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AFC Playoff Picture

Discussion in 'Other NFL' started by GISH, Nov 11, 2008.

  1. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    Over Yonder


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    These are the current playoff standings with tiebreakers accounted for. I will update every week.

    Here's a few notes to help translate the information.

    Trophy Case - Each team has a trophy case. A team earns a trophy by defeating a team that is currently in the AFC playoff hunt. If you beat them twice, you get two trophies. If that team falls out of playoff contention, you lose those trophies. The purpose of the trophies is to show two things. First, it makes it easy to determine head-to-head tiebreakers. Secondly, it shows strength of victory within the conference.

    Trophy Games - A game between two AFC playoff contenders. The winner will receive an icon representing the opposing team in their trophy case.

    Playoff prediction meter - This is the red-yellow-green colored meter next to the team's overall record. The level of the meter represents my confidence that team will earn a playoff berth.


    Last Updated: 12-30-08 12:44PM



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  2. Alex44

    Alex44 Boshosaurus Rex

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    I could see Baltimore falling off the face of the Earth. One (if not both) wildcard spot will come from the AFC East.
     
  3. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    i agree. i think baltimore is in for a huge let down. their schedule is the polar opposite of ours from here on out.

    I'm terrified of indy as a contender. They could still win all of their remaining games. They have beat the Pats and Steelers in back to back weeks, and are finding ways to win.

    My guess of how things shake down in the end.

    1. Titans
    2. Steelers
    3. Patriots
    4. Broncos
    5. Colts
    6. Jets/Dolphins
     
  4. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Dont be so sure about the Ravens, they have the defense to keep them in the hunt.
    That ravens game could really end up hurting us. Good thing we got the W over the Broncos and Bolts. We also need to finish up our division strong, at least 2-1 with a win over the jets preferably (unless they lock up the division).

    We got huge breaks in playing both San Fran and Seattle at home. Those coast to coast trips are nightmares. We took care of business against Seattle, barely, and need to win against SF.

    Out of our 7 remaining games, Id say we can lose no mroe than 3, preferably 2 or less.
     
  5. schmolioot

    schmolioot Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Baltimore's schedule is just a murderer's row.

    I don't see how they come out of it with less than 2 losses.

    Even Indy has potential toughies against Jax, houston, etc. We just need to take care of our own business
     
  6. shelby

    shelby @#$%ing Bills fan.

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    The Bills will break another record, the first team to start 4-0 and not make the playoffs.

    Congrats guys, you've had a great season thus far.
     
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  7. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    yea the ravens get to play the NFC East. that certainly helps. It stinks that the other wildcard teams have the tiebreakers against us, but it can all change real quickly

    after all, if the jets win and we beat NE, that puts the pats at 3rd in the division and behind both of us in the playoff race. how awesome would THAT be
     
  8. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    don't count the bills out just yet shelby, we know they're a good team. and i have a feeling at the end of the season we'll all be .500 or better, maybe even with the 3rd team getting the 2nd WC spot or being very close
     
  9. muscle979

    muscle979 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    What tiebreaker does Indy own against us? I know it's not a better division record, [or is it, I know they lost once to Jax] is it conference record?
     
  10. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    actually we should be rooting for new england over the jets, because we dont control our destiny over the jets.

    Scenario over next two weeks:

    Jets: lose @ Pats, lose @ Titans
    Pats: win vs Jets, lose @ Dolphins
    Phins: win vs Raiders, win vs Pats

    Outcome:

    Miami 7-4
    New England 7-4
    New York 6-5

    Miami in 1st place.
     
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  11. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    its conference record.

    Indy: 4-2
    Miami: 4-3
     
  12. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    you're right gish. i was just thinking about the next two weeks at the time. i have my own predictions (more like, what needs to happen's) in order for us to win the division, and it involves the pats winning tomorrow. in my thing we end up tied at 10-6 with the pats but win the tiebreaker, with the jets and bills at 9-7
     
  13. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    do you really think that 9-7 is a realistic prediction for the Jets? They already have 6 wins.
     
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  14. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    heres how i could see it going down (i hope)

    Week 11
    Jets Beat NE
    Cle Beats Buffalo **
    Miami Beats Oakland

    Jets 7-3
    Fins 6-4
    Pats 6-4
    Bills 5-5

    Week 12
    Miami beats NE
    Tenn beats Jets
    Bills beat Chiefs

    Jets 7-4
    Fins 7-4
    Pats 6-5
    Bills 6-5

    Week 13
    Jets beat Broncos
    Fins beat Rams
    Pitt Beats NE
    Buff beats SF

    Jets 8-4
    Fins 8-4
    Bills 7-5
    Pats 6-6

    Week 14
    Fins beat Bills
    Jets beat SF
    Pats beat Seattle

    Jets 9-4
    Fins 9-4
    Pats 7-6
    Bills 7-6

    Week 15
    Bills beat Jets **
    NE beats Oak
    SF Beats Miami

    Jets 9-5
    Fins 9-5
    Pats 8-6
    Bills 8-6

    Week 16
    Miami beats KC
    Buffalo Beats Denver
    Arizona Beats NE **
    Jets Beat Seattle

    Jets 10-5
    Fins 10-5
    Bills 9-6
    Pats 8-7
    Jets 8-7

    Week 17
    Jets Beat Miami **
    NE beats Buffalo **

    Fins 11-5 (5-1 in division)
    Jets 10-6 (4-2 in division)
    Pats 9-7 (3-3 in division)
    Bills 9-7 (1-5 in division)

    EDIT: i went back and put **'s next to games that are stretches. i put them next to both week 17 games just because those are both gonna be really important and you can't really predict them (not that i could really predict the others either.. but, you know)

    EDIT 2: I updated for the pats jets game and re-assessed some things that would have to happen for us to win the division.
     
  15. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    yes, i do, i can easily see the pats and tenn beating them. the bills certainly can. the bronco's one is a stretch i'll admit. but say they beat the broncos and lose the other 3, it comes down to week 17 with us and we'd have to win that, which we can, but i'm assuming won't

    you're right though, a 6-3 start it'd be hard to be 9-7. but you know, the other year we were sitting there at 3-7 and won six in a row to finish 9-7. so they could certainly lose 4 of 7
     
  16. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    this is also assuming we lose to SF. i put that in because although we could certainly beat all these low-win teams, i just don't see it happening. so i was trying to come up with a way for us to win without sweeping those games. its not all flawless predictions, some of it is just what needs to happen for such a scenario to work
     
  17. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    hey gish, if you don't mind, I don't really want to start another new thread for my dumb predictions i have in here, so I was hoping I could just edit these each week since i know you'll be editing your stuff too to keep up with the games..
    If you feel like its hijacking your thread let me know and I'll do it somewhere else :up:
     
  18. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    nah, i dont mind bro. go ahead, speculate. :up:
     
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  19. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    awesome. you r da man :knucks: :theman:
     
  20. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    updated. take that aqua!!! :D
     
  21. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    updated. Pats fall to #8 with Colts & Dolphins wins.
     
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  22. BuckeyeKing

    BuckeyeKing Wolves DYNASTY!!!!

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    Awesome work GISH!
     
    GISH likes this.
  23. BrazForPhins

    BrazForPhins From south

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    great thread!

    sorry for the ignorance, but whats this 'trophy case'?
     
  24. anlgp

    anlgp ↑ ↑ ↓ ↓ ← → ← → B A

    teams they've beat, I think.
     
  25. sking29

    sking29 What it takes to be cool

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    The teams that particular team (ie Miami) has beat who themselves are playoff contenders (ie Patriots). :up:
     
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  26. alen1

    alen1 New Member

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    What in the world is up with DB's this year? Do they all have Deion Sanders syndrome? Michael Griffin just had a free sack on Garrard and does a hop step prior to tackling him so he completely misses. Mike Jenkins earlier this year doesn't tackle at the goal line. Mike Mickens of Cincinnati runs away from the ball carriers. The Broncos run away from ball carriers.

    Sorry, had to say it somewhere.

    Anyone else watching this game?
     
  27. BrazForPhins

    BrazForPhins From south

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    thanks bro

    in that case, so even Miami having the so said "easier schedule", we're the team whose have beaten the most AFC contenders
     
  28. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    thats exactly what it means!! :hi5:
     
  29. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    I think if we can close out our division we can take the title. Shockingly, even a first round bye is a possibility. We have a great schedule here and must take advantage of it. Of the 7-4s Baltimore and Buffalo will have the toughest go of it.

    Losses by JVille and San Diego today were huge. To bad Indy squeeked by Houston via their usual 4th quarter collapse. Bottom line, if we take care of business in the division and especially against Pats and Jets we are in very good shape.
     
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  30. Jaj

    Jaj Registered

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    I would have much rather had San Diego win against Pittsburgh today so that the AFC North winner goes down in the standings. Remember Baltimore had a great shot at taking the division. Jacksonville's loss basically eliminates them.
     
  31. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    updated. San Diego and Jacksonville eliminated from hunt. 6+ losses = not a contender.
     
  32. Desides

    Desides Well-Known Member

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    Just think; if we had beaten the Jets in week 1, we'd have the 2 seed right now.

    Damn.
     
  33. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    actually, we'd be the 3 seed. But even without having beat the Jets, we can still move into 1st in the AFC East next week. Lord knows the praise Miami will get if they sweep New England, win 5 in a row, and have the Jets lose the same week to Tennessee.

    I'm almost afraid to say it, but with 6 games remaining, the Dolphins have already met their expectations for the entire season. It's all bonus from here on out. 7-4? Tickle me elmo!!!! 6-5? Who wouldn't have killed for a shot at 6-5 when we were 2-4 after week 7?

    Good times for Dolfans.
     
  34. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    they would be, he's just saying tied for first record wise. and plus, even if we're tied the rest of the way out, we get the chance to beat them week 17. so a tie isn't all that bad.

    the way i see it, we need to win the 3 'easy' game (st. louis, SF and KC). that puts us at 9-4. from there, winning 2 of the 3 with Buff NE and NYJ would put us to 11-5 and shoe in to the playoffs, but even winning 1 of the 3 (say, against the jets) would put us at 10-6 and give us a pretty good shot at WC depending on how the cards fall. so we'll see. this week is huge for the season. a win here would be tremendous.
     
  35. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    nothing can be taken for granted. the bills were 5-1 after their last win. then they went 0-3 against the division, and lost to a gimmie team. The same can happen to Miami, so be prepared. 10-6 is still at the top of a tall mountain, and we're only 60% there. If Miami loses 4 games, no playoffs. The game against the Pats will set the tone for the rest of the season.
     
  36. pennphinfan

    pennphinfan Stelin Canez Arcade Scorz

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    oh definitely. i'm not saying we will do all those things, just saying thats what we need to do to get there, is all
     
    GISH likes this.
  37. anlgp

    anlgp ↑ ↑ ↓ ↓ ← → ← → B A

    If we could cap a W against NE at home with a packed house it would be huge for us.

    4 out of our remaining 5 are away games. The one home game we have left after NE is against SF. If we can show them a packed stadium and they can show us a victory it would send them on what is basically a 5 week road trip (the SF game is in the middle) with some confidence.
     
  38. DonShula84

    DonShula84 Moderator Luxury Box

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    I hope that Texans game doesnt come back to haunt us...
     
  39. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    well, since the texans have no shot at the playoffs, then that game wont hurt us as much as the jets and ravens losses.
     
  40. GISH

    GISH ~mUST wARN oTHERS~

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    one of the things i like most about our team is that they play the same at home and on the road. that is awesome IMO.
     

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