season to screw things up."

    I agree, I think we find a way to win this one. Hopefully it's in the trenches with the ground game to make it an "easy" return for Tannehill. But I'm definitely not counting on it and I think we'll have to see some RT magic working the field.
     
  5. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    If the middle of the Defensive line and the rookie Lb's hold up we will win. It is imperative that the offense come out fast for a change, but they will be much better than last year by leaps and bounds. In fact I predict the offense will actually be good this year.
     
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  6. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Mink... Baker... Gesecki...Ballage..Smythe ( injury to Gray, Smythe plays the same position).. Sanders..

    Man, talk about living or dying on a draft class..

    We need all of them to be good..
     
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  7. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member Club Member

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  8. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    We have two starters out..

    Parker and Gray..
     
  9. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    Well Gray anyway.
     
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  10. Surfs Up 99

    Surfs Up 99 Team Flores & Team Tua

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    The way I see it, Gase needs bring back that fire he had his first year with us. I remember a guy on the sideline who was cocky and bold. He just would not accept defeat. I liked his aggressiveness, and I think our players did too. I would like to see that Gase back again. I realize it's a game to game situation. Sometimes, it's better to be conservative and keep the game close, so you have a chance to win it at the end. However, this is our 1st game. The tone setter. I want him to WILL our guys to victory. Unleash the beast. Don't take NO for an answer. Pull out all the stops (if we need to). Marietta is going to bring it. RT should too. Dink and dunk. OK. Our guys should be looking to take it to the house on every play. We have the talent to put some serious points up. No more screwing around. Gase, needs to bring it! Don't play scared. Play to win! Put the pedal to the floor, and watch the other teams fall behind in your rearview mirror! Let's get it!
     
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  11. rafael

    rafael Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Gray played 12% of the snaps last season. I expect he would have played more this season, but at most maybe 25% of the snaps? My guess is that by the end of the year Gesicki would have played a higher percentage of the snaps anyways. At best I'd call Gray a part-time starter. I feel bad for Gray and we'll miss his versatility, but in terms of the team, it doesn't hurt that much. It's a position we have some options at. Gray is a better blocker than Derby, but not a better receiver. Smyth is probably as good of a blocker already, he just lacks the experience.

    As for Parker, I don't think he should be a starter. I prefer to see Grant in his place. Grant effects the defense more. They fear his speed more. They give him more cushion. That makes screens easier and helps the run game. I also think Grant is a better blocker. As a receiver I think Grant is more dangerous on the fade or deep passes. Some claim that Parker's size is some boon for us but I don't see it. IIRC in 2016 Parker's contested catch rate was 44%. There's nothing special there.
     
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  12. Carmen Cygni

    Carmen Cygni Well-Known Member

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    Let's not fool ourselves by minimizing his loss of Gray with snap counts. While Gase runs a very large amount of 11 personnel, Gray pretty much played in every heavy personnel package and played a critical role within those packages as well. His veteran experience of understanding the blocking schemes and his assignment in a matter of mere seconds, or less, during his motions to ID the defensive shifts to match were second to none on the team. His knowledge in this area is why he was featured at TE, Hback, Wing, and FB, and often the motion ID for the offense while in 22, 21, 12, 13 personnel.

    Naturally fans swoon to the statistical measurements (catches, TDs) to place value on players, but you can't do that for Gray. His value lies within the offense and it's proper execution.

    Next man up. We'll move on. But Gray was an integral part of this offense in it's behind the scenes work.
     
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  13. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Well, we don’t know what or why Julius Thomas was on the field so much last year, Gray was more than capable, and the results of being underutilized showed.

    I had this player on the upswing, this was a qb in college who had completely transformed into a big versatile tight end, that transition takes time at this level so there was still upside in his game.

    I think we’re gonna miss him more than you think..

    Ya see for me, Gesecki at this point, should only be used in red zone, one on one matchups, if we try to use him in the framework of our base offense I think he’s going to get manhandled, so really as far as our offense goes, Derby and Smythe are the guys..that’s a weakness without Gray.
     
  14. Dorfdad

    Dorfdad Well-Known Member

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    Lol the jets even look stupid in pictures!!! Top right GO PHINS!!!!
     
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  15. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I'm hoping that we were so conservative last year because we were so limited with Cutler- that's my hope anyway. I have a feeling that we're going to come out tomorrow firing....even though we haven't seen anything to suggest that. It's just a gut instinct after we played so conservative in pre-season and Gase talking trash to the media.
     
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  16. rafael

    rafael Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I like Gray and complained often the last two seasons that we didn't use him more, but the fact is that we didn't use him much. We mostly used him as a blocker in heavy packages and I've been impressed with Smythe as a blocker. So while the loss of experience on those few snaps hurt at the end of the day it's still few snaps and therefore a small impact on the team.
     
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  17. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    Over Yonder
    why is this game on fox?

    If you live in FL, you either get to watch (Texans @ Pats) or (Chiefs @ Chargers) on CBS, despite Miami playing a home game vs an AFC opponent. FOX has the Bucs game airing for most of FL, except in Miami and Jacksonville. So if you live anywhere else in FL, you get a big middle finger.
     
    Last edited: Sep 8, 2018
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  18. Surfs Up 99

    Surfs Up 99 Team Flores & Team Tua

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    Heigh-ho, heigh-ho, it's off to the sports bar I go... drink, drink, drink, drink, drink, drink, drink from early morn till night...
    drink, drink, drink, drink, drink, drink up everything in sight...heigh-ho, heigh-ho, heigh-ho, heigh-ho, heigh-ho, heigh-ho,
    heigh-ho hum...
     
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  19. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    Over Yonder
    I just figured out how to get local channels from ANYWHERE!

    1. Signup for YoutubeTV ($39 monthly, bonus for me because i already have it)
    2. Signup for monthly subscription to ExpressVPN. ($12.99 monthly)
    3. Use ExpressVPN from Windows or Mac to connect to a Miami server (one click setup, easy as hell)
    4. Using Chrome, go to youtube.tv and sign in.
    5. You should now have access to local stations in Miami.
    6. (optional) Cast your Chrome browser to a ChromeCast to view on your TV or projector. (not sure if you can cast Chrome to Roku or FireTV, but maybe.

    This is essentially like getting Cable and NFL Sunday ticket for a combined cost of $52 per month. You can connect to any city and watch whatever game is being aired locally.
     
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  20. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    That's pretty cool. What do you subscribe to YoutubeTV for? I haven't really heard much about it and never looked into it. What kind of content do they have and what do you like?
     
  21. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    One cool thing I watched on it last month was a Karate Kid sequal to the originals (named Cobra Kai). It has Daniel and the bad guy training students and competing against each other....I really enjoyed it from the nostalgia.

    I don't think you need YouTube TV to pull off the VPN...I used Express VPN for the pre-season and watched it on local channels. YouTube certainly makes it easier though.
     
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2018
  22. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    Yeah I saw that a couple days ago and I was pissed. Central Florida and I cant even see my team. Ever since the Jags came into being we've been screwed.
     
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  23. I like how the NFLN always mentions how Andrew Luck is making this great comeback from how ever many games its been since he played in the regular season due to his injury, even though its been even LONGER for Ryan Tannehill since he stepped onto the field for a regular season game.
    Today is going to be a great day when ryan has a better game that andrew. Sorry about your damn luck NFLN.
     
  24. Carmen Cygni

    Carmen Cygni Well-Known Member

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    I hope both come back full strength. Luck is an amazing QB and Tannehill is damn good himself.
     
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  25. Nappy Roots

    Nappy Roots Well-Known Member

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    CK had a great thread on twitter with some tidbits and previews on todays match up...

     
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  26. Surfs Up 99

    Surfs Up 99 Team Flores & Team Tua

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    Don’t get me wrong, I like RT, but I would like to see him play with some urgency like Luck does.
     
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  27. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    Man what the heck is going on with the network schedule? I dont even get the Jaguar game. Its either Bucs Saints or the Pats game. So either the worst game in week 1 or the Pats!
     
  28. Surfs Up 99

    Surfs Up 99 Team Flores & Team Tua

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    Yuck!
     
  29. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    That's a whole lot of empty seats for opening kickoff. Damn.
     
  30. Stitches

    Stitches ThePhin's Biggest Killjoy Luxury Box

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    Could have been a better job on STs.
     
  31. Stitches

    Stitches ThePhin's Biggest Killjoy Luxury Box

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    Way too open, that is disappointing. Wasn't even a good throw.
     
  32. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    looked like mcmillan got a little lost there.
     
  33. phinswolverinesrockets

    phinswolverinesrockets If he dies, he dies

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    Dolphins haven't had a top 10 offense since 2001.

    I've suffered long enough. Please give me something to be excited about this year.
     
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  34. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    nice tackle by fitz
     
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  35. canesz06

    canesz06 Well-Known Member

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    Wide the F open
     
  36. Destroyer

    Destroyer There for every play.

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    stream please.
     
  37. Surfs Up 99

    Surfs Up 99 Team Flores & Team Tua

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    Can I just say that Fitzpatrick is fast becoming one of my favorites! The game doesn’t seem too big for him.
     
  38. canesz06

    canesz06 Well-Known Member

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    Cobra Kai was awesome
     
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  39. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    They should have had the TD, but holding them to a FG is not too bad. Now how is our offense?
     
  40. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Horray for pre-snap penalties! :pity:
     
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