I just wrote and posted this to a response in the draft forum, but I thought it spark up some nice debate if it were in the mains, too, since not everyone visits the draft forum.
I'm a huge fan of Bess to be honest, but I truly feel our offense is lacking in maximizing 1st & 2nd down potential b/c having Bess on the field during these downs basically means us NEVER busting a big play from the slot position, and I don't like that. I don't like that he can't stretch the field from the slot, especially considering that Fasano can't do it either, making it 2 guys on the inside who can't attack the entire field on 1st & 2nd down which prevents Marshall and the ground game from having maximum space to operate in. I want to see Marshall's $40 million contract be good for more than 2.9 YAC. IMO we leave big plays on the field on 1st and 2nd down when Bess is in the slot, while making life a little more difficult for the ground game, and our 1st down yards per carry (around 3.85) seem to back this up (even though there are other clearly other aspects to consider, too).
For me, 1st & 10 is one of the downs when a defense has to be prepared for anything while an offense has the ability to run just about any play. Bess's physical limitations don't allow us to really open up the playbook on 1st down the way a Julio Jones, Justin Blackmon, or Greg Little would as our #2 while moving Hartline to the slot on 1st and 2nd down. That would pose a much bigger threat IMO. I believe it would open up the ground game a little better, and I believe we'd see more "chunk yardage" on 1st & 2nd down. Hartline has just enough speed to get vertical to where he could do some nice things to help Marshall play in more space (b/c as good as Bess is by himself, I have to attribute some of Marshall's crappy YAC to having Bess next to him).
Close your eyes and visualize a defense's response to Hart attacking the safeties (or LBs further down field) and how it changes the entire dynamics of everything. I don't see how a billion out routes or comebacks by Bess does anything to truly grab a Safeties attention or effect their game plan. They're like: "Hey look-- Bess is running a 6 yard out." "Wow, he's running an 8 yard curl..... Thank you Miami!! Now we can focus more attention on stopping the ground game, Marshall, and keying in on Henne". At least that's how I view it.
Bess is worth his weight in rubies on 3rd down (namely 3rd & 8 or less yards) and when we need a clutch 1st down on 2nd & 8 or less, but outside of that he becomes a playmaking liability IMO.
Teams have 2 down LBs for this very reason right?--- to maximize the value of the position on EVERY down. Defenses do it to help reduce the big play etc, so why can't we do the same on offense to help CREATE more big plays?! We can treat our slot WR role as a 2 down LB so that we have as much production here on 1st & 2nd down as we do on 3rd. I know how much some members love stats, so I thought I'd include these for him..... I mean them. :wink2:
Bess on 1st down: 190 yards, 10 ave, 1 TD, 23% 1st downs per targeted attempt, 61% catch rate per attempt, 23 yard long.
Bess on 3rd down: 299 yards, 10.7 ave, 2 TDs, 50% 1st downs per attempt, 67% catch rate.
Hartline on 1st down: 401 yards, 18.2 ave, 42% 1st downs per attempt, 67% catch rate, 54 yard long.
Hartline on 3rd down: 128 yards, 11.6 ave, 38% 1st downs per attempt, 46% catch rate, 21 yard long.
(Before anyone blabs about stats again, I'm merely using them to validate something that I already believe to be accurate, rather than basing an argument to fit the stats. Most of this post was written before I even thought about looking them up.) The above stats are troubling to me. By glancing at them, you can concretely see that we're leaving plays on the field and not maximizing our offense's potential on each down. We lack dynamics because of it, and IMO it will continue to lack until it's addressed.
Simple fix:
1. Draft a stud WR like Julio Jones, Justin Blackmon, or Greg Little to replace Hartline as our #2.
2. Move Hart to the slot on 1st and some 2nd downs so we can get his quality 1st down production here (401 yards) instead of Bess's mediocre 190. This also provides us greater YPC, more 1st downs per attempt, a greater catch%, and greater chunk yardage potential on 1st down from the slot while still having as much production (if not more) from the #2 WR position. (None of this mentions how much an upgrade at #2 means to our offense, but that's for another thread).
3. Bess moves to the slot on 2nd & short and 3rd down where he can continue to dominate the league.
Marshall, Hart, and (Little, Blackmon, or Julio) give us greater flexibility to move guys around the field with a better opportunity of creating mismatches.
Bess & Hart can both rotate in to give breathers while providing us an extremely difficult 4 WR spread to defend (and less worries about Marshall being winded in the 4th Qtr). Adding a stud #2 IMO will go a long way toward indirectly turning this offense around. All of this gives us a better opportunity to maximize production from all 3 WR positions on EVERY down.
Basically, I want to squeeze this puppy for every yard it can get. We're like a 200 HP V8 with room to tweak it to 350 with a couple easy adjustments. I'd like to see it get to 500!! lol
I know I probably got a little redundant, but I'm too tired and hung over to proof read. :yes:
Debate away!! Happy new year!!
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Why is it not a high possibility that Bess COULD get alot more YAC if he ran something other than curls and outs? Seriously. I believe if he were to run a lot more slants, and was hit in stride, he would do just fine. WHat am I missing here?
Honest question -
Bro, love Bess, but you are correct, I've said it a couple of times and told Deej to bkmk it, there will be a shakeup on our Wr corps this offseason you can see it from here.
Basically they are good players, BM, Hartline, DBess, but they all are the "same" player that is why Marlon Moore is having a look if that dude could return kicks and punts he would have a huge role for the Dolphins moving forwards as Nolan Carroll is a good KR but his running style will get him...well..concussed. -
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Hartline is equally as quick as Bess over 10 yards, but pulls away from 10-40. This is a big asset in the slot over Bess on 1st and 2nd down. Brian can cover more field which allows us to attack more of the field, which forces defenses to have to cover more of the field (or at least be prepared for it). That helps open up the ground game while giving Marshall more room underneath to catch a short route and turn it into a big play. Lamens terms: Brian has the speed & ability to get himself further away from Brandon than Bess can so that there will be less defenders within the same vicinity so that Marshall has a greater opportunity to earn his $40 million.
Hart would be a stud in the slot on 1st and 2nd IMO. His 6.65 3 cone time would really shine here..... more so than playing outside as a #2 IMO, and he'd tear up LBs matched up on him. -
bring in two offensive linemen that can run block and we're a top 16 offense. get a gamebreaker RB, TE or WR on top of that we're top ten. or failing that have Henne develop into a quality QB or pick one up and we're top ten. Do all three (2 offensive linemen, one playmaker skill position, better play at QB) and we could be top 7. The scheme we run is irrelevant
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"the fix" is an offensive rebuilding project, not a simple solution
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For me TP, Ingram takes precedent, does anyone now think after todays game that this is not a special player, like some were saying last week, lol..
I do agree that the receiver unit needs an upgrade, and your analysis about Bess, a legit threat from anywhere on the field..but imo it will have to come with our third, ingram is just to good at a need position. -
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Friend ToddsPhins:
fire two coaches only, then acquire a QB, Center, Pulling-Guard, RB & TE to accompany Fasano
I think the problem runs deep with no quick fix available.
2011 will require a re-building of the offense before we can compete @ a consistent & high level -
There are a few times this year that I remember thinking "Damn, if Bess only had a little more speed, like 3 seconds faster on his forty, then this return goes to the house". Then I just shake my head in disappointment. For someone who's legs move so fast, he really doesn't go very far. Just sayin.
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I guess a 4.71 can only take you to the Hall of Fame though... Jerry Rice
I'm just kidding with that, they're not comparable. I think with an addition like your favorite guy Greg Little would not only give us freedom on first down, but also give us some depth at Wide Receiver that we so badly need.ToddsPhins likes this. -
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Anywho, keep in mind BM had his best season with Eddie Royal in the slot and healthy and imho Royal is far more explosive than Hartline or Bess, which is why imho they are test driving Marlon Moore. -
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Sure I'd love a Wallace or DeSean Jackson to burn down the field, but not every team has one either.
Receiver is about our only decent position on offense.... I'd much rather see us improve our interior line and RB position on draft day.
Henne needs to be throwing 25-30 times a game, not 40+ out of max protect 2 receiver sets. Our RBs are too slow to catch screens, sweep, or bust anything outside of the edge anymore.
The regression in our running game has me far more concerned than our speed at receiver. -
If Palmer were to hypothetically come here, I'm inclined to think he'll prefer Hartline in the slot based on his success with Shipley since he and Hart have similar talent, skill sets, and physical attributes IMO.
The Eddie Royal point: Exactly. As you wisely know, it's not always about how good the guys are around you look statistically, but also how they affect the play of those around them. The "Miami has better receivers around Marshall than Denver did" argument doesn't hold any water when dealing with how they open up the field to allow Brandon more room to make plays IMO. Royal in the slot does a lot more for Marshall than Bess does. -
1. The guy I like (Greg Little) at #2 runs a 4.5.
2. Thinking that there is no problem at WR is to say that you've never watched a game or looked at our roster, no offense.
3. The guy that I like (Little) can probably be had in the 3rd or 4th round.
4. If Mark Ingram is off the board, then it would be absurd to reach for the next best back if Julio Jones is on the board. We need a playmaker. If one falls to you in the first round, you can't afford to pass him up and be picky about which position you get that playmaker from. Teams don't get better by passing on elite talent at positions that can greatly impact a game at any given second.
5. If you want to improve the running game, then you need a WR unit who can can keep defenses more honest. RBs cant do a thing if they don't have the space to do it in, otherwise we'll continue seeing what we do now- guys getting tackled at 7 yards when they could've broken a big one if there weren't so many defenders within a 20 yard area. You're missing an important aspect of an offense's dynamics.
6. How many running backs do you want us to draft and sign if FA? We don't need to spend 6 picks and 2 FA acquisitions on the position. It's actually possible to address RB and our SERIOUS need at WR.
Signing Mankins, if it can happen, along with moving Incognito to C full time will greatly improve our Oline. We don't need all pros at all 5 spots..... not to mention Jerry is still a promising prospect. Not sure I'd want to spend a high pick on his replacement when the effort might prove futile. -
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The quickest way to turn things around on offense is to get the running game going. While the line could use some help, I think it's quite clear that both Ricky and Ronnie have not played well this year. I think Ricky might just finally be showing his age a bit. With Ronnie, I think it is very easy to see when he has good burst to his step and when he does not. He's had it for only a handful of games this season. Given the contract situations, I can see only one of the two returning, and even then their role should be as a backup. We need new blood, and I don't think it's something you leave to chance.
ToddsPhins likes this. -
Manny Arceneuex, or Manny A, he has had 8 workouts with NFL Clubs, we had his first one.
CK likes his game, I watched him all of the last CFL season and he is explosive, medicore hands, but he can do some things on the football field.
If they like as much as they liked Wake, that would free up some options in the Draft, I view him as a 5th rd pick from a Mtn West conference, CK is much higher on him as in a Day 1 pick.ToddsPhins likes this. -
If Hartline and Bess are essentially the same guy, you might get our 2nd back by trading Bess. That would be one of the real surprises of the offseason, a la Wes Welker
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Granted, if we grabbed Jacoby Jones if FA to make ensure we lock up some sort of playmaker and then have a stud WR like Julio Jones became our 1st pick b/c his value is too good to pass up, then I'd welcome a 2nd for Bess any day of the week. I don't think we can afford to trade any of our top 3 WRs until our depth is solidified though. -
Ditto on the scary duo of Ingram & James (or even Andre Ellington) ..... or how about Ingram & Bradshaw? Ingram and Trent Richardson? :shifty:
Almost forgot about possibly grabbing Owen Marecic (Stanford FB) in the 4th to replace Polite if Lex isn't moved to FB. He's got Tourette's, but he'd be a nice fit here and could probably beat out Crowder at LB.:couch: