I was shocked to find out we are 10-0 when Ajayi gets 18 or more carries
.In 6 games, the NYJ's defense has averaged 30 attempts a game for 139 yards a game. One game less, Miami's d allows 23 carries for 80 yards. However, it comes with risks. The leading rusher in every game against them has been:
McCoy 22/110
Jalen Richard 6/58
Ajayi 11/16
Fournette 24/86
Crowell 16/60
Lewis 11/52
So the way Miami has to approach this, is use their set of backs; Drake, Williams and Ajayi and stay patient. Jets really hammered us on our run game, but things have been opening up and the line is playing much better.
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danmarino likes this.
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Yeah, if there's one stat where "correlation doesn't imply causation" truly holds it's with rushing attempts. Rushing attempts has a very high correlation with win%, more than rushing yards per game or yards per carry, but as many others have shown it's because you rush more AFTER you take the lead. So I'd be careful about making inferences about game strategy from how rushing attempts correlate with wins.
Here a graph some guy on the internet created from pro-football-reference stats (I haven't double-checked the results but it jibes with stuff I've done in the past):
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Here's a stat.. Dolphins have only scored a measily 61 points in 5 games, and allowed 84. How we are 3-2 is beyond me. Our defense has played pretty well and our offense has done just enough (in the games we won.) The way this team has performed being above .500 is a damn miracle of sorts.