If Miami does not take him @ 8, how far is he projected to drop in the draft?
I do not follow college ball and know nothing about him. I keep hearing if Miami takes him @ 8 its because they are desperate for a QB and willing to reach. How big of a reach is it I guess is my question.
Personaly I feel like Miami has too many holes to be able to afford a miss on a 1st rd pick. If they feel Tanny is going to be a star in the NFL, then by all means draft him but if they are iffy about it and there is someone else on the board at another postion that they need and they are more confident in how they will perform. I think they should risk it and let Tanny fall in the draft. Maybe he falls all the way to us in the 2nd or we can put some picks together and package it to move up to get him late in the 1st.
Is that even a possibility or is he expected to be drafted by somebody else pretty fast if we let him get past #8?
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shula_guy Well-Known Member
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I think Arizona is going be a player for either Weeden or Tannehill in some form. They've made it obvious that they'd like to upgrade over Kolb, and they have a decent spot to do it with.
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Dolphins should draft 2 QB's. Best man wins. Jimmy Johnson did in Dallas, granted not in the same year, but he let Walsh and Aikman battle it out.
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I think Carroll wants Miami to grab him so that he's free to take Osweiler in the 2nd round.
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http://mobile.seattle.sbnation.com/2012/4/17/2954874/nfl-draft-2012-ryan-tannehill-seattle-seahawks -
Do we really want to take that chance? Alot of QB needy teams are sitting behind us.
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When it comes to Tannehill, we have an advantage other teams don't. Our offensive coordinator coached him in college, just as Philbin coached Matt Flynn in Green Bay.
We passed on Flynn. I can confidently say we passed on Flynn because if Philbin REALLY wanted Flynn, we would have signed him.
The same goes with Tannehill. Sherman will have alot of influence on whether or not we draft him. If we do, look for Tannehill to be the future of the Dolphins. If we don't (and we have the opportunity to), then he must not be all he's being portrayed to be.GMJohnson and steveincolorado like this. -
Same for Weeden. There are only two prospects out there anywhere near the first round level after the presumed first two picks are made. A lot of people have been screaming for several years not that we need to fish or cut bait as far as getting another good QB. If the team is ready to take Tannehill at 8 - get him. Stop playing not to make a mistake - that was Sparano's problem! It's time to take the bat off the shoulder and take a swing at it. You never get anything watching everything go by you.thisperishedmin and Fin D like this. -
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Tannehill versus Top 25 college Defenses:
Record: 0-4
Completion %: 54%
TD's: 6
INT's: 10 -
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I also think there are some good receivers available in the 2nd round, 3rd round and I have seen mocks with Wiggles going in the 4th round. -
I can't understand for the life of me why some folks continue to not concede the idea that Flynn is not the Qb that a new coach wanted to hook his first coaching job legacy to..
When I studied Flynn I wrote a thread that said if our coach wanted him I would support the decision, but after watching all his snaps as a pro, I said that I would not make Flynn an offer to be our potential franchise Qb..obviously after spending years up close with the prospect, our new coach felt the same, and to think that Ireland would overrule that type of intel is preposterous to me. -
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The thing about Tannehill versus better defenses, no need to run away from it or try and slice the stats any different way. Fact of the matter is his efficiency on paper was poor against those good defenses.
He had genuinely poor games against Oklahoma and Texas.
But if you really watch the Oklahoma State and Arkansas games, I don't know how you come away saying he had poor games. I really don't. I saw only like three bad throws in the second half of the Oklahoma State game. One ended a drive with a FG because he threw a little too far ahead of his receiver on a crossing pattern on 3rd down. Another was a pick that he shouldn't have thrown, bad decision under heavy pressure which he should have been able to anticipate by reading the defenders pre-snap (it happens). The final was a throw where his ball placement a little off and Jeff Fuller popped the ball up for an interception. That's partly Ryan's fault. One of those second half INTs was absolutely not his fault as he threw with perfect anticipation to the outside, ball in the air before Fuller had made his break, and Fuller just crumpled to the ground tripping on his own shoelaces, giving the DB an easy INT. Not even close to Tannehill's fault. Not. Even. Close.
And the Arkansas game was just a very good game for Ryan and I don't know how to see it any other way. He was beautiful in that first half, laying on 35 straight points against an SEC defense in 30 minutes of football. You look at that game and some of his best throws of the year came in it, really great throws to the perimeter and while on the run, dropping the ball into tight windows, etc. That INT he threw....listen to Urban Meyer on the play. He was disgusted with Jeff Fuller's effort on the jump ball and said he had no problems with Tannehill's decision to throw it. Now, the ball placement was a little too far to the inside, but you see that all the time, even with Robert Griffin. Fuller made zero effort to go for the ball or defend it. It's a one-on-one situation, you either have the mentality that says this is my ball and nobody else's, or you don't. Fuller doesn't.
But the passer rating is all about touchdowns and interceptions, right? Where are the touchdowns? This is the one problem I consistently have with the passer rating. You look at the lack of touchdown passes and you think this is a low scoring game, but TAMU scored 38 points of pure offense. Oh but then Tannehill must have been carried by the ground game, right? No. Tannehill accounted for 31 yards of the first TD drive before Christine Michael busted off a 48 yard TD run. Hand that one to the ground game. Tannehill accounted for 54 of the 65 yards that produced a 1st & 6 at the door step of the end zone on the next drive. TAMU ran it two straight times for the score, but that could just as easily have ended with a Tannehill TD pass. The next drive, the ground game did most of the work, resulting in a 1st & 1 on the goal line. Could that drive just as easily have ended with a Tannehill TD as it could a Cyrus Gray 1 yard TD run? You bet. Next TD drive, Tannehill engineers a 35 yards on his own with another 20 yards off Arkansas penalties, before Christine Michael pops a 29 yard TD run. Could that drive have ended in a Tannehill TD? You bet. Final TD drive of the game for TAMU, Tannehill accounts for 59 of the 78 yards that produce a 1st & 4 on the goal line, again they run the ball and it turns into a TD...but could that just as well have been a Tannehill TD? Damn right.
So what you have in effect is a game that Tannehill had that is not at all described well by his passer rating. The offense went on TD drives of 78, 71, 54, 84 and 82 yards. His not throwing TD passes was more a function of the play calling near the goal line than anything else.
And of course he gets called out for having allowed the Razorbacks to come back from an 18 point deficit. Forgive me but when you score 35 points in one half and then finish with 38 points, you should still win the game, and if you don't, then it's time to call out the defense for letting Jarius Wright tally up 281 receiving yards (not a misprint).
You give me the quarterback that can lay on 35 points in a half and I think I can figure out as a coach how to maintain that lead. What sucks is at the end of the game when Arkansas went ahead and Tannehill had a 2 minute drill to try and win, Swope drops two straight passes, Tannehill scrambles for 8 yards on 3rd & 10, and then the coaches take the game out of his hands on 4th & 2 and send Christine Michael up the middle for no gain. I'd rather put the game in the hands of my QB in that situation, but to each his own.
Anyway. That's how I'd account for the aforementioned 4 games from 2011 against good defenses. Two of those games he actually performed well. Two were bad. I'd add a 5th one against Missouri because that was a good defense as well, except he had a 93 passer rating in that game and I suppose that doesn't fit in with the theory that Tannehill can't play well against good teams.UCF FINatic likes this. -
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Larryfinfan 17-0...Priceless Club Member
The idea that we are desperate for a QB and will take him at 8, where some say he's over valued, is based on Mr. Loss's mandate that we find a franchise QB this offseason. Tanny may be that guy.... but he likely won't be that guy this coming year...
I guess I'm in the boat that I won't be shocked if they pass on him but I won't be disappointed either. They simply have to decide that picking him is worth the wait for him to develop and worth not filling a hole with a DE/OLB, WR, MLB, etc...
It will be interesting if Blackmon and Tanny are both available at #8. If nothing more, they could bluff their way to a trade down for someone who wants Blackmon...
As to how far he'll fall if not to us, not very...Arizona at 13, KC at 11 or Philly at 15 are all landing spots for Tanny... -
Larryfinfan 17-0...Priceless Club Member
As to his only having a 10% chance for success...well, to each their own. You say he's over rated because you don't think he's worthy, so dismiss any other opinion because it doesn't agree with yours ?? And at least on this board, I wouldn't say there are a lot who only think he has a 10% chance of being special... -
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