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My 2017 draft review/opinion

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by brandon27, May 1, 2017.

  1. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I started writing this as a response to one of the draft grade threads, but as I just kept on rambling it evolved into a full breakdown, and I felt it maybe became worthy of a thread of it’s own.

    When I look at this draft, although I may not be happy with all of the selections, I come away feeling very confident in this team and the direction of the front office under Grier and Gase, with Tannenbaum overseeing it all. I like the plan we had this year. We knew our needs. We trusted our valuations. Sounds like they used a nice combination of BPA & Need to make their selections, and they didn't panic and jump around the board like Tannenbaum seems to like to. I think we saw a change in strategy there, likely due to the influence of Greir/Gase being more involved.

    I have based this OPINION off my own takes of the player and some cut-up videos of them from around the internet, as well as articles, and things I've learned about the player/game along the way from opinions/information of those in the club I trust and value.

    Round 1, Charles Harris:
    I like this pick. I think if you watch this guy, you can really see why they wanted him. Keep in mind, the plan here with this draft seemed to be help the defense, and fill needs with talent. Charles Harris does that. There’s no denying Wake is nearing the end. His performance doesn’t show that, but he’s not getting any younger. Our DE’s behind Wake aren’t known for their pass rushing prowess either. Harris has tons of pass rush ability, that’s pretty clear when you watch him. I don’t think he’s as weak against the run as some think. I’ve watched a few videos and didn’t come away completely appalled by his run D. Mind you, he’s got some work to do, absolutely. I think though, anytime you’re picking outside of say the top 10 in talent in the draft, you should expect some issues for this guys to work on. Overall, he fills an immediate need in helping bolster the pass rush, and fills a long term need doing the same once Wake’s career ends. I saw some suggest a trade down here, but I don’t think you can pass up that kind of pass rush ability. When I watch him rushing the passer, I feel like I’m watching Wake at times. Also, by all accounts, a really solid, good character guy. A seemingly re-occurring theme with guys Adam Gase wants on this team. I would have considered adding Peppers or McKindley here too if possible, but I like this pick.


    Round 2, Raekwon McMillan:
    I’ll admit, I thought we were going to go Zach Cunningham or Melifonwu here, and I would have been happy with that. I preferred it. Lets face it though, we needed an LB more than anything. Been the weakest unit of this team for a couple of years now. I felt Cunningham was the better player. However, after watching more of, and learning more about McMillan, I feel like he has the higher ceiling. Cunningham may be the more athletic, more sideline to sideline able, but I think McMillan is more of the downhill, run stuffer/thumper and much more solid tackler. I believe that, is the sole reason for this pick. No secret, our LB’s were poor tacklers, and poor against the run. Raekwon should assist in that. Reading from some of our great club members, it was pointed out too his age. He’s SO YOUNG. He’s got a lot of growing and developing still to do, so he should only get better. Combine that again, with solid character. At his age, captain of the OSU defense. Impressive. We certainly need leadership on that defense. My concern with him though, it’s no secret he played with a lot of high end talent on that OSU defense. So, is he benefiting mostly from those around him? Or is he a playmaker in his own right? I’m not good enough at this to answer that question. The FO seems to think so, so that’s good enough for me since I sell insurance, and they work in pro football. I do though, think he’s a guy that’s going to benefit from working with Timmons, and Alonso, and that will help him grow into the role, and I can see the possibility of him becoming a solid LB here for some time.


    Round 3: Cordrea Tankersly:
    I think again here, its obvious how aware the FO was of our needs. Maxwell, is what he is at this point. Whether that’s good or bad, I mean, who knows. Depends on the week I guess. However with his contract/salary going to be increasing, no surprise to see us take a CB. Apparently by most accounts he is compared to Maxwell. I don’t know enough about him, or have seen enough to pass a judgement, however again, I understand the pick, fills a need for depth, and future role when Maxwell likely isn’t on the roster after this season, or who knows, maybe after camp. He’s got idea size, seems like he needs some work though to get less grabby. I’m not sure I’d want him as a day 1 starter at this point.


    Round 5: Issaac Asiata
    I like this pick. I hate that we didn’t have a 4th rounder to address the OL though, but I can’t fault this year’s draft for that. Guys I would have preferred went in the fourth. Again though, fills a need. I would have prioritized this need earlier, but we didn’t have a lot of choice. I think he’s a better run blocker than pass blocker. It’s no secret we needed help. If he starts, its more of a reflection on how bad the current talent is at Guard than his ability. I think he’s going to need some time to add strength. Ultimately, I think he can be a starter in this league. However, again, keep in mind… I sell insurance.


    Round 5: Davon Godchaux
    OK, I didn’t like this one at the time. I had kind of forgotten our need for DT’s though while following the draft. I didn’t like it though because I thought for sure we were going to address the OL here again. Danny Isidora went a few picks later to the Vikings, and he would have been my preference here. I didn’t know much about Godchaux, but watched a few videos, and did some reading. I don’t see a bad player, but I don’t see a great one either. I get it, it’s the 5th round, so that makes sense. I don’t see anything he does particularly well, but I don’t see anything particularly bad either. Doesn’t seem bad against the run. Should help there. Our DT depth beyond Phillips is pretty invisible though, so again, another example of the staff picking a pretty productive player and addressing a need. I’m not in love with it, or high on it, but it doesn’t look awful, and it was a need.


    Round 6: Vincent Taylor
    I was surprised to see us double up on DT’s, but again, that was more me forgetting about the lack of depth there. Admittedly, again, didn’t know much about him. After watching some video cut-ups of him though, I actually like him more than Godchaux. He’s got some serious power, made some pretty big impact plays. Seems like more of a penetrator. Should help against the run, and help keep that DL rotation nice and fresh. If there’s an issue of keeping either Taylor or Godchaux on the final roster after camp, I’d think Taylor would get that spot over Godchaux if it comes down to it. Again though, I sell insurance. Just as the pick of Gofchaux, I’m not in love with it, or high on it, but it doesn’t look awful, and it was a need. If they both make the roster, great! If just one makes it, that’s good too seeing as it’s the 5th and 6th rounds we’re talking here.


    Round 7: Isaiah Ford
    Slim pickings when you get to the 7th. I didn’t pay much attention, at all here. So, I don’t have much to add. I’d be surprised if he makes the roster, especially given the investment in Carroo. I’m not sure if he’s talented enough to pressure him to be honest.


    Overall Grade:
    I like what they did with the selections. I didn’t necessarily agree with all of their choices, but after learning a bit more and watching these guys they did pick a bit more, I understand why they did what they did, and took who they took. It all seemed well orchestrated, and a welcome difference from years past.

    Ultimately the real grading comes down the road when we see how these guys come in and play, and if the FO staff actually nailed their evaluations and such. However, I think we should be encouraged by the fact that they got good value (by most accounts), and got what appear to be good players and addressed the big needs we had on Defense. There was a plan, and it seems pretty clear they stuck to it. That's a good way to run the draft, especially if you nail your evaluations. Time will tell.

    Overall though, based on what I see and feel, as much as I hate to grade a draft before these guys have played a down in the NFL or even had a practice I would assign a grade of B- If we were just talking the first two rounds, I’d say A-, I like those two picks. However, over all I drop to a B, or B- simply because I’m not in love with either of the two DT’s, would have preferred another Guard drafted, I think there’s some risk to McMillan, but the upside is undeniable, Asiata has some work to do. However, it’s hard to knock the team on this draft because they did a good job finding players with good character, good production, and good skills to fill their needs. I think all but Ford are potentially rosterable players, but maybe one of the DT's his the practice squad. So, I'm comfortable at this point saying it's between a B or B-

    Again, keep in mind, I may not know what the hell I'm talking about, but this was fun! My apologies if it was too long for you, or if you think I'm crazy. :lol: I'll crawl back into my igloo up here in the great white north with a bottle of scotch and I won't really care anyways :lol:
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2017
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  2. Tin Indian

    Tin Indian Rockin' The Bottom End Club Member

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    Good post, however I really think Asiata is going to turn out to be a really good pick for us. He is strong, can play anywhere on the line if needed. Most importantly plays with a real mean streak which is exactly what we need up front. Haven't had a guy like that since Incognito and it's been sorely missed. I also like the depth picks of the two DT's. Sorely lacking at that position.
     
  3. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    Why would I read this? You sell insurance.




















    Seriously though, great write up. And I agree with most of what you said.
     
  4. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    My thoughts on your thoughts:

    1) Agree that I would have preferred no double-dip at DT

    2) I actually think Raekwon's appeal is a high floor and moderate ceiling, rather than the other way around.

    3) Canadians prefer the NFL to the CFL
     
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  5. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Clearly you read it then, donkey :up: And, thanks.

    Yeah. I get the need for the double dip at DT, I'd have just rather not done it at the expense of Isidora. He may not have been the answers to our OL problems either, and maybe they didn't value him either, it just would have made me feel better. I get the Guard may not be of utmost importance to us, but I'd have felt better investing another pick in it to see what we could have gotten. Especially over Godchaux who just, doesn't wow me... again, as someone who doesn't do this for a living.

    Also, for the record, this Canadian does not prefer the CFL over the NFL. Not even close. I barely pay attention to it, and I wish they would adopt a set of rules a little more similar to the NFL game (although I think most CFL fans would be strongly opposed to that) so that it could become more of a developmental league. That's another rant for another thread/time though.
     
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  6. bigballa2102

    bigballa2102 Well-Known Member

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    IMO I think this draft was easily in the D to D+ range I thought the lack of knowing what was on the board in rounds 1 and 2 where huge, I think if we were looking at LB foster was the pick in round 1 then followed by a DE could have got rivers in the 3rd round which was roughly the same pick to me as Harris. I would have went with LB CB DE first 3 picks. However I do like asiata in the 5th though I really feel the need for defense wasn't really solidified. But again that is my opinion we wasted a 1 rounder on a situational/work needed DE when I think foster could have easily filled a 60% snap roll out the gate if needed and hes a better run stopper which as we all know 4.5 ypa isn't going to work as we gave up last year.

    Again just my opinion so I guess all we can do is sit and wait until we can get back to the more important topics as the season starts like the RT sucks/is awesome threads.
     
  7. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    D, to D+ range? Are you sure that's not a typo? I mean, if you take into consideration what people with knowledge of player evaluation and associated with the game for a long time whether strictly media, formerly involved in front office work and now in media etc, etc. Everyone in those circles believes this was likely a B- in the least. Maybe there's a couple floating around in the C range, but I haven't seen them. I'm not so sure how you can go to the D range, unless you simply are just angry they didn't do what you wanted. I think though, even in those cases, to make a valid statement/judgement on this you need to take your own needs/wants out of the process, and look at the player and how it fits what we wanted/needed. Maybe you've done that, but I find it a bit hard to believe given the grade by you, compared to the general consensus of those involved in the league on some level. Of course, they could be wrong. I'm sure I am wrong in some area's too, I'm just not sure how you can be serious saying D/D+ unless it's simply because it's not what/who you wanted. Like I said, I wasn't a fan of some of the picks, there's a couple I'd have done differently, but when you go back and look at the player, I think you can at least see, and understand their thought process. Which to me, makes it hard to say D/D+. However, you're entitled to your opinion I suppose. I think that's being a bit extreme though, I mean that's essentially like saying none of these guys are going to be here in 3 years to grade it that poorly.

    Foster had too many issues to be considered at 22 IMO. That was pretty much confirmed by almost every single team passing on him in the first round. I think they just felt the need to address the pass rushing need as soon as they could have, with a player they were clearly in love with. You look at it they want the picked it, and you can easily say that Harris, while he needs some work, he's going to make an impact, and he's going to get quality snaps throughout his rookie year, you look at McMillan and I think he's likely going to be either one of our starting LB's, or heavy in the rotation as he gets his feet wet. So, if you were pegging Foster for 60% snaps, I think you're going to see that from McMillan, and you're going to see that from Harris as well, if not more for both of them. You still get the LB, and you get a pass rusher in the process.

    Ultimately, we've got to see how it translates on the field, and were just making assumptions at this point. I don't think a grade of D/D+ is anywhere near accurate, but hey, that's your opinion and thats ok too.
     
  8. bigballa2102

    bigballa2102 Well-Known Member

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    Yahoo graded Miami a C- first off which doesn't mean anything. Second off if you think Harris is going to play 60% of snaps then your looking at a player that is going to get injured, there is nothing special about Harris that Jordan didn't have and how well did that first round pick fair for us besides the whole off the field issues = no production. They are both undersized pass rushers not under sized DE there's a difference. He's a specialists and he's a little light. I do like every pick after the 2nd round I think there is huge upside to asiata and tankersly. Personally I feel godchaux will see more action in year 1 than harris.

    I am basing solely my opinion on what Miami's needs were, Miami's main concern entering this draft to me was stopping the run, is harris going to do that? NO!!!!! another main concern was getting cb/s help in the passing game? we got one CB don't get me wrong I think mcmillian is a decent player I just felt if we were looking for a LB then that should have been the pick at 22. You are not going to sack the qb every pass attempt I think Miami had 30 something sacks last year and I think the team with the most was around 45 or something, but we did give up 4+ yards a carry which I think had to be in the running for league worst. trying to sack the qb is not the main concern to me, could we have got help in that area in later rounds? absolutely! look at rivers who the pats drafted, same type of player and stature in I think like the 5th round.

    Like I said this is solely my opinion, after watching harris numerous times I never felt he was a 1st round talent (unless he went to the right system I.E. PATS, eagles), he is a 1 trick pony The wide 9 doesn't work in the NFL nor does Miami play it. If you don't believe me just watch any of the Tennessee game or even the lsu game and watch how bad they make him look. His run stopping ability is a huge downside and that is what I feel Miami needed most.

    But like I have said in any post I hope I am wrong and I look like a total jack@$$ and the upside is huge on all the players and they turn out good, I am solely basing my thoughts on how they played in college, just playing living room GM!!!
     
  9. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    What does Harris have to do with Jordan? They are different players, with different skills, issues, lives and most importantly, are different human beings entirely.
     
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  10. bigballa2102

    bigballa2102 Well-Known Member

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    I was using him as an example we waisted a #1 pick on no production and we wasted a number 1 pick on another "Pass rushing" DE. that's all
     
  11. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    It's an irrelevant comparison. Jordan's successes or failures have absolutely nothing to do with Harris' potential successes or failures. Nothing from one situation can be used to glean anything about the other situation. What if Harris is the second coming of JT or Wake? (Not implying he will be, I'm pretty neutral on his drafting)
     
  12. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    Should compare him to Marco Coleman.
     
  13. cuchulainn

    cuchulainn Táin Bó Cúailnge Club Member

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    Negative team reports on Foster go beyond just big ego he sports. He and his agent irritated a lot of the teams that interviewed him and even with Saban telling Foster while at Bama to get world renown specialist, Dr James Andrews to do his shoulder surgeries, he opted to arrogantly do his own thing - which is why he's having to have more surgeries.

    The Ravens were interested in Foster to replace Orr and to pair with former Bama LB, CJ Moseley, but after looking into Foster's medical issues (concussions and shoulder issues) and getting a feel for Foster's ego and attitude, they opted to pass on him. Ozzie Newsome, Bama Alumi, passed on him when he could've had him and he'd know more about Foster and what went with him than most. Even if he didn't want Foster at #16, he could've dropped down in the first and still gotten him. Instead, the ravens took a DB and got a LB in the 2nd.

    Separately, after the disaster of Dion Jordan, you'd think people would want to stay away from drafting head cases with pre-existing shoulder injuries who may not play a down this season in the first round...
     
    Last edited: May 2, 2017
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  14. bigballa2102

    bigballa2102 Well-Known Member

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    so your saying out of college there are no similarities between Jordan or harris? There is nothing remotely alike? did Jordan look like he was going to be an all out beast his first year in 2013 no he was too small and got thrown around with 3 sacks in 16 games and your saying your first rounder with 3 sacks as a designated "pass rusher" as a first rounder is ok?

    So lets compare Jordan had 3 sacks in 16 games as a "pass rusher" correct? as the first round number 3 overall.
    Von miller number 2 overall 11.5 sacks in his first year as a bonified pass rusher.

    If you go out in the first round and get a designated "pass rusher" a wide 9 pass rusher at that the kid better be productive year one and be a savage. We are still waiting to see, im just very skeptical him playing nothing but wide 9. That's why I see it as D+ draft grade.

    What I am saying is Jordan and harris are both small bad first round picks I am not saying harris is a bust or isn't going to do well if It was up to me id hope he would learn from #91 and become a beast and prove me wrong I would like nothing more than that. all I am saying is if you were going to draft harris you could have gotten a better cb/s or lb and still got a player with the same skill set or close to it in later rounds. That is all
     
  15. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    Jordan played a different position. Jordan was more of a player who would play various positions.

    I wouldn't say Dion Jordan and Charles Harris are that similar at all.
     
  16. btfu149

    btfu149 Well-Known Member

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    From one insurance salesman to another that was a great read. I haven't really gotten to look into the draft too much yet haha
     
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  17. Fin D

    Fin D Sigh

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    Yes, I'm saying there is nothing about Jordan that applies to Harris. They are different people. That would be like saying never take a QB first overall because Jamarcus Russell busted.
     
  18. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    Good point. The JaMarcus Sizzurp Rule
     
  19. Pauly

    Pauly Season Ticket Holder

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    As for addressing tean needs.
    Before the draft they were seen as:
    Improving the pass-rush, due to age concerns and declining production.
    Improving the LB situation
    Upgrading Interior OL
    Improving the secondary.
    Improving the DT depth

    I understand grabbing a CB in the third over a G because its harder to find a CB who will contribute in the 5th than finding a G who will contribute in the 5th.
    I understand drafting McMillan over Cunningham over tackling concerns.

    At this point I want my 3rd and 4th back and not to have drafted Carroo kast year, but that may change if Carroo develops this year. I viewed Carroo as a luxury pick last year but ce le vie.

    In terms of addressing needs you have grade this draft positively.
    In terms of player selection there are some quibbles here and there, but there are ho outright reaches, and apart maybe from Asiata no steals either.

    I fail to see how, at this point, this draft gets something other than a B +/-. If you like the players a B+ if you think they passedon slightly better pkayers a B-
     

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