Happy New Year everyone! This is it, the season finale! Who's going to walk away with the unofficial title of 2024 Pick' Em Champion? For total correct picks, I have a one game lead on Unlucky13 but for overall percentage, he leads me by .02% with Puka-head not far behind at 70.2%.
Thank you to everyone who played this season. If everyone still wants to continue, I'll keep the Pick 'Em going for the playoffs.
Saturday
Cleveland @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Sunday
Carolina @ Atlanta
Washington @ Dallas
Chicago @ Green Bay
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Buffalo @ New England
NY Giants @ Philadelphia
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Houston @ Tennessee
San Francisco @ Arizona
Kansas City @ Denver
Seattle @ LA Rams
LA Chargers @ Las Vegas
Miami @ NY Jets
Minnesota @ Detroit
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Unlucky 13, Fishhead, vmarcilfan75 and 1 other person like this.
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Saturday
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Sunday
Atlanta
Washington
Green Bay
Jacksonville
Buffalo
Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
Houston
Arizona
Denver
LA Rams
LA Chargers
Miami
Detroit -
Saturday
Cleveland @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Sunday
Carolina @ Atlanta
Washington @ Dallas
Chicago @ Green Bay
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Buffalo @ New England
Giants @ Philadelphia
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Houston @ Tennessee
San Francisco @ Arizona
Kansas City @ Denver
Seattle @ LA Rams
LA Chargers @ Las Vegas
Miami @ NY Jets
Minnesota @ Detroit -
Saturday
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Sunday
Atlanta
Washington
Green Bay
Indianapolis
Buffalo
Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
Houston
San Francisco
Kansas City
LA Rams
LA Chargers
Miami
DetroitLast edited: Jan 4, 2025 -
Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member
Saturday
Cleveland @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Sunday
Carolina @ Atlanta
Washington @ Dallas
Chicago @ Green Bay
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Buffalo @ New England
NY Giants @ Philadelphia
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Houston @ Tennessee
San Francisco @ Arizona
Kansas City @ Denver
Seattle @ LA Rams
LA Chargers @ Las Vegas
Miami @ NY Jets
Minnesota @ DetroitLast edited: Jan 3, 2025 -
Saturday
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Sunday
Atlanta
Washington
Green Bay
Indianapolis
New England
Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
Houston
San Francisco
Denver
LA Rams
LA Chargers
Miami
Detroit -
Final results for Week 18's Pick 'Em. As expected, teams that we didn't think should win pulled off stunning upsets and me being the blonde I am, it didn't dawn on me not to have a tie breaker for Sunday night's game since there is no Monday game. Somehow I have a feeling with yesterday's disappointment of Miami's season ending without a post season shot, no one really cares about a "declared weekly winner".
Saturday
Cleveland @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Sunday
Carolina @ Atlanta
Washington @ Dallas
Chicago @ Green Bay
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Buffalo @ New England
NY Giants @ Philadelphia
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Houston @ Tennessee
San Francisco @ Arizona
Kansas City @ Denver
Seattle @ LA Rams
LA Chargers @ Las Vegas
Miami @ NY Jets
Minnesota @ Detroit
danmarino: 8-8 (.500)
Hooligan: 9-7 (.563)
vmarcilfan75: 8-8 (.500)
Finatik: 10-7 (.625)
The_Dark_Knight: 9-7 (.563)
Fishhead: 10-7 (.625)
Puka-head: 8-8 (.500)
Unlucky13: 10-7 (.625)
I'll have the season results posted later today.Fishhead, Unlucky 13 and danmarino like this. -
Final results for the 2024 Pick 'Em for the regular season. Thank you all so much for playing and your patience. I really enjoyed this.
The_Dark_Knight: 272 games
190-82
69.9%
Unlucky13: 271 games
190-81
70.1%
Fishhead: 271 games
180-91
66.4%
Vmarcilfn75: 272 games
175-97
64.3%
Hooligan: 270 games
175-95
64.8%
Finatik: 247 games
166-81
67.2%
Puka-head: 239 games
164-75
68.6%
danmarino: 243 games
161-82
66.3%danmarino, Unlucky 13, Hooligan and 2 others like this. -
So TDK and Unlucky exceeded that 67% level that the best machine learning algorithms tend to average over a full season. That's impressive. Puka and Finatik reached or exceeded that too, but not quite over a full season. A few percentage points difference is huge btw, so congrats on that. Probably useful to see what the average is across multiple years to see if you can do that consistently.Puka-head, Unlucky 13, The_Dark_Knight and 1 other person like this.
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Thanks to TDK for doing this and keeping up with it throughout the season. Kudos, good sir.
Puka-head, vmarcilfan75, The_Dark_Knight and 3 others like this. -
Yes I tried doing it a couple years ago and it was very difficult. Thanks for picking it up and running with it.Puka-head, Fishhead, The_Dark_Knight and 1 other person like this.
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I, and I’m certain others did also, made picks based off of “want” rather than reality. I bet most of us could have done even better if we took bias and want out of the picks. I bet the spread on games all season, have for a while, never bet on the Dolphins or teams I hate and I always come out ahead each season.Puka-head, The_Dark_Knight and cbrad like this.
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Half a game, brother! You got me, lol. I don't remember which game I missed, but its all good, and I enjoy doing this.Puka-head likes this.
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Honestly, gut has always been a huge part of how I do it. Sometimes it burns me, but a lot of other times it pays off. I don't know how much I include "want" into that, but its inevitable that its some of the time, especially in tossup games.
I also think that the NFL being more unbalanced right now than it has been in a while makes it easier than it was for many years. Ten teams finished with five or fewer wins this season, and just picking against those most of the time is easy money. We had a NFL record nine teams with 4 or fewer wins through 16 games this year before a few of them won this past week in meaningless games.
Same on the other end with the five teams that won 13+. That's half the league right there. That was often the case in the 90s when I was doing this in high school and college, but then there was a stretch of ten to fifteen years where things got a lot more fair and even, and picking wasn't nearly so obvious. -
It was a Thursday night game early on in the season. When I saw how close you and I were throughout the season, the competitor in me said, "oh hell no, I gotta stay ahead of Unlucky" LOL.
Great job my friend...and great job to everyone else who played. I should have asked Finatik early in the season if he could have gotten with the powers that be to see if the winner could have been granted a year's membership to the club level. Give everyone something to play for other than bragging rights.Puka-head, Fishhead, danmarino and 1 other person like this. -
Only you and Fish, out of those who played, aren’t in the Club. You two should check it out if you haven’t. MUCH better discussions and I never even lose my cool in there. Lol… And there is a lot of disagreements. It’s not an echo chamber at all. But because everyone is pretty reasonable it never gets out of hand.Hooligan and Unlucky 13 like this.
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Its a smaller group than it used to be as well. Probably a third of the regular posters in club now compared to when i upgraded back in 2012. Just a group of guys who all know one another talking football.danmarino likes this.