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What's Changed?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Galant, Nov 10, 2019 at 3:21 AM.

  1. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member

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    Article from Barry Jackson:

     
  2. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    I posed this question early in the season, but I think re-asking it in the context of the subject of this thread makes it relevant...

    What IF (and the chances of it happening are nearly impossible) the Dolphins were to win out the rest of the season? Does that make for a successful season?

    In the context of this hypothetical, I think it would demonstrate a successful season...how a first year coach, who gutted a roster and built the team HE wanted...how those players finally developed and were able to dominate the last half of the season.

    Oh what a team that would be to build upon for 2020.

    Keep in mind, I said the chances of this happening would be nearly impossible.
     
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  3. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    I'm hoping that's the case...can't see the true state of the team with all the rot in it. Cut it out, see where you are at the end of the season.
     
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  4. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Absolutely! The HC is more important than any single player and if a HC can win out with this roster we KNOW we finally found the right guy at the most important position. But as you said this is all hypothetical, and going back to reality I'm still hoping we lose enough to get a top 2 pick and pick Burrow or Tua.
     
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  5. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member

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    I'm going to say not necessarily. The reason for that is how surprisingly bad several other teams have been this season. Were we to somehow end with up a winning season it would almost certainly be at the expense of teams so bad that beating them doesn't necessarily prove anything. There would also need to be wins against better teams too, so those might prove something. However, considering how bad we are right now, despite improvement, I think we're at risk of adjusting our expectations incorrectly. This season of cuts has happened in order to rebuild the roster. That still matters. If another mediocre season result meant that that rebuild was jeopardized or delayed, then I'm not sure that's a positive. Although, were we to somehow dominate all the competition going forward, that might be different. But that's obviously not happening.
     
  6. KeyFin

    KeyFin Well-Known Member

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    For me, wins are no longer necessary...I've seen enough to believe in Flores and his staff. All I'm worried about is for them to continue being competitive and challenging opponents for four quarters. With our semi-weak schedule, this could be a 4 or 5 win team fairly easy, and that would honestly thrill me. I'd be just as happy with 1 or 2 wins though as long as they are competing.
     
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  7. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    Nothing significant has changed.

    The tweet in the original post mentions that scoring differential has improved from -137 during the first quarter of the season to -16 during the second quarter of the season.

    During the first quarter of the season, the average win percentage of the Dolphins' opponents was 67, which translates to an 11-5 regular season record. During the second quarter of the season, the average win percentage of the Dolphins' opponents was 37, which translates to a 6-10 regular season record.

    The correlation between the Dolphins' scoring differential and its opponents' win percentages, on a game-by-game basis throughout the season, is -0.81.

    They've been beaten badly by better teams and have been beaten less badly by worse teams.

    They continue to be ranked last in the league in team efficiency, well below the next-worst team.

    https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff/2019

    I suspect what we'll see today is that now that the Dolphins have won a game, other teams' early-game complacency will recede a bit, and we'll see them get blown out in the first half like they did earlier in the season. This would be the week to stop betting on the Dolphins in the first half and their opponent in the second half.
     
  8. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    You can't show up to the race with a Geo Metro, no matter how great a driver you are, and expect to be able to compete with actual race cars. While I am feeling better about Flores, he needs better players to work with if we expect deep playoff runs.

    Most importantly, we need a franchise QB. That means competitive losses this season will help put the team in position for future success. Winning 4-5 games would be a setback at this point.
     
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  9. tirty8

    tirty8 Well-Known Member

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    You are seeing what you have not seen in a long, long time in Miami - coaches adjusting. Gase was probably the most notorious in this regard. He wanted to run the offense via the bubble screen. And boy did he want it to be that way despite the fact that it simply wasn't working.

    Look at how O'Shea has implemented more of a max protection. It feels like a long time ago since our offensive line has been dangerously bad. We haven't been married to a running back all season. In doing so, that has really allowed Walton to emerge (It sucks that he just got suspended, but we knew that was a possibility when we signed him.). It also appears that O'Shea has found a way to get Gesicki involved. With Williams out for the season, a real opportunity exists for Gesicki to emerge into the guy we thought we had drafted.

    Now look at Flores on defense. Eguavoen was the projected starter from the beginning of the season, but the late acquisition of Vince Begial has found us a legitimate starter. Our LB units needed to be shaken up, but Flores has gotten a lot out of them. Making McMillian a situational run stopper has also been a great adjustment. Losing Minkah and Howard for the season has been a big blow, and Flores isn't working without a lot of talent. I love how he will have zero down linemen and everyone standing up to disguise coverage. He did not do this at the beginning of the year.

    Guys, we are seeing a great deal of adjustments, and I love it!
     
  10. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    Two in a row down, seven to go...
     
  11. Pauly

    Pauly Season Ticket Holder

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    Well a big part of what changed is the OL. Remember that 3 of our 5 starters were acquired the week before the season began. After getting some time being able get some cohesion they are giving the skill position players some chances.
    Just look at Laremy Tunsil in Houston. The first week he was shaky, ok in week 2, but now he’s playing close to all-pro level.
     

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