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Dolphins @ Broncos - Game Thread

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Galant, Nov 18, 2020.

  1. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity

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    Mile. High. City.

    It's high.
    It's cold.
    It's a cheat stage.

    Not like the Broncos can make use of the advantage.

    High-humidity, sea-level, sun-worshippers should be completely out of their element visiting Denver. Sadly, for Broncos fans, it looks like it's their own team who are out of their element on a football field. I suspect the Dolphins D stands a much higher chance of catching multiple interceptions than a cold. It might be a turnover epidemic worse than COVID-19 and Denver's chance of survival is about 0%.

    I'm never one for animal cruelty, but this week's NFL schedule requires us to flog a horse. Although, it's not cruelty if the horse is already dead, right?

    :deadhorse:

    Alright, all of this might be a little over the top...but it's hump day, the NFL preview is out, and so it's time for the Dolphins game thread:



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    Oddshark Preview

    upload_2020-11-18_21-41-20.png

    upload_2020-11-18_21-44-33.png

    Miami:
    "Facing the 3-6 Broncos, Dolphins head coach Brian Flores’ biggest fear this week might be a letdown. Miami has struggled recently when visiting sub-.500 teams, going 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games vs teams with losing records."

    Denver:
    "As of Monday, quarterback Drew Lock’s status for this week was up in the air due to a rib injury suffered in last week’s 37-12 loss in Las Vegas.

    Lock, who was considered questionable to practice Wednesday and had X-rays taken on the ribs, threw a career-high four interceptions against the Raiders and now has 10 picks in five games since returning from a shoulder injury. If he can’t play, the Broncos would likely start Brett Rypien, who led Denver to a road victory over the Jets in Week 4.

    If the constant turnovers from their quarterbacks wasn’t enough, the Broncos have also seen their usually reliable defense start to slip. Denver has given up at least 30 points in four straight games, the first time the franchise has done that since 1968.

    Oddsmakers have caught on, however, as last week’s game stayed UNDER the total by a point – the 22nd time the Broncos have gone UNDER in their last 31 conference games."

    Summary:
    "It looks too easy, but I’ll ride with the red-hot Dolphins laying a field goal or less against a Denver squad that seems to beat itself week after week. The lone advantage the Broncos have here is being at home, and that advantage should be negated with pleasant weather in the forecast and no fans in the stands."

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    Last edited: Nov 18, 2020
  2. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    I'd love to see the statistics, if any, that generated that predicted score. Seems a little ridiculous.
     
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  3. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    26-10 Dolphins win. I can't see Denver doing much of anything on offense.
     
    Irishman likes this.
  4. Hooligan

    Hooligan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Nothing says smashmouth football as much as being called "The new darlings of the NFL".
     
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  5. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity

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  6. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    Take me down to the mile high city where the endzones green and their team is....poopy.....you know the word...

    And that's my oldschool parody for the week.
     
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  7. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    "What you gonna do....when the Amoeba comes for YOU!"
     
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  8. Phil Hutchings

    Phil Hutchings Well-Known Member

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    Is Benito in for Christian Wilkins?
     
  9. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    If you go by Vegas odds, with O/U at 45 and Miami with a -3.5 point spread, the prediction is Miami wins 25-21 or 25-22. Let's see how close that score is to the final. I think the margin of victory will be a lot bigger than that, at least a TD.
     
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  10. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Try as I may, I just can't see Denver scoring over about 16, especially if Lock's out. Our weakness on D is against the rush, and they're around average at it. Have to agree, the margin should be higher...I'm feeling 17+.
     
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  11. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    There may be a more typical home-field adjustment going on, one that doesn't fit the present season.
     
  12. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    I actually can't make sense of it. Others I can't make sense of:
    https://www.sportsbook.ag/sbk/sportsbook4/nfl-betting/nfl-game-lines.sbk

    Colts favored against Green Bay? Washington favored against the Bengals? Not sure about those either. Thing about the home field advantage is I would think that would be more or less reflected in the odds. Who knows.
     
  13. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity

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  14. Wilkimania

    Wilkimania Well-Known Member

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    I think the last few years have gotten to me. I'm seeing all these positive posts on here and I'm suddenly dreading the game and suddenly feel like we're going to slip on a banana peel, luckily I felt that way before Sunday so my opinions can be ignored.
     
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  15. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    I'm honestly more worried about the Jets game next week than this one.
     
  16. Finatik

    Finatik Season Ticket Holder Staff Member Club Member

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    I know. It can't be real......can it???? Were like a dog that's been beat too many times that get's adopted to the farm is and is allowed to run free. Always looking over our shoulder for the whip.
     
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  17. mlb1399

    mlb1399 Well-Known Member

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    I’m also wondering the same thing. Is Wilkins cleared yet?
     
    Phil Hutchings likes this.
  18. Finatik

    Finatik Season Ticket Holder Staff Member Club Member

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    No he's out on Covid again this week.
     
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  19. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    If Miami’s defense can hold Denver’s offense to 2nd and long, expect a turnover fest for the Fins. This is going to be a bit of a challenge as Miami’s defense is horrible against the run. It’s going to be up to them to put Lock or Rypien in uncomfortable situations against Miami’s nightmare of pass rush.

    Offensively, Miami SHOULD be able to establish a comfortable run to pass ratio and make things easier on Tagovailoa. Ahmed has shown great poise in the running game and should get a good number of carries after last week’s 90+ yard total. This should keep Denver’s defense off balance enough for Tua to be able to get some good clean throws off.

    I’m actually feeling good about this game.

    Miami 34 Denver 23
     
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  20. firedan

    firedan Well-Known Member

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    Miami may be to hungry to look past anyone.
     
  21. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Tua needs to watch out for Justin Simmons, dude is a game changer..

    The “mosh pit” defense should dominate this game.
     
  22. KeyFin

    KeyFin Well-Known Member

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    Is it even home field advantage if the stadium is empty though? Denver does have the altitude going in their favor but otherwise, I don't see it helping them much in the 1st half.
     
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  23. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    KeyFin likes this.
  24. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    Yeah pretty much noone has home field in terms of attendance.

    Its more travel time and weather factors this year.
     
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  25. Finatik

    Finatik Season Ticket Holder Staff Member Club Member

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    I like it.
     
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  26. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    The No Name Defense
    The Purple People Eaters
    The Fearsome Foursome
    The Steel Curtain
    The Doomsday Defense
    The Orange Crush
    The Killer B's
    The Legion of Boom

    Hey, why NOT the "Mosh Pit"?
     
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  27. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    "Miami Mosh Pit"
     
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  28. Puka-head

    Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member

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    Slightly left of center
    I like Mosh Pit Defense, but all the players have to get mohawks, and even better if they all get the stick on the helmet ones like they have for motorcycle helmets, in Orange Aqua and White

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Nov 19, 2020
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  29. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity

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  30. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    As it stands, the only injury listed that concerns me is Kindley. He’s played well on the OL and we’re going to need that to protect Tagovailoa
     
  31. Phin McCool

    Phin McCool Well-Known Member

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    Apologies to everyone in advance as I've just put the Dolphins D into my fantasy team. Last week I jinxed it for Sanders after picking him up, so I'm kinda hoping that by announcing it in advance, that it'll negate any hex on them. Not that I'm superstitious or anything....
     
  32. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    I like that a lot better than Tropical Swarm defense.
     
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  33. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    So YOU'RE the One!
     
  34. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    DAMMIT!
     
  35. Dan S

    Dan S Phins up!

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    Don't worry, Miami has won every game since I discovered I have a lucky Dolphins shirt and I plan on wearing it on Sunday so your jinx is cancelled out!
     
    Phin McCool likes this.
  36. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    Any update on Lock?

    If he plays I expect it to be a close-ish game whichever way it goes (to me close-ish means within a ten point final difference) . If he isnt I feel like we should eat them alive and take their lunch money.
     
  37. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity

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  38. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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  39. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    How about Tropic Thunder defense, AVG could pose as Hogan... :)
     
  40. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity

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