The numbers clearly show it’s colder in Buffalo than Miami. Dennis Lock is going there anyway.
According to Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald, Lock has left the Dolphins for a position with the Bills.
His title in Miami was director of analytics, and he’s been there since 2015.
His new position with the Bills is director of football research and strategy. Lock has a PhD from Iowa State in statistics, and joins a staff that has built up an analytics department.
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I wish I knew how to feel about this.
resnor, eltos_lightfoot, Tin Indian and 1 other person like this. -
Here's a paper he wrote that shows a slightly improved way of calculating win probability:
http://homepage.divms.uiowa.edu/~dzimmer/sports-statistics/nettletonandlock.pdf
He knows stats obviously but the question is whether he can find something in the available data that meaningfully improves a team's chance of winning, as opposed to suggestions for a few specific situations. I doubt that's happened yet or we would have kept him a secret lol.
Personally, I'd start by looking at play calling tendencies of various coaches. Humans are notoriously bad at being random even when they want to (e.g., in experiments that tested this), and I bet you could use that lack of randomness against them.Mexphin, Surfs Up 99 and texanphinatic like this. -
I’m not that sad. There doesn’t seem to have been any visible fingerprint to say he was better than the average NFL team statistician. Maybe some of that was the coaches not listening to his input, but then I’d say he failed in communicating the data properly.
I’d be a lot more sad if it was cbrad saying he was leaving this forum to be a Bills fanresnor, Surfs Up 99, cbrad and 1 other person like this. -
Bye,bye Felicia.
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Out of all the analytic guys named Dennis Lock who worked for the Dolphins he was definitely my favorite.
Dol-Fan Dupree and AGuyNamedAlex like this. -
It doesn't seem like anything he offered the team helped, so no loss.