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Way Too Early 2017 Season Predictions

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by thetylernator, May 8, 2017.

  1. thetylernator

    thetylernator You're as cold as ice, Officer Friendly.

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    For the past couple of days, I have been analyzing every match-up of the upcoming NFL season and predicting the results. I've also included playoff and NFL Honors predictions. It's a little early, but hell, it's fun! And I'll admit, I'm certainly biased towards our 'Phins, but ultimately I attempted to make this as realistic and logical as possible--save for the Super Bowl, maybe? I'm too optimistic.

    Note: I'm buying what Jarvis Landry said about sweeping the Pats.

    Standings


    AFC North
    1. Baltimore Ravens (12-4, 4-2)

    2. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7, 4-2)

    3. Cleveland Browns (8-8, 3-3)

    4. Cincinnati Bengals (5-11, 1-5)

    AFC South
    1. Indianapolis Colts (11-5, 4-2)

    2. Tennessee Titans (10-6, 4-2)

    3. Jacksonville Jaguars (7-9, 4-2)

    4. Houston Texans (2-14, 0-6)

    AFC East
    1. Miami Dolphins (11-5, 5-1)

    2. New England Patriots (11-5, 4-2)

    3. Buffalo Bills (6-10, 2-4)

    4. New York Jets (3-13, 1-5)

    AFC West
    1. Kansas City Chiefs (13-3, 4-2)

    2. Denver Broncos (9-7, 3-3)

    3. Oakland Raiders (8-8, 4-2)

    4. Los Angeles Chargers (6-10, 1-5)

    NFC North
    1. Green Bay Packers (14-2, 5-1)

    2. Detroit Lions (10-6, 5-1)

    3. Minnesota Vikings (6-10, 1-5)

    4. Chicago Bears (3-13, 1-5)

    NFC South
    1. Carolina Panthers (12-4, 4-2)

    2. Atlanta Falcons (11-5, 4-2)

    3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8, 3-3)

    4. New Orleans Saints (4-12, 1-5)

    NFC East
    1. Dallas Cowboys (10-6, 5-1)

    2. Washington Redskins (9-7, 4-2)

    3. Philadelphia Eagles (6-10, 2-4)

    4. New York Giants (5-11, 1-5)

    NFC West
    1. Seattle Seahawks (10-6, 4-2)

    2. San Francisco 49ers (7-9, 3-3)

    3. Arizona Cardinals (6-10, 4-2)

    4. Los Angeles Rams (4-12, 1-5)

    Playoffs

    AFC
    1. Kansas City Chiefs

    2. Baltimore Ravens

    3. Miami Dolphins

    4. Indianapolis Colts

    5. New England Patriots

    6. Tennessee Titans

    NFC
    1. Green Bay Packers

    2. Carolina Panthers

    3. Dallas Cowboys

    4. Seattle Seahawks

    5. Atlanta Falcons

    6. Detroit Lions

    Wildcard
    NE @ IND
    TEN @ MIA
    DET @ DAL
    ATL @ SEA

    Divisional
    IND @ KC
    MIA @ BAL
    SEA @ GB
    DAL @ CAR

    Conference
    IND @ MIA
    CAR @ GB

    Super Bowl
    MIA vs. GB

    Honors
    Most Valuable Player: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

    Comeback Player of the Year: Adrian Peterson, RB, New Orleans Saints

    Offensive Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

    Defensive Player of the Year: Luke Kuechly, LB, Carolina Panthers

    Offensive Rookie of the Year: Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

    Defensive Rookie of the Year: Raekwon McMillan, LB, Miami Dolphins

    Coach of the Year: Adam Gase, HC, Miami Dolphins

    Here is a link to the exact picks that led to my end-of-season standings. You can also reset the predictions and make your own: https://playoffpredictors.com/Footb...GdVI9LDNfKPM86+7CzLHbFuDpR6EtgjzLyI1SyeG3GQgA

    I look forward to hearing your thoughts.
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2017
  2. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    There are 3 unrealistic outcomes IMO:

    1) the Dolphins winning the SB
    2) Pats not having at least 12 wins for the first time since 2009 (don't assume we'll sweep them and that's taken care of)
    3) Pittsburgh being 9-7. Steelers are very good when healthy and I don't think Baltimore will beat them out for the division.
     
    LITP, Finster and thetylernator like this.
  3. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    I agree with above post. If Miami wants to win the division, they better win 12-13 games and sweep NE
     
    Bpk likes this.
  4. Dolphin North

    Dolphin North Well-Known Member

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    thetylernator likes this.
  5. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Club Member

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    I use that site every year for predictions. You can't really say how every team is going to finish if you don't do every single game. I think that both Oakland and Dallas will have fewer wins than people think that they should, due to some really hard stretches they go through.

    As far as Miami, I think that 10 wins is likely, and that our playoff fate rests on whether we get to go to Indy/Houston in the first round, or are forced to travel to Pittsburgh or Oakland.
     
    thetylernator likes this.
  6. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    10 wins would be a failure. On paper, they are 2-3 games better
     
  7. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Club Member

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    LOL!

    I agree that on paper, the 2017 Dolphins are the best team that we've had in at least 15 years. No question.

    However, we also only have seven home games this season, we play in the same division as the best team in the league, and we face off against eight or nine other clear playoff contenders outside of the division.

    I am always a guy who looks on the bright side going into a new season and finding wins on the schedule, but for this year, we are frankly lucky that the Bills and Jets are both among the bottom quarter of the league. Because IMO, we don't face a single one of the other bottom 10 teams this year. The schedule is pretty rough. You can't just say that the Fins look like an 11 win team on paper and expect it to happen, regardless of what else is going on. Thats why the scheduler website that was the basis of this thread is so cool.
     
  8. rafael

    rafael Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I wouldn't see a 10 win season as a failure. Obviously, I would be disappointed in not making the playoffs or in a poor showing in the playoffs, but I kind of see the playoffs as a second season. Your record is 0-0 and your playing against a higher level of talent.

    As for the overall predictions, I'm not nearly as high on Baltimore. I expect they'll be below Pitt. I'd also have Tenn above Indy. I don't see the prediction on Miami as unrealistic. It leans more homerish which isn't surprising from a fan. It's tough to bet against NE. They've been so good for so long. But I also refuse to believe we can't sweep them. So while I wouldn't call it the more likely outcome, I'm not going to knock someone for being optimistic on a fan site.
     
    GridIronKing34 likes this.
  9. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Winning the Super Bowl seems optimistic...but hey, why not? We have to root for something. I think the offense will be good enough to carry us 7-10 games and the rest comes down to our reshaped defense. If the stars align and some young players contribute though, who knows? It could turn into an epic year.

    With that said, it's crazy to make predictions before preseason and seeing the final roster.
     
    thetylernator likes this.
  10. EverFin

    EverFin Active Member

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    For 10+ Wins we need
    - Parker to break out
    - Asiata to start and have a very good Rookie season
    - McMillan be the tackling machine (and more) as advertised and brings the LB corps back on track
    - The OL finally gels together and therefore Jay runs for 1'600
    - RT17 staying healthy and gets stronger as the season goes on
    - #20 staying healthy
    - Wake & Harris beats ... ... out of NE #12
    - one of the young corners (Lippett, Tankersley) locks down one corner sport with solid play
    - and last but not least someone teams up with Suh to stop the run
     
  11. thetylernator

    thetylernator You're as cold as ice, Officer Friendly.

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    Crazy... fun. :2guns:
     
  12. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Club Member

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    I think that we need health, more than anything. Like most teams, should we lose important players to injury for an extended time, we're probably in trouble. But, when doing these kinds of things you have to assume that most players will be generally healthy, perhaps with the exception of guys like Pouncey and Misi.

    I don't think that Ajayi needs to run for that many yards, though it would be great. If he can put up 1300+ for us with a good average, I think we're good to go. I think that RT17 and the passing game is going to really blow up, personally. Over his final eight games played, RT had 1723 yards, 13 TDs and only 5 INT, and 3 of the INT were vs Baltimore. Then Moore came in and threw 8 more TDs in his three starts too. If he's healthy and the OL holds up, I think that RT could certainly put up 4500 yards and 35 TDs this year.
     
  13. Brasfin

    Brasfin Well-Known Member

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    If Ryan and Reshad stay healthy and even half of the other things happen, we're bound for a 10+ win season, IMO. If everything on your list happens, we're looking at a repeat of 1972 :p
     
    rafael likes this.
  14. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Is miami flying to London straight after the Jets game?
     
  15. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Not sure about the raven love, they have no run game, and I'm not sure they have enough on the outside or tight end..max is a nice tight end prospect, and Perriman has talent but they both were injured and young..we'll see.

    And as soon as Suggs game takes a dip that team will take a dip..he's the heart and soul.
     
  16. dolfan22

    dolfan22 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Don't think we need Asiata to start at all.
    Ajayi won't get nor needs to be near 1600 yards.
    Lippett & Tankersley can be depth as X and Maxwell are the likely starters barring injury.
     
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  17. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito. Club Member

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    I do not see why Super Bowl is unrealistic. Teams with more holes and issues at this point in time have been to the Superbowl. Heck, I remember when Miami practiced against Carolina, I did not think they had a chance in Hades of making it to the playoffs, and bam! went to the superbowl.

    While it is unlikely or improbable, I would not say it is out of the realm of possibility.
     
  18. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    I would assume so, they'll probably be on the 6:20 or 9:40 flight out of Newark. I would hope they would be on the earlier flight, arrive in London at 6:15am Monday morning.
     
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  19. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Brutal schedule there. Cali, Ny and London.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  20. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Club Member

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    Not as bad, but the Saints have a road game at Carolina the week prior as well, so at least we're on somewhat even terms.
     
  21. thetylernator

    thetylernator You're as cold as ice, Officer Friendly.

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    I had a hunch that Harbaugh was going to get things turned around for them, but they've already been hit so hard by the injury bug that I am fully expecting them to have a top-ten draft pick now. Dennis Pitta, Crockett Gillmore, Kenneth Dixon, Tavon Young and Nico Siragusa are out for the year, and Joe Flacco is having back issues. They're done.
     
  22. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    Don't tell me you're just NOW realizing this. What have I been saying about our first 5 games for how long now?
     
  23. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Yeah I wish the game after LA was at home. I can see tired legs for London game. But that is me, I have always thought there was a conspiracy on our schedules


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  24. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Club Member

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    Thats because there is. We played at New England very late in the year something like 11 out of 12 seasons in a row before that was fixed recently, and went around 20 years playing there in September once. That can't happen by coincidence.
     
  25. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Byes were always week 4 to


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