If Baltimore loses to Pitt (3-3 division record, we're 4-2) and we win out, then 10 wins gets us in. It's that simple. In a perfect world Miami and Pittsburgh are 9-6 heading into week 17 and the game gets flexed to 4:15 or SNF like last year's finale @NY. I'd love that atmosphere.
I think 9-7 could get us in but only IF the Ravens lose tonight. If the Ravens win tonight it is going to take 10 wins for us to make it. Right now we are behind: Denver 8-4, who we are not going to catch. Jax 7-5, who we will catch next weekend. Jax has us, Indie and the Pats over the next three weeks. Ravens 6-5, They have the Packers tonight then a couple easy games vs the Lions and Bears. They then finsih with road game at Pitt and Oakland. I see the Ravens as our biggest threat to making the playoffs. There are two teams tied with us at 6-6. The Jets finish with a couple very tough games so I am not worried about them. And of course we finish against the Steelers so winning that game is critical.
Not sure what that has to do with us? We are not in the same division as the Ravens and Steelers. The Ravens are currently 6-4 in conference, we are 4-4 but I am not sure that is the next tie breaker... I have to read up on that.