let's talk about 5-5 and righting the ship
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f your 5-5 Harvard gets in that @$$ we go 4-6 hahahahahahahah jk -
I got a bad feeling about this one. Fitzy has his moments.
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CanGasePlaybook likes this.
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Bills just benched Tyrod Taylor and will start the rookie Nathan Peterman against the Chargers:
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/21422733/buffalo-bills-start-nathan-peterman-quarterback
I bet Buffalo will lose more games now than with Taylor.
As weird as it seems after such a devastating (but still expected) loss against the Panthers, we're still (barely) in the hunt for that last lowly playoff spot. All teams we play except NE are struggling, all other 4-5 teams in the AFC are doing poorly, and the only team above us in the WC hunt just made a move that might lead to more losses. Not yet giving up on this season.bigballa2102 likes this. -
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Have no fear folks, we got this one wrapped up. Its the Dolphins way...to lure us back in with a good performance right about now .....get to 5-5...start having playoff scenarios dance in our heads...and then WHAM!!! the reality hammer comes down again bashing us right in the head. Like clockwork, if you will .
mlb1399, jboogie, Dorfdad and 1 other person like this. -
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Pfft. If we win it's meaningless as we cant beat the pats once let alone twice and we need a miracle to win in Arrowhead. So lets say maybe we win the rest. That would have us 8-8. Yippee. Just average enough to have a crap draft pick and keep Gase so we can be average again next year. Thats why I watch sports...mediocrity.
bigballa2102 likes this. -
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bigballa2102 likes this.
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RGF likes this.
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RGF likes this.
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(if you missed it, he said the season is far from over and they will be in the playoff race despite the tough schedule ahead)
In any case, I don't think they're just taking whatever people want to do- Ajayi would still be here if that was the case. They're trying to turn it around and the players haven't given up...you shouldn't either. -
KeyFin likes this.
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For example, NY Times has a simulator here:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...mia-den-13=win&buf-mia-15=loss&mia-buf-17=win
and the probabilities come out to be in the mid 80% for the scenario you mention. Thing is.. none of these simulators are really that accurate at this stage because of the astronomical number of possibilities, but the ball-park figure of 80%-90% or so for the scenario you suggest does seem right.Last edited: Nov 15, 2017 -
vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member
I think it boils down to this being a really soft AFC WC year...sometimes we just have these crazy seasons like this..like Gase said..much of the AFC is a disaster right now. -
Yeah, just so people understand why the number is that high, it's because we're assuming the Dolphins finish 5-2 while the other 4-5 teams in the AFC (Raiders and Ravens) are implicitly being assumed by the simulator to finish no better than they've played so far (i.e. most likely a 3-4 finish or less likely a 4-3 finish, but with almost zero probability a 5-2). And by sweeping the Bills we're taking care of the only other team remaining. So that's why the number is that high.
In any case, like you said this is not unreasonable. And also KC is struggling (lost 3 of last 4) so I'm not at all giving up hope at this juncture. -
vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member
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if we lose this game to Harvard and the buccs is the season over?
With the remaining schedule? -
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20-17 Miami we get a pick 6 by Jones, Williams has a good game and the rise of Julius Thomas
Go PHINS!!! -
If we’re going to be a 500 or sub 500 team let’s just lose out get a good draft pick and an easier schedule next year. I’m tired of proving we’re good enough I’d be happy if we beat a bunch of parapalegics at this point.
I’d seriously like them to start some rookies and see what we got -
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The offense is slowly coming around. If the defense finds it's early season groove again we could win big this sunday. Dolphins 31-10
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Dolphins ( 4 - 5 ), at home against the Buccs ( 3 - 6 ). We opened as 3 point favorites now its Buccs - 1.
What a joke. Neither team is playing well and to have the line move 4 solid points (which is huge ), in favor of TB is mind boggling. If we dont win this game by double digits I'll be shocked. I'm not a blind homer by any means and I criticize when called for but we better own this one before the final minutes of the game. -
this team loves 3rd and long
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