Game by game predictions in the video.
AFC E starts at 18:46
Pats - 13-3 (#1 Seed AFC)
Bills - 8-8 (#2 in AFC East)
Jets - 3-13 (#4 in AFC East)
Dolphins - 3-13 (#3 in AFC East)
Dolphins prediction starts at 25:14.
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I think this list is way off.
The teams he has at the bottom are probably going to do much better then that. I feel the Jets have the highest upside compared to the Dolphins, but I expect them both to play above .500 this year. -
Patriots 10-6
Jets 9-7
Bills 7-9
Dolphins 0-16
Bills and Jets both improved and think they will battle for wild card spots. Dolphins just plain suck and I hope Griese is fired after the season. I dont want him anywhere near Miami drafting a QB We are probably stuck with Flores for at least three years and he shouldn't be judged too harshly for the crap he's been given.....at least this year. Ross has to go. The guy is an imbecile. Over a decade of owning a football team and he still has no clue. Hopefully he sells or passes it on to his kids but he has to go. Nothing will improve while Ross is owner unless it's by accident or luck -
S. W. A. G.
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This guy has a total of 7 teams finishing with 3 wins or less LOL.. (Bengals, Broncos, Jets, Dolphins, Titans, 49ers and Cardinals). Since the 16 game schedule began in 1978, in 40 seasons (excluding the strike shortened 1982 season where only 9 games were played) the maximum number of teams with 3 or fewer wins was in 1991 and in 2016 where you had 4 teams with 3 or fewer wins.
The average number of teams per 16-game season with 3 or fewer wins is 2.05 and he has 7 such teams LOL. Oh, and the probability of having 7 such teams given historical data is 0.000345%. Yeah I think we can ignore his predictions. -
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His approach seems to have been just a gut instinct approach based on what he knows of each team and taking it a game at a time, and to that extent, it's essentially the same as most of us do when faced with a schedule release and try to guess what the win total might be for the year.
Does he also have too may teams with high win totals?
Could we spot any possible tendency for people to rate teams too negatively or positively in general, when taking this approach?Irishman likes this. -
I'm starting to sound like Adam Gase.. lol. -
The guy has NO 6 or 7 win teams in his predictions.. note what the distribution normally looks like. Crap predictions.
EDIT: just noticed I missed another 2-win team prediction he makes: the Redskins (that graph on the left has only 31 teams). So that actually makes 8 teams with 3 or fewer wins he's predicting.Last edited: Jul 15, 2019resnor, Irishman, invid and 1 other person like this. -
IMO, the only way to predict the records of a number of teams, let alone the whole league, is by going through game by game and picking them all. Thankfully, that is now easier than ever.
https://playoffpredictors.com/Footb...lePicker/0E700630-E7FC-43DB-92EA-9E71507C57C9
I personally don't see more than one or two teams in the whole league finishing with fewer than five wins. That can change due to someone being totally blindsided by injuries of course. -
resnor likes this.
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How many clicks do you get if you say “your team is a 3-13 basket case” or “your team is going 13-3 and has a good chance of winning it all”.
You have to differentiate between analysis and click bait.Irishman and texanphinatic like this. -
Irishman likes this.
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The writers at NFL.com are just as bored as we are and, a little less insightful.
Irishman likes this. -