I've sort of posted the links sporadically to my work, but I wanted to post a full list of links to the metrics breakdowns I’ve done this year, hitting on most positions outside of offensive line, safeties and inside linebackers.
In total, I figured I charted around 55 players, 660 games, 15,000 plays, and around 150,000 individual data points. It was a lot of work, but I enjoyed the process. Thanks to everyone here who has read and given me feedback, especially CK and phinsational who have both given a lot of great comments and suggestions for current and future works.
Quarterbacks, Tier 1 (Bridgewater, Carr, Manziel, Bortles):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/45952/349/out-of-the-box
Quarterbacks, Tier 2 (Mettenberger, McCarron, Murray, Shaw, Boyd):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46748/349/out-of-the-box
Wide Receivers, Tier 1 (Evans, Watkins, Benjamin, Lee):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46006/349/out-of-the-box
Wide Receivers, Tier 2 (Cooks, Landry, Beckham, Robinson, Matthews):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46136/349/out-of-the-box
Running backs, Tier 1 (Hyde, Hill, Seastrunk, Mason, Sankey):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46396/349/out-of-the-box
Running backs, Tier 2 (Sims, Johnson, Williams, Freeman, Carey):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46540/349/out-of-the-box
Tight Ends (Ebron, Amaro, Niklas, Seferian-Jenkins, Rodgers):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46280/349/out-of-the-box
Edge Rushers, Group 1 (Clowney, Barr, Martin, Gayle, Lawrence):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46928/349/out-of-the-box
Edge Rushers, Group 2 (Mack, Ealy, Ford, Attaochu): http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46981/349/peshek-edge-rushers-20
Defensive Tackles, Group 1 (Donald, Hageman, Sutton, Jernigan):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46653/349/out-of-the-box
Cornerbacks, Group 1 (Dennard, Verrett, Mitchell, Roby, Gilbert):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46190/349/out-of-the-box
Cornerbacks, Group 2 (Fuller, Hampton, Purifoy, Jean-Baptiste, Joyner):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46242/351/peshek-cb-
metrics-20
Sack Study (Clowney 2012/2013, Ealy, Ford, Sam, Barr, Murphy, Martin, Attaochu, Smith, Mack):http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46337/349/out-of-the-box
I'll be writing one more piece for Roto next week on players I missed or have shot up draft boards since I wrote the first articles. The included players will most likely be Tom Savage, DaQuan Jones, Anthony Johnson, Donte Moncrief, Paul Richardson, Martavis Bryant, CJ Fiedorwicz (sp?), Xavier Grimble, Kyle Van Noy, DAT and maybe Logan Thomas if I have time. Thanks and enjoy.
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Excellent I hadn't seen that you'd finished the group two pass rushers.
So Gayle and Martin seem like clear cream of the crop when it comes to PRR. -
Thank you! Based on the Tier 1 WR breakdowns, I really wish we could find a way to nab Evans. His size, high percentage of deep passes, 8.92 YAC on screens, and really good YAC #'s even with almost 44% of his catches coming on comebacks seem to fit our team well. I know we need O-Lineman, but a potential playmaker would be great too.
CWBIII and ckparrothead like this. -
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Shows how observant I am. I had already found and bookmarked your site and didn't even realize it was you. Probably "found" it from a link you or someone posted on here w/out realizing it was you.
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Really too bad you never got the chance to work up Kyle Van Noy.
I don't really consider the PRR of OLBs to be apples-to-apples with those of DEs but regardless, Van Noy's PRR would be ludicrous.
He doesn't rush the passer as much as people think but when he does...he's INCREDIBLY efficient and savvy at beating blockers.
I've got him well over Anthony Barr at this point on my board. -
He was unreal in 2012. I wonder if he dialed it back just a bit last season realizing that he should've put himself in the NFL by that point.ckparrothead likes this. -
To be honest I'm tempted to see if the Eagles will trade us their 1st rounder for Dion Jordan so that I could take Van Noy to be a Sam in place of Misi who moves inside to Mike. And if you also grabbed a Ryan Shazier that's one hell of a linebacking unit.
Of course then you've still got to figure out the offensive line, LOL. -
But yea, I keep seeing Deone Bucannon and/or Van Noy available at 50. Like...sign me up. These are guys I'd love to trade up for at the back-end of the first, and I keep seeing them falling into the mid-2nd.
And trading Jordan? That's...bold. I think Dion's in for a huge year if we, ya know, put him on the field. Can't wait to see him doing everything everywhere. -
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Bucannon won't be able to take elite slot guys man-to-man as a rookie...few too many wrong steps and tight hips to hang with the really quick guys. He struggled in the Oregon game particularly marking Josh Huff (who would look great in aqua). I feel for him a bit that game because the rest of that WSU defense is truly terrible, got run up and down the field all day.
But he can do pretty much everything else and I think he has the tools to get better covering the slot by being physical. Imposing frame, straight-line speed, hits like a house, takes good angles to the ballcarrier and tracking it in the air, great ball skills, turnover machine, can handle TEs. He's a very good player all around. He's best playing downhill at this point, but I think people are equating big hitter to can't cover when it's not completely true in this case.
I'd love to add this kind of versatile enforcer to the middle of the field. Looks like a LB like Kam Chancellor, whose coverage tools are also underrated. But I think Bucannon will be able to float back over the top more often. Like I said, he's a no-brainer to me at 50 and a potential move-up target.ToddPhin likes this. -
ToddPhin likes this.
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I didn't see the kind of issue you did with him in the Oregon game. Huff only caught one pass on him and it wasn't really in man coverage.
Biggest issue for me was that blown tackle on Mariota that resulted in a long TD run, and that was just overpursuit.
Oregon will tend to challenge any defensive backfield. They spread the hell out of the field, create all kinds of issues with their options. He did fight back in that game though, big forced fumble.ToddPhin likes this. -
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This thread is GOLD. Great work NU
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Im a bit sad I just saw this now... but at least I still have a few days before the draft to dig into these today...
Guess I'm not getting much work done at the office today. :lol: -