Me and my pops are doing a suicide pool thing for the season (a league him and his coworkers are in worth quite a bit...), we started doing it last year and actually made it to the top 5. I figured I'd reach out and take any help I could.
incase you're not familiar with any kind of suicide pools, this one really only has 1 rule, you can only pick 1 team 1 time, and that's basically it. If you are incorrect then you are out of it, There are no spreads or anything, just pick 1 team to win that week. Last season I was able to manage most of it myself, but there were a few weeks I was unsure of, kind of like this week.
So far these are the teams i'm thinking about going with this week. Mind you, me and him both entered separately so technically we can have 2 different entries:
First week is always tough.
1. Colts over the Raiders (@colts)
2. Pats over the Bills (@bills)
3. Steelers over the Titans (@PITT)
4. Redskins over the Eagles (@skins)
I was considering the fins in my list of options, but there are so many question marks between the fins and the browns right now i'm just going to hold off until I actually see some things on the field before I make my fins pick, maybe 17.
If anyone could offer some suggestions and/or give me some feedback on teams you think will be winners week 1, I'd really appreciate it. :up:
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Colts look pretty darn good as an option. As a rule Id be looking at whoever plays Oakland, the Jets, Buffalo, SD and Jax every week and be making decisions off that. Im thinking the Pats you will probably want to save til later on. There will be a week when youre not sure who to pick at all and cant narrow it down and like a knight in shining armor the Pats will be sitting there playing the Jets or some other scrub team and you'll say something like "ahh screw it, these bastards have been beating up my phins for years, they may as well make themselves useful and beat whoever..."
Pitt..Im in wait and see mode...theyre going to play a lot of close games imo. Washington is facing an offense they never faced and neither has anyone else really. Im not sold on either team. Houston, NYG (never lost in new Cowboys stadium and Eli seems to like it there) and tampa also look appealingdWreck likes this. -
shula_guy likes this.
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very tempting.. -
shula_guy Well-Known Member
IMO its a little early to use the colts. I would want to keep them as an available option for later in the season. My way of thinking is you take the weakest team you can get away with a win with. My way could get you out early but leaves you strong at the end if you make it that far. No guts, no glory.
dWreck likes this. -
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shula_guy Well-Known Member
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I think you want to save strong teams like the Pats and Broncos. I don't consider the Colts to be a strong team.
One thing against the Colts. I usually try to avoid the public plays. I think the Colts are a 90%+ pick for week 1. Should a loss happen, that eliminates a lot of competition.
The Pats will be a high percentage pick as well.
I don't think Pittsburgh will be that good this year but they have a favorable week 1 matchup. Vegas favors them highly as well.
So take your pick between the Colts and Pitt. -
Fair enough. Even if I go with colts I need a 2nd pick for the old man as well.
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shula_guy Well-Known Member
As an example of what I mean, if it were me in this I would consider playing the first 3 weeks like this
Week 1. Bucs over the Jets
Week 2. Bills over the Panthers (added) Oak home over Jags away looks good in week 2 also
Week 3. Jets over the Bills
Obviously you have to look at it week by week but if those 3 picks hit I would of eliminated 3 of the worst teams to have to play. The trick to a suicide league is to get the weak teams out of the picture and avoid the upset games. -
shula_guy Well-Known Member
I rethought the whole suicide pool thing and realized I only needed to play 17 teams so trying to get a team like the bucs out of the way isn't all that important.
I am going to take a stab at all 17 weeks right now before any games are played and see how close I get.
week 1. Ind vs Oak
week 2. Det @ AZ
week 3. NO vs AZ
week 4. Bal @ Buf
week 5. Atl vs NYJ
week 6. Min @ Car
week 7. Sea @ AZ
week 8. Cin @ NYJ
week 9. Was v SD
week 10. NYG v Oak
week 11. NE @ Car
week 12. Hou vs Jac
week 13. Dal vs Oak
week 14. Den @ Tenn
week 15. SF @ TB
week 16. Chi @ Phi
Week 17. Mia vs NYJ
I reserve the right to amend my picks as the season progresses and injuries mountdWreck likes this. -
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I see TB @ NYJ more of a cripple fight than anything this week.ToddPhin likes this. -
week 1 update:
I could smack my pops in the head... he totally picked the 49ers for himself and submitted it before i knew about it... i'm obviously not too happy about the wasted pick that early but whatever.... I got my colts pick in at the last minute for this week.
This is what its looking like (there are a total of 22 people)
IND - 8 picks
TB - 4 picks
NE - 3 picks
SF - 2 picks (dammit dad)
HOU - 1 pick
NO - 1 pick
PHI - 1 pick
PITT - 1 pick
DEN - 1 pick
Colts seems like the obvious pick atleast for me here. but I definitely could see some of the other picks getting knocked out already. I'm surprised at some of the power houses getting wasted this early Pats, san fran, Denver? sheesh.
Oh well, EZ $ I hope :up: -
shula_guy Well-Known Member
what happens if you tie?
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Thats probably something I should find out though... If I had to assume it would probably be a split prize pool if its a dead even tie (like most suicide/survival pools do)shula_guy likes this. -
4 Guys already out of the pool for trusting the bucs, E-Z.
Oh. Steelers loss. Thank goodness I didn't go that route.
1 more out.
Still a couple games left. but losing 5 of the 22 in week 1 feels awesome :up: -
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UGH!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I completely forgot about the pool, i've been so busy lately, normally I do a ton of research for stuff like this. yesterday I got a text saying "I need your pick in 10 minutes" .... Wonderful.
So... I totally went with the Patriots this week. I mean, all things considered with my limited time to choose, the game seems like a gimme...And man some of the games are pretty tough to pick to this week - not impossible - but tough. Either way i'd love to see the Jests lose, but this is one of those "ugh can't they both lose and a meteor hit the stadium?" type games.
I haven't got the sheet of all picks yet, but i will update when I do. I think the old man went for HOU - which would have probably been my second choice.ToddPhin likes this. -
I just barely squeaked by... wow. The one time I bet on the pats, of course, that happened.
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Week 2 picks:
Patriots - 4 (safe again, on to week 3)
Saints - 3
Falcons - 3
Ravens - 3
Texans - 2
Packers - 1
49ers - 1
The ravens are a giant question mark... I don't think you can really depend on them to beat anyone this year.
Also.. saints AT the bucs.. I obviously think the bucs are hot garbage, as shown last week, BUT. they might be able to snag 1 at home after that embarrassing last game.
I see both of these games as 6 possible easy outs this week. Heres to hoping. :up:
Also, whoever picked the niners must have forgotten how Russell was straight TOYING with them last year. -
that was just awful to watch...10x more awful than usual.
atleast it looks good for miami. -
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Chicago over Minnesota in suicide pools.
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zoinks, yo -
shula_guy Well-Known Member
I'll stand by my Det pick
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pretty much everyone safe this week...dammit
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shula_guy Well-Known Member
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Welp.... i'm thinkin seahawks over jax this week... more specifically because its in SEA. I've been playing it very cautiously thus far, might as well stick with it while i'm on the early weeks still.
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