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NFL Daily Fantasy thread

Discussion in 'Fantasy Football' started by Clark Kent, Sep 10, 2015.

  1. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    I'm trying out Daily fantasy this season. I'm stick w/$1-$2 dollar contests while I acclimate myself to the format. Trying out Yahoo's since they were offering 200% bonuses.

    I have 4 $1 lineups entered into tournament play. Scoring is .5 PPR. $200 dollars per team. I've got 1 GB packers stack (Rodgers, Lacy, Cobb, Adams), 1 Dolphin stack (Tannehill, Miller, and Landry), and one balanced team. No splashy super stars, just all around solid players at every position. I also have a wildcard team.

    EDIT: New Wildcard team.

    QB: Tyrod Taylor ($20)
    RB: Lamar Miller ($27)
    RB: Matt Forte ($33)
    WR: Dez Bryant ($32)
    WR: AJ Green ($28)
    WR: John Brown ($17)
    TE: Martellus Bennet ($20)
    Flex: Tyler Lockett ($10)
    Def: Seattle ($13)

    Strategy:
    - Tyrod Taylor was cheapest starting QB available at $20
    - Lamar Miller and Forte for their rushing ability, but also have some PPR value.
    - Dez w/great matchup
    - AJ Green is healthy and has a great match up.
    - John Brown could very well be T.Y. Hilton 2.0 in Bruce Arians offense w/Carson Palmer.
    - Seattle/Lockett combo for double points for special team TD's. Might ride this one all season until it hits lol. Hopefully Lockett plays well in the slot.

    Thinking about switching out Megatron for AJ Green... AJ Green has a juicer matchup.
     
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  2. Undisputed

    Undisputed Banned

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    Pretty solid. But if you could get a better pass catcher than Hill, it would be perfect.
     
  3. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    I was thinking that too. Maybe Matt Forte. The thing I love about Forte, no matter what, he has value in that bears offense. If you're ahead, he can grind. If you're behind, he can catch. There's always possibilities for points with him.
     
  4. JDelenne

    JDelenne Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I'm trying out Draftkings for the first time this year. I'm pretty excited to see how it all works and where I place each week. I feel pretty confident in my Fantasy Football knowledge but optimizing the line up under the cap was harder than I expected week 1.
     
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  5. Boik14

    Boik14 Admin Club Member Retired Administrator

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    I'm trying out fanduel really for the first time.
     
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  6. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    Since we're all new to daily fantasy, lets track our results throughout the year.
     
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  7. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    me too.
     
  8. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    Miller's match-up scares me a little this week so I personally steered clear. I'm starting small, too- 10 bets from a $15 bankroll.

    I did one upside bet with Tyrod Taylor.....

    QB- Tyrod
    RB- Lacy
    RB- Abdullah [I like him at his price]
    WR- Julio
    WR- Dez
    WR-ODB
    TE- Eifert
    K- McMannus [Denver]
    D- Tenn
     
  9. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    WTF, there's one dude on Fan Duel with 200 bets on the 250k Sunday Blitz, 100$ entry.

    There's another player named zzzImSleeping with 24,000 wins [NFL] since last April...... 82,000 wins total.
     
  10. Boik14

    Boik14 Admin Club Member Retired Administrator

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    I aspire to win 82000 times lol
     
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  11. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    The thought of you... sitting in your dusty old recliner at the old folks home... oxygen tank on full output... stomping your cane on the floor for that one last victory needed to reack 82k before the hourglass runs out. :lol:
     
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  12. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    If I don't finish in the green today on Fan Duel with the 7 lineups I have, then these other guys are a bunch of ringers and I've got no business gambling on fantasy football ever again. :burp:


    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
  13. JDelenne

    JDelenne Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    All I have to say is that my 3 teams on Draft kings today were an complete embarrassment. Unless Julio puts up about 100 fantasy points tomorrow.
     
  14. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    fuggin' Dez. :pity:


    .... and fuggin' ODB, A.J Green, and Calvin Johnson, too. I built my teams around those guys going off and putting me over the top, and then they all sh** the bed when it looked like I was set to cash in heavily on bets.
     
  15. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    I'm up $24 dollars at the moment... Nice. Mostly from the $10 entry, 1 million dollar kickoff I decided to enter into, right now, I'm making money in every contest I entered expect 1 (3/4). .That could change tomorrow as I'm sure a lot of people are playing players from the two Monday night games... As am I though. Jordan Matthews is on 2/3 teams. And Vernon Davis is on one. Hopefully, it all works out.

    Players who were huge for me today:
    Eifert: The cheapest TE ($13) who had the highest upside and best match up. Glad I went w/him on a couple of teams.
    Ingram: Decided to flex him on one team. Had an overall good day.
    Forte: Great day. About to CJ Anderson the league in his contract year.
    Ivory: Cheap ($17) and had a good matchup. 2 TD's FTW.
    Hill: Might be my favorite RB this season in terms of production.


    Players who I hate:
    Lamar Miller: Or Bill Lazor more accurately.
    Matthew Stafford. You have a WR nicknamed after a ****ing evil transformer because he's such a monster, being covered by a 5'9" CB and you target him 4 times? **** you, Stafford. Lots of big-time WR were disappointing today. Beckham, Megatron, Dez, all did jack ****. Cobb luckily got a TD or else he would have done jack **** too.
     
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  16. JDelenne

    JDelenne Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    The Top half of my roster really **** the bed. I ran with Tannehill(12.74) thinking he was poised for a huge day.. we all know how that turned out. Forsett(9.6) didn't have a great day, and Davante Adams(9.9) wasn't as productive as I thought he might be.

    Julio has yet to play, Landry (20.7), Witten (26), Stevie Johnson(20.2), Dolphins DST(15) are really holding me up right now.
    I'm 13 points behind the money mark but other teams have players tomorrow also so I don't think i'll be able to catch up this week.
     
  17. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    Well, I 'm ranked 446th out of 15000 on FanDuel, which translates to $100. but I expect to drop further after the MNF games tonight.

    lineup:
    QB Tom Brady
    RB Eddie Lacy
    RB Latavius Murray
    WR Markus Wheaton
    WR Jarvis Landry
    WR Davante Adams
    TE Rob Gronkowski
    K Dan Carpenter
    D Miami Dolphins

    I'm going to start playing more H2H games to win the small bucks each week (easier IMO) which will pay for the bigger contests. currently up 123 to 88 in my H2H contest and he has 1 WR playing and I have DeMarco Murray playing tonight

    H2H lineup:

    QB Tyrod Taylor
    RB Eddie Lacy
    RB DeMarco Murray
    WR Dez Bryant
    WR DeAndre Hopkins
    WR Davante Adams
    TE Travis Kelce
    K Mason Crosby
    D Miami Dolphins
     
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  18. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    What dollar amounts are you betting?

    I'm at 95.8 pts in the Million Dollar Rush /[$5] and 99 points in the 100k Sunday Rush [$2] with Bradford, Julio Jones, and Jordan Matthews still to play. If they have strong games, I could conceivably finish with 160-175 pts.... and possibly reach 150 pts in 2 other leagues.


    Something you might find interesting
    Avg minimum winning score in 50/50 Leagues:
    111.2
    Avg Best Score: 159.8

    Avg minimum winning score in Head-to-Head: 120.4
    Avg Best Score: 171.53

    Avg minimum winning score in FanDuel Leagues (typically 10-20 teams): 125.8
    Avg Best Score: 160.5

    Avg minimum winning score in Multipliers (triple-ups, quadruple-ups, quintuple-ups): 123.8
    Avg Best Score: 164.6

    Avg minimum winning score in FanDuel Tournaments: 121.9
    Avg Best Score: 177.4

    Avg minimum winning score in Satellites: 140.3
    Avg Best Score: 183.7
     
  19. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    Nice. I bet $25 on the 350K pool and $5 on the H2H game.
     
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  20. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    fuuuuuuuuk!!! :tantrum: Philly not challenging the apparent Jordan Matthews TD where it looked like he got the ball inside the pylon just cost me about $300. 6 pts deprived from Matthews and 4 pts from Bradford.
     
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  21. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    I'm up $105 on my initial $15 startup, winning 6 of 7 entries. Gonna roll it all into next week.
     
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  22. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    https://dailyfantasynerd.com/optimizer/yahoo/nfl?week=1

    These stats are super ****ing interesting/awesome... All the work I put into this week and I had about the same score as this guys optimal lineup. I didn't sign up for a premium account (I might though...), but even if that doesn't interest anyone, his stats are free and are worth checking out. Invaluable in terms of saving time. I did a lot of leg work (and some educated guessing, based on players I like this season) for nothing this week lol. It was ALL right there. The legend/ley is the "?" mark on the right of his stat database. Complete w/projections and a value rating. Going to try his optimal lineup this week (you get one free) when his projections come up Wednesday. My other teams will be my own. Will make sure to put up all my teams this week and show which is which.

    Has Fanduel, draftkings, and yahoo projections FYI
     
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  23. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    well, lost my two fantasy leagues I care about with my friends but did pretty well in my four FanDuel and Draft Kings leagues. even won one I thought I had lost

    FanDuel - weekly: $80 ($25 entry)
    FanDuel - H2H: $9 ($5 entry)
    DraftKings - weekly: $22 ($5 entry)
    DraftKings - MNF lineup: $7 ($3 entry)

    also won $40 for first place in my office league pickem pool

    going to roll it all over to next week as well
     
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  24. JDelenne

    JDelenne Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Ended up taking $23 from my 3 draft kings lineups. And came 101st out of top100 payout for the third lineup lol. Pretty happy for first time.
     
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  25. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    Week 2. Looking @ yahoo cost values for players, this week looks tougher to predict than week 1.

    It's early. All is subject to change based on a number of variables. It's only Tuesday... BUT guys I like this week.

    -QB-

    1. Philip Rivers $32): Before his severe rib and back injuries in 2014, Rivers was on pace for 4600 hundred yards, 40 TD's/10 INT, 70% completion through 8 games last year. I've ALWAYS been on the Rivers bandwagon, back when he was a prospect and before he jumped up the boards, I wanted Miami to draft him in 2004 w/our 20th pick. I feel he's very underrated because of "his" W/L record, despite not having much talent on the oline, WR's, RB's, since the mid-2000's. There truly is a Dan Marino comparison to be made for Rivers in terms of what their career trajectory looked like. Both guys had talent on offense entering the league, both had some success (Marino more than Rivers, obviously), and a few years into their careers, their talent deteriorated/left town and their W/L records starting evening out. Agree or disagree w/me on that subject, I like Rivers and for $32 bucks? Yes please. Already has a 400 yard game. Running game can't be relied on, and is weapons are pretty good this year. Best Value + Talent. Even though Cinci's D is decent enough, Rivers will have great fantasy numbers if for no other reason than volume. He will be on at least one of my DFS teams.

    2. Drew Brees ($43): Home game vs. Tampa. Tampa made Mariota look like Aaron Rodgers. Played well (355 yards 1TD/1INT) on the road vs. a good Arizona defense. That TD/INT ratio should look more like 3:1 or 4:1. But Mark Ingram got a ton of RZ attempts in NO last year... That could lower this number.
    3. Carson Palmer ($34): Looked good. W/o Ellington this week, but the Johnson RB's should be servicable. Bears D really shocked me in week 1 in terms of D play... Legit or not?
    4. Sam Bradford ($42): Home v. Dallas. Likes to throw and I don't think Dallas is capable of stopping this offense on the road.
    5. Ryan Tannehill ($39): Scared off after week 1? Fair enough, I guess. Strong matchup @ Jax. Tannehill has pretty bad road stats, however... Low floor, high ceiling.
    6. Matt Stafford ($37): High potent offense, especially if Ebron is the real deal. Very rarely do TE's have good rookie years. Gronk was the Dan Marino of rookie TE's.
    7. Nick Foles ($29): Cheapest legit QB 1. Risky because his weapons are suspect (Tavon, Bailey, Cunningham, Cook) in terms of consistency. Can they keep it up? Vs. Seattle, he played pretty well. Washington isn't Seattle, despite Washington having a good/underrated front 7.



    I didn't get to see the Viks @ 49ers. Did Minnesota's defense look good or did SF offense/QB look bad? Zimmer is a good defensive coach and they've got young talent, but I'm not sure how to rate Minnesota's defense at this point. Certainly, that will factor in my Stafford opinion.
     
  26. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    I just started Fanduel. I turned $2 into $4. I guess that's progress. I've got to put more time into this to get the hang of it.
     
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  27. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    Getting ready for my week #2: $25 entry in FanDuel. thinking of the following lineup

    Drew Brees
    Carlos Hyde
    DeMarco Murray
    Donte Moncrief
    Brandin Cooks
    Jordan Mathews
    T Eifert
    Z Hocker
    Baltimore defense

    liking these matches
     
  28. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    Love Moncrief this week. Super cheap, great value IMO.

    TY Hilton had 7 catches, 77 yards, on 14 targets.
    Moncrief had 6 catches, 46 yards, 1 TD on 11 targets.

    TY is OUT. Antonio Cromartie is OUT.

    Moncrief will play in Hilton's spot this week. Andre Johnson will be shadowed by Revis. Moncrief should see 10+ targets this week vs. A weakened Jet's secondary.
     
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  29. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    my thoughts exactly!
     
  30. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    or Dorsett will play in Hilton's spot and Moncrief will stay where he's at.
     
  31. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    i can see Dorsett getting more time, but given Moncrief's targets last week and production, Moncrief has Luck's trust I bet.
     
  32. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    I wouldn't disagree with that..... but as far as positions go, it'll probably be Dorsett taking TY Hilton's spot.
     
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  33. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    I meant spot as on "go to receiver" in the roster w/ Andre getting Revis. Role would of been a better choice of words.
     
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  34. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    This is my protype roster for this week. Subject to change, but I'm liking...


    QB: Rivers ($32) @ Cincinnati
    RB: LeSean McCoy ($28) vs. New England
    RB: Mark Ingram ($26) vs. Tampa Bay
    WR: Julio Jones ($37) @ NYG
    WR: Jordan Matthews ($27) vs. Dallas
    WR: Donte MonCreif ($13) vs. New York Jets
    TE: Austin Seferian-Jenkins ($12) @ NO
    Flex: Darren Sproles ($12) vs. Dallas
    DEF: Ravens ($12) @ Oak
    Total: $200

    I'm thinking of going w/CJ2K instead of Sproles. $10 and potentially great value. Waiting to hear about any news regarding his role w/Arizona vs. David Johnson.

    That website I linked earlier suggested my optimized roster should be...

    QB: Blake Bortles
    WR: Antonio Brown
    WR: Demaryius Thomas
    WR: Dante Moncrief
    RB: Chris Johnson
    RB: Matt Forte
    Flex: Carlos Hyde
    DEF: Ravens

    I entered this roster in a $1 50/50. Will make sure to post results. Looks pretty decent. I like Moncrief, Johnson, etc... Problem is, the tournament leagues don't use Thursday night players, eliminating Demaryius Thomas as an option. I would have to buy their content to exclude/filter Thursday night games for another "optimized" roster. I'm not going to do that until I see how decent this service is. If it shows some decent results in the 50/50's that include Thursday night players, I might pick it up in October/November.

    Optimized rosters for Draft Kings is...

    QB Drew Brees
    RB Matt Forte
    RB Lamar Miller
    WR Antonio Brown
    WR Allen Robinson
    WR Cole Beasley
    TE Jason Witten
    FLEX Frank Gore
    D Baltimore Ravens

    Optimized Fanduel roster is...

    QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
    RB Matt Forte
    RB Chris Johnson
    WR Antonio Brown
    WR Odell Beckham Jr.
    WR Pierre Garcon
    TE Jason Witten
    K Andrew Franks
    D St. Louis Rams


    If any of you guys are willing to throw these rosters into a $1 tourney, it would be cool if you posted the results.
     
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  35. byroan

    byroan Giggity Staff Member Administrator Luxury Box

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    I put the Fanduel one in.
     
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  36. JDelenne

    JDelenne Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I submitted the "Optimized" Draftkings lineup in a $3 entry.

    I didn't spend too much time on this line up but I think it would be pretty solid. Is Fanduel PPR or standard scoring?
    Brees
    Forte
    Hyde
    E. Sanders
    Landry
    Moncrief
    Eifert
    Sproles
    Phins DST
     
  37. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    I use Footballguys*com. pretty good fantasy site, but it costs money. They do their own predictions, but it's interesting that their predictions start with the Vegas lines to predict who the higher scoring teams will be, then they overlay match ups on top of that.

    They also have a calculator where you can switch players in and out of a lineup - calculated $$ cost divided by projected points to give you value for each player.

    Here's a sample for week 2:
    [EDIT] of course the editing of text didn't work after spending 15 minutes making it look nice. struggling to upload a pic. what programs do you guys use to upload pics? I can't seem to do it from photo bucket anymore

    TEAM OPPONENT ODDS GAME TOTAL TEAM TOTAL PASSING RUNNING TEAM DEFENSE
    Philadelphia Dallas -6 55.5 30.75 +++ +++
    New Orleans Tampa Bay -11 47 29 ++ +++ +++
    Indianapolis NY Jets -6.5 47 26.75 ++ ++
    NY Giants Atlanta -2 51 26.5 ++ ++
    Green Bay Seattle -4 48.5 26.25 ++ ++
    Dallas Philadelphia 6 55.5 24.75 ++ +
    Pittsburgh San Francisco -5.5 44 24.75 + ++ +
    Atlanta NY Giants 2 51 24.5 + +
    Cincinnati San Diego -3.5 45.5 24.5 + +
    Miami Jacksonville -6 41.5 23.75 + ++
    Arizona Chicago -2 45 23.5
    Minnesota Detroit -3 44 23.5
    Kansas City Denver -3.5 42 22.75 +
    New England Buffalo 0 45 22.5
    Buffalo New England 0 45 22.5
    St. Louis Washington -3.5 41 22.25 +
    Seattle Green Bay 4 48.5 22.25
    Carolina Houston -3.5 40.5 22 ++
    Chicago Arizona 2 45 21.5
    Tennessee Cleveland -1 41.5 21.25
    San Diego Cincinnati 3.5 45.5 21
    Detroit Minnesota 3 44 20.5
    NY Jets Indianapolis 6.5 47 20.25
    Cleveland Tennessee 1 41.5 20.25
    Denver Kansas City 3.5 42 19.25
    San Francisco Pittsburgh 5.5 44 19.25
    Washington St. Louis 3.5 41 18.75
    Houston Carolina 3.5 40.5 18.5
    Tampa Bay New Orleans 11 47 18
    Jacksonville Miami 6 41.5 17.75
    Baltimore Oakland
    Oakland Baltimore
     
  38. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    Based on their calculator where you can switch players in and out of a lineup - calculated $$ cost divided by projected points to give you value for each player.
    I changed my lineup to the following:

    C Palmer
    M Forte
    B Sankey
    J Jones
    J Mathews
    D Moncrief
    H Miller
    J Brown
    Saints

    basically, by going with the high value players like Palmer, Sankey, Miller and Moncrief, it allows me to put Julio Jones back into my lineup. We'll see how it goes.
     
  39. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin RIP Phinsational Luxury Box Club Member

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    use Imgur.com
     
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  40. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    thanks Todd. here it is

    [​IMG]
     
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