I think a lot of the problematic thinking from this board is that we often only look at the draft, free agency, etc. from the Dolphins' point of view. So, these last few days, I have been thinking about how other teams are viewing the draft. I have stumbled upon an interesting theory because of it. So let's look at teams in the market for a QB - CIN - I know there have been rumblings of a trade up with the Bengals to draft Burrow, but for the life of me, I couldn't wrap my mind around this actually happening. Going back in recent memory, I cannot think of many times in which I would rather have the second best QB in a draft class and a bunch of draft picks instead of the first best QB. Occasionally, it may have worked out where a draft class was loaded or a gem was found must later than expected. Considering this draft class in particular, taking Burrow is so risk adverse compared to all other options. Burrow just feels like the right pick. If I were Cincy, I wouldn't want to trade the pick. DET - As Stafford is aging, one would think this is the opportunity of a lifetime to begin the rebuilding process. That being said, the Lions have tipped their hats. Bringing back Patricia is the biggest tell in the draft. He has to know that he is in win-now mode, and using a top 3 pick on a guy that won't see the field is not gonna help him keep his job. Honestly, this is a time where situation should have dictated a Patricia firing and rebuild. Nevertheless, this is a primo opportunity for a trade, but I also don't see the Lions wanting to move too far back. Ideally, the Lions want a blue chip player AND a draft pick. I am not certain that the Lions would be willing to take a "good prospect" and draft pick. LAC - Okay, this is the one that is kinda interesting. They have tipped their hand and have made it clear Rivers will not be returning. They also know the Dolphins will be drafting ahead of them. Nothing in life is certain, but the Dolphins have been heavily linked to Tua. At minimum, we know the interest is real. The Lions would love to trade with the Dolphins, but the Bolts would be good partners as well. The goal is to move back but not too far back. Based on the old trade value chart, it would cost the Chargers right around their 1st, 2nd, and 4th to make it happen. The question is, "Would you be willing to give up this extra compensation for an injured QB that could be available at 6?" What makes the Chargers situation different from the Dolphins is that the Chargers were never previously linked to Tua. It only feels like a love story between the Dolphins and Tua. I could see them taking a more pragmatic approach. One little monkey wrench to throw into the mix is, "Could LA move up because they think a team drafting below them might move up?" This is possible, but Miami is rumored to be interested in Love, so Herbert, who is widely considered better, may still be there - depending on LA's internal evaluation. CAR - If I told you a year ago that Matt Rhule would have one of the safest jobs in all of football, I think you would call me loco. There are various opinions on the former MVP, Cam Newton. Ultimately, the question is, "Has his body given up on him?" It is conceivable that he could be playing under center for a different team in 2020. One thing I love about Cam Newton is his contract. He has one year left. I would love a wait-and-see that costs nothing beyond this year. Moving up for Tua would make sense in this scenario because you don't need to play him this year. That beings said, "Are you willing to trade up for an oft-injured QB when you have a QB with health problems of his own on your team?" Kyle Allen looked good early on, but tailed off as the season progressed. They drafted Will Grier last year, but it had to be disappointing to see him get beat out by Allen and look subpar when playing. Carolina would have to offer a package similar to the Chargers to move up. Because I think Rhule will want to use picks to start building a young team, I would expect him to want to have a multiple picks, and therefore, I expect the Panthers to be interested but not proactive. LV - This is actually an interesting one. Rumors are flying that they may pursue Brady when he is a free agent. I think could be a 2 year deal and possibly a promise not to draft a replacement. That being said, I feel like Gruden is lukewarm about Carr. Two firsts and a third could get them there, but does Detroit want to move back this far? Probably not. I could see Gruden enamored by Tua, and Carr could be a stopgap. The Brady situation is a factor that could prevent this from happening. I would call this possible - but unlikely. IND - This situation feels similar to LV because Rivers is rumored to be the QB next year. Indy does have two seconds, and could make the move. We are talking about giving their first, two seconds, and probably a 6th to get there. Indy has a pretty solid roster, and they don't need a lot to contend. Here is the real question, "Would the Lions be willing to move out of the top ten without acquiring an additional first round pick?" Despite being one pick behind Vegas, I think this is a lot harder of a deal to get done. TB - Talk about a team in no-man's land. I don't think they want to give Winston a big deal, and I do think they want to move on. Picking at 13, you really don't know who is going to be available. If Tampa offered their entire draft class, they would still be 300 points short. Strategically, I could see them looking to deal with Cleveland or the Jets if a QB starts slipping, but I don't really see how they get up to #3. Realistically, this is about it for teams that would be willing to move up. You could argue that teams could surrender first round picks in 2021, but I don't see Matt Patricia valuing them all that much. He might not be there to make those picks this time next year. Vegas and Indy could have their QB situation resolved in the offseason. If they have not been resolved, we will know this going into the draft. Analysis - Pessimistically, there may 3 teams looking to jump us. The Chargers would be the team that would be the most likely to make this move, and Vegas could get there if they wanted. Indy is a fringe team. If these three teams do not address QB in the offseason, there is reason to at least have some concern. Optimistically, there may be no teams with the ammo needed to jump us trying to get the three pick. This actually might be the most likely scenario. Guys, we may be bidding against ourselves. Remember, Tua is coming off of a serious injury, and I expect teams to proceed with caution. Realistically, when the dust settles, I think the Chargers are the only real threat to move up to 3. Whether or not they are willing to is another things altogether. *Footnote - The Giants have the forth pick and a new head coach. I could see them being a little bit more flexible as far as taking 2021 picks. If there was a wildcard team, the four spot would make more sense. Again this would be quite cost prohibitive, and you would have to see veteran head coaches like Bellichick, Payton, or Arians surrendering a bounty of draft picks to move up. I don't really see this happening. Guys, I really think if Tua is the guy, we are really only dodging the Bolts - maybe the Raiders. I think there is a strong chance we are bidding against nobody.