Miguel Cabrera wins Triple Crown, but is he the MVP?

121 replies

Boik14Boik14subscriberOP
Oct 4, 2012, 01:25 AM

Statistically its been a weird year and while Miggy Cabs had a great season, I would still would vote Mike Trout for MVP. One stolen base shy of the first ever 320 BA/30 Hr/50SB/125 run season and he only played in the bigs since May. His WAR is 10.3 and with another 20 games that he spent in the minors he MIGHT have posted the very first 35 or 40HR/50SB season ever.

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?pl ... osition=OF
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?pl ... osition=OF

Statistically Cabrera had an awesome season, unquestioned but his WAR is only 7.3 and not that much different from his 2010 season.

Trout had a better record in a harder division. He played less games by far and as a rookie posted a better year.

Any other year, Cabrera is MVP. IMO not this one.

State your case....

ANAnonymoussubscriber
Oct 4, 2012, 01:27 AM

You stated my case Boik! I too vote for Trout.

Alex44Alex44New Member
Oct 4, 2012, 02:06 AM

I think either guy deserves it and neither could complain.

Winning the triple crown is a HUGE accomplishment in this day and age and his statistics for the year speak for themselves.

On the other hand what Trout did is unprecedented for ANY season. I'd probably go with Trout.

On the draft Quentin Rollins bandwagon.

Jt0323Jt0323moderator
Oct 4, 2012, 02:26 AM

IMP Its Miguel. We have not seen a triple crown since the late 60's. It is unheard of now a days. HR Hitters don't hit for average, High average hitters don't hit homeruns. Cabrera done just that. So Mike Trout did not play a all year, who knows what he does in those games, maybe he wears down towards the end of the season if he did. You cant count that for him or against him. In a single season, Cabrera was the MVP, no question about it.

ANAnonymoussubscriber
Oct 4, 2012, 02:30 AM

He did play in the minor leagues. It's not like he was resting up until his promotion.

Jt0323Jt0323moderator
Oct 4, 2012, 02:34 AM

Big difference from the Minors and the Pros

Alex44Alex44New Member
Oct 4, 2012, 02:43 AM

"Jt0323 wrote:

Big difference from the Minors and the Pros

I don't think there is any data or even any eyeball test that would say an extra twenty games would have hurt Trout. His SB and HR numbers certainly couldn't DECREASE in those extra games. Even if he wears down those numbers are better. Worst case his AVG slips a few points maybe.

I do think that Cabrera deserves it if he wins. I mean....can we do Co-MVP's

On the draft Quentin Rollins bandwagon.

MAMaingeforum_veteran
Oct 4, 2012, 02:49 AM

"Jt0323 wrote:

Big difference from the Minors and the Pros

In terms of physical wear and tear? I seriously doubt it.

In fact, there's a case to be made that MiLB is more taxing physically with the constant all day bus rides, crappy hotels, crappy food, no sleep, etc.

We can do hypotheticals all day but the fact remains that Trout was the better baseball player this year. It'd be a shame if Trout gets robbed because Cabrera achieved something that is, while is admittedly rare, is also mostly meaningless in determining a players worth.

ANAnonymoussubscriber
Oct 4, 2012, 03:15 AM

"Jt0323 wrote:

Big difference from the Minors and the Pros

Not really. The rules are the same. He still has to hit, run and field. If playing in the major leagues would have worn him down, then so would the minors.

HardKoreXXXHardKoreXXXNew Member
Oct 4, 2012, 09:12 AM

It wouldn't be a travesty either way, but Trout did something that's never been done. Not as rookie, but ever. Leader in SB's, WAR, Uzr. He was amazing.

@BaseyCrock

"Making people on the Internet feel better about their own lives since 2004"

Section126Section126luxury_box
Oct 4, 2012, 09:17 AM

I think the TC is a HUGE deal..but the MVP was Trout. The best rookie campaign in MLB history? maybe.

@Alf_Arteaga on Twitter
"Being a part of success is more important than being personally indispensable. .''...- Pat Riley
3 Yards per Carry on itunes:
https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/3-yards-per-carry-miami-dolphins/id1363764781?mt=2
3 Yards per Carry for Android:
https://threeyardspercarry.podbean.com/

BlameItOnTheHenneBlameItOnTheHenneforum_veteran
Oct 4, 2012, 09:27 AM

Just rename the award to most outstanding player instead.

DesidesDesidesforum_veteran
Oct 4, 2012, 09:36 AM

"I used to be a Marlin like you, but then I took a Jeffrey Loria to the knee."

@desides01

"Not you." — Tywin Lannister

HardKoreXXXHardKoreXXXNew Member
Oct 4, 2012, 10:04 AM

"Section126 wrote:

I think the TC is a HUGE deal..but the MVP was Trout. The best rookie campaign in MLB history? maybe.

I used to think the TC was a huge deal, but don't anymore. I think Miggy had an unreal year without even factoring that in. Crazy part is that you could argue this being his 3rd best offensive season.

@BaseyCrock

"Making people on the Internet feel better about their own lives since 2004"

Section126Section126luxury_box
Oct 4, 2012, 10:21 AM

"HardKoreXXX wrote:

I used to think the TC was a huge deal, but don't anymore. I think Miggy had an unreal year without even factoring that in. Crazy part is that you could argue this being his 3rd best offensive season.

ehh..

The TC is still a big deal as evidenced by it not being done in 45 YEARS.

@Alf_Arteaga on Twitter
"Being a part of success is more important than being personally indispensable. .''...- Pat Riley
3 Yards per Carry on itunes:
https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/3-yards-per-carry-miami-dolphins/id1363764781?mt=2
3 Yards per Carry for Android:
https://threeyardspercarry.podbean.com/

HardKoreXXXHardKoreXXXNew Member
Oct 4, 2012, 10:33 AM

"Section126 wrote:

ehh..

The TC is still a big deal as evidenced by it not being done in 45 YEARS.

I don't consider it a big deal for a couple reasons 1) The Steroid era is over and 2) Two of the stats have been proven pretty worthless

Don't get me wrong, he had a monster year and is deserving (along with Trout) of MVP, but I think the TC has definitely lost some luster.

@BaseyCrock

"Making people on the Internet feel better about their own lives since 2004"

Boik14Boik14subscriber
Oct 4, 2012, 10:57 AM

I think Im going to rephrase my argument:

Mike Trouts 2012 was so good that not only should he win AL MVP over Cabrera, they shouldnt even give an NL MVP just out of respect. His WAR of 10.4/10.7 (depending on whether you use fangraphs or baseball reference) is statistically one of the top 5 hitter seasons of the last 50 years. Only 2 years by a juiced up Barroid Bonds, a historic season by Joe Morgan in 1975 and a great year by Yastremski in 1967 actually exceed what Mike Trout did this year. And Trout did it in 138 games since his call up. Projected out to a full season, hes working on a WAR over 11 (which is unheard of) and its very possible he might have beaten all 4 of those seasons by Bonds, Morgan and Yastremski. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_season.shtml

HardKoreXXXHardKoreXXXNew Member
Oct 4, 2012, 11:01 AM

"Boik14 wrote:

I think Im going to rephrase my argument:

Mike Trouts 2012 was so good that not only should he win AL MVP over Cabrera, they shouldnt even give an NL MVP just out of respect. His WAR of 10.4/10.7 (depending on whether you use fangraphs or baseball reference) is statistically one of the top 5 hitter seasons of the last 50 years. Only 2 years by a juiced up Barroid Bonds, a historic season by Joe Morgan in 1975 and a great year by Yastremski in 1967 actually exceed what Mike Trout did this year. And Trout did it in 138 games since his call up. Projected out to a full season, hes working on a WAR over 11 (which is unheard of) and its very possible he might have beaten all 4 of those seasons by Bonds, Morgan and Yastremski. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_season.shtml

Babe Ruth had a WAR of 13.7 in 1923 lol

@BaseyCrock

"Making people on the Internet feel better about their own lives since 2004"

finyank13finyank13New Member
Oct 4, 2012, 11:03 AM

"HardKoreXXX wrote:

I don't consider it a big deal for a couple reasons 1) The Steroid era is over and 2) Two of the stats have been proven pretty worthless

Don't get me wrong, he had a monster year and is deserving (along with Trout) of MVP, but I think the TC has definitely lost some luster.

Maybe so but I am going to argue that it is actually harder to attain now because of how specialized pitching is.....the days of pitchers pitching 15-30 complete games a year are over. Hell I dont even think anybody got to 10 CG's this year...maybe Verlander??

“If you told me A-Rod flew on a spaceship from Mars to here, I wouldn't be surprised."--thephins.com poster Ray Finkle on A-Rod

Boik14Boik14subscriber
Oct 4, 2012, 11:05 AM

"HardKoreXXX wrote:

Babe Ruth had a WAR of 13.7 in 1923 lol

Exactly. Man, that live ball era and expansion really changed things. All the great WAR seasons were before WW2. :lol:

padre31padre31luxury_box
Oct 4, 2012, 11:07 AM

Hell and yes El Cabajo is the AL MVP.

Alex44Alex44New Member
Oct 4, 2012, 11:14 AM

I think sometimes people look so hard into sabermetrics they forget that hard stats matter as well.

You can't say AVG doesn't matter. OPB is great, so is OBPS but at the end of the day getting a base hit (even a single) is far superior to a walk in many situations. Walks don't move runners first to third or score runs.

HR's obviously matter. Though HR per AB or PA is probably a better measure all things considered.

RBI don't matter? I understand that it has a lot to do with how many opportunities your team allows you, but it also has to do with a player cashing in on those opportunities. I refuse to believe it is all luck. Certain guys seem to always come through in clutch spots and high a much higher BA with runners on. Some hit much worse with runners on as well. I don't believe it is an anomaly in most cases. Baseball is a sport and like any sport there is pressure to perform in key spots. Some guys do and some don't.

I'm surprised people haven't gone so far as discrediting players accomplishments based on the strength of pitching they faced over the course of a season.

All that said it is still Trout IMO

On the draft Quentin Rollins bandwagon.

Boik14Boik14subscriber
Oct 4, 2012, 11:21 AM

I hate sabermetrics and am normally a stats guy but Trouts season is THAT good. Cabrera had a great year but how is different then his 2010 year? Its not really.

HardKoreXXXHardKoreXXXNew Member
Oct 4, 2012, 11:21 AM

"finyank13 wrote:

Maybe so but I am going to argue that it is actually harder to attain now because of how specialized pitching is.....the days of pitchers pitching 15-30 complete games a year are over. Hell I dont even think anybody got to 10 CG's this year...maybe Verlander??

I don't think it makes a difference because everyone is at the same disadvantage.

@BaseyCrock

"Making people on the Internet feel better about their own lives since 2004"

HardKoreXXXHardKoreXXXNew Member
Oct 4, 2012, 11:26 AM

"Alex44 wrote:

I think sometimes people look so hard into sabermetrics they forget that hard stats matter as well.

You can't say AVG doesn't matter. OPB is great, so is OBPS but at the end of the day getting a base hit (even a single) is far superior to a walk in many situations. Walks don't move runners first to third or score runs.

HR's obviously matter. Though HR per AB or PA is probably a better measure all things considered.

RBI don't matter? I understand that it has a lot to do with how many opportunities your team allows you, but it also has to do with a player cashing in on those opportunities. I refuse to believe it is all luck. Certain guys seem to always come through in clutch spots and high a much higher BA with runners on. Some hit much worse with runners on as well. I don't believe it is an anomaly in most cases. Baseball is a sport and like any sport there is pressure to perform in key spots. Some guys do and some don't.

I'm surprised people haven't gone so far as discrediting players accomplishments based on the strength of pitching they faced over the course of a season.

All that said it is still Trout IMO

The objective of baseball is to get on base and score runs. RBI's are a product of having guys on base. For example, Miggy had 70 more PA's with RISP than Trout did this year. Of course a lot of that has to do with where they hit in the lineup. This is also why the Triple Crown is overvalued. You can basically eliminate Trout from it every year just by virtue of him hitting leadoff.

@BaseyCrock

"Making people on the Internet feel better about their own lives since 2004"

Log in to reply.