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Your boldest prediction

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by dirtylandry, Sep 15, 2017.

  1. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Let's hear it

    Mine:
    Phins start 3-0 before TN


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  2. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    I predict we'll make the playoffs again and prove last year was no fluke.
     
  3. Puka-head

    Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member

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    Slightly left of center
    Cutler plays well enough to get the team into the AFC championship game. He throws two INT's in the 1st Quarter and is benched. Tannehill comes in and brings the team to victory, then goes on to lead us to a win in the Super Bowl!
     
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  4. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Not bold enough :)


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  5. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    That's bold!


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  6. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    I'd say it's bolder than your prediction of beating the Chargers, Jets and Saints :)
     
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  7. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Making the playoffs with a better team than last year is not bold, sorry

    Ill give you another chance on my post


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  8. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    Making the playoffs with a better team than last year is not bold, sorry

    Ill give you another chance on my post


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  9. Fin-O

    Fin-O Initiated Club Member

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    Kenyan Drake will lead the team in rushing.
     
  10. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Dude.. we lost our starting QB. Granted, Cutler might end up being better (or maybe not) but it's not yet obvious we have a playoff caliber team.

    Predicting playoffs with the Dolphins is bold enough for me given our recent history.
     
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  11. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    We got better (net) to make up for qb? If not we failed this offseason


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  12. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member

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    Here's Ajayi's contribution...

    "Ajayi said his goal is to surpass last year’s total of 1,272, which he thinks is attainable."

     
  13. Galant

    Galant Love - Unity - Sacrifice - Eternity Staff Member

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    Offense ends up top ten if not top five, in the league. :)
     
  14. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    For me the more important quote is this:
    Consistency is precisely what Ajayi needs to be one of the best RB's in the league. And it's precisely what would help the team the most, instead of several great games among many subpar ones. So I'm really glad he said that's his goal.
     
  15. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Bold?

    1) Landry gets traded to the Giants before the October 31st deadline after Grant takes multiple short slant passes to the house.

    2) The Dolphins have a top 5 offense and top 10 defense for the first time in decades.

    3) The Patriots have less than ten wins AND get swept by Miami. Brady's balls are finally deflated for good.

    4) The Dolphins win one of the next three Super Bowls, while reaching the AFC Championship game in two of the next three seasons.

    5) Adam Gase takes Coach of the Year Honors, Cutler takes Comeback Player of the Year.

    6) Fin D and I will agree on something before the season is officially over. =)
     
  16. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Hmmm.. you might be able to guarantee this occurring, as long as the only possible response options are to either agree or disagree and logical reasoning is used. Let me explain (lol.. this is what happens when you get math/logic involved):

    Suppose you have a set of statements that you think are true but Fin D apparently disagrees with you on. Call that set S. Now ask Fin D the question: "Do you agree with me that you disagree with EVERY statement in S?"

    If the answer is yes you two just agreed on something. If the answer is no, that means there is at least one statement in S that Fin D agrees with you on. Either way you have guaranteed the two of you agree on something :smile:
     
    Last edited: Sep 15, 2017
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  17. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Okay, now that's funny! Leave it to a math geek to ruin my prediction. =) I'm a math geek too.

    So I'll change my prediction to (6) Fin D and I will agree about something Miami Dolphins related OTHER THAN we just can't seem to agree on anything Miami Dolphins related.
     
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  18. roy_miami

    roy_miami Well-Known Member

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    8-8
     
  19. Dolphin North

    Dolphin North Well-Known Member

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    Our starting QB next year does not have the initials RT. While that is not a predication that can happen this season, this season's events will be the catalyst.
     
  20. keypusher

    keypusher Well-Known Member

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    Last year turns out to be a fluke (it's really hard to go 10-6 with a negative scoring differential like we did last year -- maybe cbrad could say just how hard). Cutler is benched by midseason.

    Sorry, but every forum needs a wet blanket.
     
  21. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Yup.. easy to answer because you asked that same question awhile ago and I still have the data (post #212) :smile:
    https://thephins.com/threads/dolphins-vs-eagles-preseason-game-3-thread.91613/page-6#post-2964551

    Let me be more detailed this time. From 2002-2016 you have 32*15 = 480 team seasons. Out of those 480, only 11 times did a team have a negative score differential and have a winning record. Only twice did a team have at least 10 wins: Dolphins in 2016, and the Colts in 2012 actually had 11 wins with a negative score differential.

    So the probability a team has a negative score differential with at least 10 wins is 2/480 = 0.42% so it's REALLY unlikely.

    The other way to look at this is to ask how many wins a team should have if their average score differential per game was the same as ours last year at around -1 per game. This graph (plug -1 into the equation WP = 2.8*PD + 49.9) shows that at -1 average score differential per game we should have around 47% win percentage which translates to about 7.5 wins per season. And that's exactly where Vegas has us lol.

    [​IMG]
     
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  22. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    I knew it was you when I saw the scatterplot. lol.
     
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  23. cuchulainn

    cuchulainn Táin Bó Cúailnge Club Member

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    Cutler finally throws 30 TDs for the first time ever, and improves his INT % to a respectable 2.3. A full point improvement on his average!

    Charles Harris finishes the season with 8 sacks. ;-)
     
  24. dirtylandry

    dirtylandry Well-Known Member

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    #6 seems the only one far-fetched


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  25. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=- Club Member

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    Bold prediction: We are the 2017-18 team that nobody wants to have to play in the Playoffs. We also finish 7-9.

    Also, Jay Cutler makes it a full 6 weeks without injury.
     
  26. Phins4ever

    Phins4ever Member

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    I'm going to say we go 10-6. Were a very good up and coming team. We'll play against the Raiders in the playoffs.
     

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