Well I've been saying this for how long? No one wants to listen to me. Maybe someone will listen to Jason Cole.
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Stereotypes are made to be broken .There is always a first time.I think it would depend on the age of the coach involved.I am sure someone like Gruden or Tomlin will eventually win a SB with two teams.
I will guarantee it will happen eventually .dolfan32323, Ophinerated, BlameItOnTheHenne and 2 others like this. -
An evidently false argument doesn't become true just because Jason Cole repeats it.
Starry31, Ophinerated, Stringer Bell and 3 others like this. -
Hiring Super Bowl-winning coach offers no guarantees of NFL titles
Then there was this article back in 2009 by Don Banks
PhinPhanatic likes this. -
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Sometimes some of you guys remind me of the proverbial child who's told by his mother not to touch the stove because it's hot...but you gotta touch it anyway!!!
Super Bowl winning coaches don't win Super Bowls with different teams...period! More often than not, they end up with losing records.
You children just go right ahead and touch the stove and when you get burned, I don't wanna hear you cry.
You were told it was hot!! -
Depends on the situation. If I tell you that Jon Gruden took the head coaching job for the Pittsburgh Steelers, he'll win the Super Bowl less than 3 seasons.
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You know, time is my ally here and I'll be vindicated. Whether it takes, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years or 5.
Let the Dolphins hire a former Super Bowl winning coach...let Ross hire Bill Cowher, or Jon Gruden or even our arch nemesis Bill Belichick as our next head coach and at the end of each of the season, I'll post in this forum, "Hey how about that Super Bo....oh wait, we didn't win, did we?"
One of these days you guys are gonna listen to me and realize the old guy here knows what he's talking about. -
ssmiami likes this.
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Tell me Vendigo...which coach has won Super Bowl with two different teams again?
Game, Set, Match...
I haven't been proven wrong.steveincolorado likes this. -
Tell you guys what, here's how confident I am.
I'll wager a 1 year ban from thephins.com.
If the Dolphins do indeed hire Bill Cowher or John Gruden or any other former Super Bowl winning head coach, and the Dolphins do win a Super Bowl with that coach...period. Not within so many years of his hiring, but wins a Super Bowl PERIOD, I'll subject myself to a one year ban from the forum.
But if you lose and it doesn't come to pass, you subject yourselves to the same ban.
Any takers?
MODS, I'm serious here. If there's any takers make any annotations you need to. -
There was this girl in my math class at school, who, when asked to calculate her chances to win the lottery, emphatically replied with "fifty-fify": either you win or you don't. When the ensuing hilarity eventually died down, she adamantly refused to acknowledge that there was anything wrong with her logic and today she's into politics. Go figure.
Ophinerated, Stringer Bell, Ozzy and 5 others like this. -
finfansince72 Season Ticket Holder Club Member
I think part of the problem is that when a coach leaves a Superbowl Title winning team he takes control of the next franchise, has 100% say in the roster, etc, they have a lot of leverage in their next job. I wouldn't give Cowher or Gruden final say on who we pick up or draft, they should have final say on who plays though. I don't know if they are the best guys for the job but dismissing someone because they've had success is about the dumbest thing I've ever even heard of.
aesop likes this. -
I think it's unfair to lob Vermeil in with the others. He went to the superbowl and lost. then he went to another team and won the superbowl.
and Parcells won multiple superbowls with the G-men, came back and might have won the superbowl with patsies if it wasn't for the heroics of D Howard.
So, if you had the choice to take one of these coaches knowing it could get you to the superbowl with a chance (win or lose) to win the big one, would you really be stupid enough to say no? -
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I think when you have coaches that have been to superbowls with different teams, the argument that it can't be done loses steam imo, because when you can get to two superbowls with 2 different teams, you obviously have the grit, the work ethic, and the passion to achieve the ultimate big game, which is the theory usually used asmto why it can't be done in the first place, Then the game itself is just a game, it can go either way based on talent and variables, not whether the coach has some mysterious curse hanging over them keeping them from functioning mentally..
Ohio Fanatic, Colorado Dolfan and muscle979 like this. -
There have been only what 46 Super Bowls played? That means only 46 coaches have been Super Bowl winners. Less than that given that several have repeated. Now how many men have coached in the NFL during that time span? I have no idea but it is surely a big number. You can safely say that only a small percentage of NFL head coaches have ever won a Super Bowl, period. This argument saying that because they have done it before they'll never do it again has no substance. History says that the odds of any man you hire winning a Super Bowl are very low. To use a sample size of 12 men out of the scores who have coached in the NFL during the Super Bowl era is silly. You hire the best coach you can find, bottom line.
Colorado Dolfan, finfansince72, miamiron and 1 other person like this. -
The fact that it hasn't been done isn't proof that it can't (or won't) be done, especially given the size of the sample and the simple fact that it's been done in other sports. -
If you guys are soooooo confident a former Super Bowl winning head coach like Cowher or Gruden can win a Super Bowl with our team...and you guys are sooooooo tired of hearing my argument, SOMEONE...ANYONE....JUMP!!!
MAKE THE WAGER!!!
Dont be scared. Be a man! Surprise yourself!! -
PhinGeneral likes this.
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Hobiesailor Season Ticket Holder Club Member
There is a saying that goes around in Science circles that centers around the causes of results
"Correlation does not equal Causation"
meaning, that just because something correlates to a result, such as 'Coaches who have won a Super Bowl have not won another on with a second team', does not mean that the event caused the result. For example, I drink Sobe Lizard Fuel drinks everyday, I have never had cancer, Sobe Lizard Fuel prevents cancer! Now we can see that this is utterly ridiculous. There are other reasons why I haven't had cancer such as, no family history of it, not old enough to have developed one, ect. Drinking Sobe was not the cause, but it correlated.
With Super Bowl coaches, other factors have kept them from winning another super bowl. Giving them total control, not finding the right quaterback, ect. Them winning the super bowl was not the cause. Only a correlation.Colorado Dolfan, Ophinerated, miamiron and 1 other person like this. -
If we hire say, Gruden or Cowher, I cant believe it will actually make you happy to root against them winning a Super Bowl just to stick it up our collective.......texanphinatic likes this. -
Love is blind
Therefore we can conclude that God is Ray Charles.Colorado Dolfan, Ophinerated and Pandarilla like this. -
No person has ever won the Florida state lottery more than once therefore it is impossible for somebody who has won the state lottery to win it again if he continues playing it. If you don't believe me I will make you a wager. If within the next five years someone wins it twice I will leave the site. If a different person wins it each week I win and you have to forfeit your account
Any takers? Cmon be a man and prove me wrongOhio Fanatic likes this. -
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Glad Indy didn't think like you when no Black coach had every won a superbowl....
Colorado Dolfan and Hobiesailor like this. -
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Bull****. There's no physical law that prevents a HC from winning SBs with two different teams. Might just as well go all-in on the immutable power of horseshoes or four-leaf clovers.
It's an interesting stat. That's all.Colorado Dolfan and Hobiesailor like this. -
You want to know the truth? The odds are heavily in your favor should anyone be foolish enough to take it.
Not because a coach who has won a superbowl has a worse chance as a coach who hasn't, but because IT'S ****ING HARD TO WIN A SUPERBOWL!
Just because the media is crazy enough to report fallacies as data doesn't mean you have to be crazy enough to buy into it.Ohio Fanatic and RGF like this. -
Yup I might too. What nonsense, 40 years of statistics, the sheer difficulty of winning a SB in the first place, and somehow this is the all empowering statistic that proves everything? Phil Jackson retired undefeated in any series that he won the first game. He came four points away from losing that. Do you realize what four points is? Four points is a ticky-tack foul on Pau Gasol in that game 7 leaving him in foul trouble early.
The ebb and flow of history and the odds are so fluid so dynamic that you may see two HCs that have won SBs before win them again in the next five years. There is nothing in the real odds, the actual difficulties you have to overcome that says they can't do it. -
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Now I don't know about you guys, winning games is great, but if you're not holding up the Vince Lombardi Trophy at the end of the season, you failed...and many folks here say my logic is failed...that it can be done, so...
The Wager. :up: -
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I bleed aqua and coral...and will bleed aqua and coral until the day I die. Do you really think I'd root against my Dolphins? :pity: -
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