According to the Miami Herald.....
"The folks at Draftmetrics studied NFL drafts from 1990-2009, and in those 20 years the return on so-called skill position players was bad and the return on wide receivers was, well, horrible. Of the 677 wide receivers selected in the 20 years only 32 percent of them have enjoyed careers of five years or more."
http://miamiherald.typepad.com/dolp...eivers-dont-make-great-draft-investments.html
If Draftmetrics knows this you can bet Parcells knows it too. I have always thought that it was better to draft other positions and acquire established WRs, of course, everyone's opinion will vary.
I have never shared the opinion that we should draft a WR in the first couple of rounds. I think those rounds have defensive secondary written all over them.
Tags:
Page 1 of 3
-
cobrajet likes this.
-
If anyone knows this it's us we've seen it first hand with Ted Ginn and to a lesser degree with just about any receiver we've drafted in the last 10 years or so. It's why I think it makes no sense to draft a receiver in the first round this year when Marshall is there for the taking and already a proven elite receiver in the NFL.
JimToss likes this. -
Dez Bryant won't be a bust
I could have told you that Ted Ginn would be a bust...his only upside was his kick returns, I was never impressed with his recieving skills in college -
-
bluehaze likes this.
-
-
Anyway, if we pass on Dez, expect Henne to regress and this entire offense to regress.RJones13LAL likes this. -
Also theres no point. I told everyone about Matt Leinart but hey, you win some you lose some. I think everyone can point out a few guys they pegged correctly. -
gafinfan and Ronnie Bass like this.
-
Alright serious question...maybe I misunderstood the quoted part of the article.
How can you say from 1990-2009 (19/20 years). Then say in those years 677 receivers have been drafted. Then you say of those 677, 32% have made it five years.
If those 677 truely occured over 20 years, no-one drafted after 2004 COULD have played 5 years. Doesn't that skew the %?resnor likes this. -
-
-
It's OK. You raise a very good point even though it is covered in the article a little further down. I agree with the post and the stats however. Look at Bess, one of our best receivers and he went undrafted - then look at Ginn a number one pick - that fizzled. I can see how the numbers make sense.
-
Exactly, it's down right foolish to invest in a WR....
Just ask the Steelers......who in 2006 gave up a 3rd and a 4th to move up 6 spots to take Santonio Holmes at #25.
I mean, what were they trying to do, win a Super Bowl or something?MikeHoncho, Tone_E and cobrajet like this. -
Don't mistake a failed experiment with using two SS's in the backfield as needing to over haul the whole unit. -
-
That part of the defense deserves some heavy attention -
JT will be re-signed to at least add depth as a pass rush specialist....two problems down
The we can take an OLB somewhere in rounds 2-4......and add one or two more next year
See how easy that was? -
Crowder is what he is... average
jt no longer is a difference maker
you will see the FO address LB whether you like it or not
if only it were that easy we would all be happy
in reality what you penciled in looks pretty weak reallymiamiron likes this. -
That is pure speculation
comical
dont invent scare tactics to try and prove your point on bryant -
-
all i hear is he is young he will get better. he can do this and that
i dont see it with crowder. he has on structure, awareness or discipline.
the guy just blindly runs around out there
the D will be much better when we get a solid replacement for himmiamiron likes this. -
Taking chances on a guy with speed that lacks anything else is what has been killing teams - not WR as a whole. Look at the busts recently. Troy Williamson, Matt Jones, Ted Ginn, possibly DHB. These are the kinds of receivers that bust out more often than not.
But take a look at some who didnt. Roddy White, Santonio Holmes, Calvin Johnson, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meachum, Anthony Gonzales, Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin, Percy Harvin, Hakeem Nicks, Kenny Britt. Any one of these guys would likely be starting for us right now.
Look at the top wideouts in the league and most were first rounders. Fitzgerald, both Andre and Calvin Johnson, Randy Moss, Reggie Wayne.
People overblow this whole X position is the bust position way to much. Do you have flameouts? Yes, of course you do. At every position. The player is the one that matters.jetssuck likes this. -
I think the ReceivingCorp is much stronger
potentially this year than last
also think Brian Hartline will step up
to be our home-grown PlayMaker & #1Wr
personally, I think we are looking for a TE
& a FreeSafety in this years draft
then a NT & more beef @ DE & SLB -
With Channing Crowder still starting, we don't improve our consistency in defending the run.
Let's not forget about the major drop off in run defense we had when Soliai stepped in for Jason Ferguson. You guessed it. If Miami drafts Dez Bryant, Paul Soliai is starting at nose tackle for Miami.
I wonder what people are going to say if Miami drafts Dez Bryant and they miss the playoffs next year because their defense is so horrible? Not only that, but you have possibly 3 ELITE WR prospects who are all much better prospects than Dez Bryant that will likely be in the 2011 draft in Julio Jones, AJ Green, and Jonathan Baldwin. But let's waste a pick this year on Dez Bryant.miamiron, Rocky Raccoon and Killerphins like this. -
Who DO you like in this draft that will be there at #12 -
Last season, Henne had a bad WR corps. His numbers were pretty average. 12 Tds to 14 picks with a 75.2 QB rating. Now, if you don't upgrade the receivers we have, he won't get much better. Because our WR unit isn't very good.
Understand?jetssuck likes this. -
jetssuck likes this.
-
Last year, Chad Henne was in his first season as a starter after Chad Pennington went down. He made rookie mistakes and didn't throw the ball very well down the field despite his arm strength.
Brian Hartline was a rookie wide receiver who was among the top 5 rookies at the position in yards per reception.
Davone Bess is a second year wide receiver who is better at this point than every wide receiver was was drafted in 2008.
There is no reason why those two guys cannot get better as Henne continues to grow as a quarterback. -
that is ludicrous -
jetssuck likes this.
-
I'm not a guru or watch game tapes of college kids like most do, but I do know we need these before WR
1. OLB
2. Safety
3. ILB
Heck I might even put nickleback in before WR
Do I think we could us a true #1? Yes, but not before we fix our defense. Our offense scored enough to win games, the defense just didn't hold up its end.RevRick, Killerphins, padre31 and 1 other person like this.
Page 1 of 3