Someone break this down for me please..
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They drop to five loses which gives us some breathing room in the wild card race
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We're one back. I think we took over the 6th seed with the win though (or Baltimore has it).
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We need Baltimore to lose in the next coming weeks
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It helps. If the Dolphins win out then we need either the Ravens or Patriots to lose one game and we're in. Hopefully it's the Pats so we win the division. Actually hope its all 3! We would own the tiebreaker over the Broncos and Patriots.
Broncos need to either lose 1 to Chiefs or Raiders. Losing to the eagles doesnt help as much. -
Ravens final 3 games: vs. Chicago, at Pittsburgh, at Oakland
Dolphins final 3 games: at Tennessee, vs. Houston, vs. Pittsburgh -
Bottom line, we need NE or Baltimore to trip up once in these final 3 weeks or we're SOL. -
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If New England wins at Buffalo:
New York Jets: Must Win out AND have Patriots Lose out AND have Miami Lose once.
Miami: Clinch if (Win out AND have Patriots Lose out) OR (Win out AND have N.E Lose once AND Win SoV t-b) OR (Win @Ten & vHou AND N.E Lose out AND NYJ Lose once) OR (Win vPit & 1 other game AND N.E Lose out AND NYJ Lose once AND Win SoV t-b).
New England: Clinch with (Win 2/3) OR (1 Win AND 1 Mia Loss) OR (2 Mia Losses AND 1 NYJ Loss). Also see scenarios in Miami section where it goes to SoV t-b.
If New England loses at Buffalo:
New York Jets: Clinch if (Win out AND have N.E Lose once AND have Miami Lose once) OR (Win 2/3 AND have N.E Lose out AND have Miami Lose twice).
New England: Clinch if (Win out AND Miami Lose once) OR (Win once AND Miami Lose twice AND NYJ Lose once) OR (Miami Lose out AND NYJ Lose twice).
Miami: Clinch with (Win out) OR (Win 2/3 AND N.E Lose once AND NYJ Lose once) OR (Win 1/3 AND N.E Lose out AND NYJ Lose twice).
Summary:
If Buffalo upsets New England, then Miami just has to have as many (or more) wins as New England and New York to win the division, while New England would have to be ahead of Miami but could tie New York, and New York would have to be ahead of both.
If New England triumphs at Buffalo, then the Jets are all but finished, and Miami needs to perform very well and gets lots of AFC South help. -
Miami is still on the outside of the 6 spots looking in along with Baltimore.
It seems you forgot head-to-head is a nonfactor when 3 or more teams are tied for the wild card spot. -
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By the way, Dolphin fans would love to see the Jags run the table because that would give us the division, provided we take care of our own business.GARDENHEAD likes this. -
Wait so if the Dolphins and Jaguars finished the season tied for the 6 seed, the Jaguars would get it even though we beat them? That is the dumbest thing I've ever heard, but whatever. The Jags have to get past the Colts.
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If we win out, the only possible way they can make it is if the Ravens also win out. -
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No, he's right. However they still have the toughest road of any of the three teams to the playoffs IMO.
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In this case, the OP is working off the assumption that the Jaguars, Ravens and Dolphins all finish 10-6 tied for the final WC spot. In this case, you cannot apply the head-to-head tiebreaker because Baltimore doesn't play Miami or Jacksonville.
Of course, the OP doesn't mention that in order for Jacksonville to run the table, they would have to beat NE in 2 weeks @ Foxborough, which would open the door for our divisional title hopes. At the end of the day, Jacksonville is a non-factor with regards to our playoff hopes. They're not going to keep us out (which the win today assured) provided we take care of our own business.Dolphins1Beatles likes this. -
FaninPatsyLand likes this.
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If both Miami and Baltimore run the table and end up tied at 10-6 for the final WC spot, they would not have played head to head and would both have a conference record of 8-4.
Thus, the tiebreaker would be common opponents (NE, PIT, SD and IND). Baltimore is 3-2 against those opponents and Miami is 2-3. Therefore, Baltimore would win that tiebreaker. -
Miami needs to be Jacksonville fans against New England and Indy fans next week. If we beat Indy, who might very well be resting their starters given their past history, you can pretty much write us in. If we beat Indy and lose to New England, Miami is ****ed in the sense that NE will probably take the division and we'll take the wild card.
It's a very possible scenario in the sense that Jacksonville always plays Indy to within a touchdown. It's a division game so it can't be written off. Also, the Colts in the past have always been very smart about resting their starters when they can. -
At this point, Jacksonville is the least of Miami's problems. -
So it's really pointless. Because IMO whichever the 6th seed is, will win out. Unless New England somehow wins that tie breaker. -
If Jacksonville wins out and we win out, we get the 4th seed and they play us, if they don't win out, then either Baltimore or NE has to lose and we have to win out for us to get to the playoffs.
Play with this: http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoff...=41505054&14=44114511&15=50000041&16=55141515. I love this programme that yahoo has each year.
Regardless we have to win out and sling us into the playoffs. -
At this point, I expect Pitt and Tennessee to both play spoiler to Baltimore and Miami.
You have to remember that if all teams win the same amount of games left on their schedule, Jacksonville takes the tiebreaker against both. Miami and Baltimore both have to BEAT Jacksonville. We just have to match yall. -
Best of luck in New England though. I'd love for you guys to hand us our division on a silver platter. -
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I don't know why you're getting defensive, either. This entire website will be pulling for you to run the table. We'd love a home playoff game during Wild Card Weekend. -
If Jax wins out (or at least beats NE) and we win out then we get into the playoffs because of JAx's win over NE, but we NEED someone to beat NE to make the playoffs. Their other games are Buff and then Houston to end the season, I imagine that they will those two.Alex44 likes this. -
He was saying if we won out we would be tied with the Jags for the wildcard, when in reality we would have won the division. -
Miami has
Houston - Prolly won't, but they're better than a bunch of other teams
Tennessee - Very very possible. They've been on fire as of late.
Pitt - Depends on if they come out as if they're going to play the Raiders or if they come out to win the game.
Baltimore has
Chicago - Same as Houston to Miami
Pitt - In all fairness, you would think would show up to play spoiler, but as of the last 3 weeks are unpredictable
Oakland - Usually I'd lol at the idea of them beating Pitt but they've so far been sweeping the rest of the North. -
Yes if we won both won out we would be going no matter what. However, all they have to do is go 1-2 and beat the Pats for all I care if we win out. -
Objectively, I think the Jags drop two, Miami drops one, and the Ravens drop one to the Steelers.
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