http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/nfl-week-14-playoff-implications-the-chargers-have-a-pulse/
According to their system, the winner of the Dolphins vs Ravens game will come out of it with a 70% or so chance of making the playoffs. The loser goes home with less than a 20% chance. 55% swing for us, 51% for them.
A few people have been throwing around (misusing) the term "must win game" all season and it rubs me the wrong way. THIS is a must win game. Four weeks to go, and if we lose, we likely miss the playoffs even with a 10-6 record. Most important regular season game we'll play this season.
The system says we can also pick up another 8 percentage points if all the other games go our way too, putting us at nearly 80% to get in if we win the game. HUGE.
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If you ever want an accurate appraisal of what the team is made of, this will be it.
djphinfan likes this. -
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http://506sports.com/nfl.php?yr=2014&wk=14
So far, it looks like not a lot of the country will get to see our game. CIN v Pitt seems to be the more popular game.Bpk, Larry Little and RickyNeverInhaled like this. -
This is a must watch game so I will figure something out. Worst case scenario is I will stay away from this place, cut off all comunication and wait for the replay on NFL Network.
Sorry the the OP, I didn't mean to hi-jack this thread. I knew this game was very important, but it is nice to see the statistics of playoff probability prove that point. I am so glad this is a home game, we definitely need that advantage in a game like this. -
RickyNeverInhaled and bakedmatt like this.
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yeah don't ever eat at a bar unless they have football specials haha. pre game, drink cheap beer. What I do when I go to a bar. End up using like 20 dollars if even that.
RickyNeverInhaled likes this. -
RickyNeverInhaled likes this.
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Could be the longest playoff stretch in franchise history starting this weekend.
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check your PM's ricky. first Christmas present I've sent this season. Getting in the spirit now haha
resnor, 77FinFan, Bpk and 1 other person like this. -
Not only is this the most important game of the week regarding playoff ramifications according to 538, NFLPickWatch is claiming this is the closest game of the week to call. Although it is still early in the week, 54% of prognosticators are picking Miami to win - the slimmest margin of all contests.
http://nflpickwatch.comRickyNeverInhaled, Bpk and MikeHoncho like this. -
I agree that this weeks game is a must win game if the Dolphins expect to have a chance to make the playoffs. Especially since I don't see them beating the Patriots in New England the following week.
I figure it is going to take at least 10 wins to make the playoffs this year. So the Dolphins have at least 3 MUST win games in the next four weeks. The game this week against the Ravens is merely the first of these must win games. Lose this week and the Dolphins will likely be sitting at home again with the other 19 teams which failed to make the playoffs this year. -
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RickyNeverInhaled likes this.
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shula_guy Well-Known Member
If the dolphins win out they are guaranteed a spot. If not they are going to need some help. For instance if Cindy beats Pittsburgh it gives them some breathing room.
Whats funny about that game is if Pitt does win and new England drops 2 one to us that would give us the division and eliminate them from the playoffs completely if the right teams keep winning.
When was the last time they completely missed the playoffs. I would enjoy that almost as much as the dolphins being in it.RickyNeverInhaled and DPlus47 like this. -
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Come on y'all....I am STILL calling it OURS!! That's right , AFC EAST is ours....we beat the Ravens and the Chargers beat the Pats then we go into NE and whoop their rear - ends an we fly home with the Division lead just needing to stay focused and beat the Vikings and Jets at home to finish up. 11-5 and AFC CHAMPS. WE GOT THIS !