You may remember two weeks ago in a crushing loss in New England that I mentioned seeing a different team in that second quarter- a team that was ready to go on a 5 to 6 game run. And if you look back, you might also see where I said last week that the stars were aligning for us to beat the living **** out of New England on Monday night.
I'm not usually an "I told you so" kind of guy, but we just embarrassed the Patriots on national television. It was one of Brady's worst games EVER as a pro due to the unrelenting pressure and a Mr. Xavien Howard (which I also happened to talk about last week). Zip for 13 on 3rd down? Are you freaking kidding me? This may have been one of the Dolphins most dominant games this decade.
So yeah, this is the one exception to my humbleness.....I FREAKING TOLD YOU SO DOLPHIN FANS! HECK YES WE SPANKED THE FREAKING PATS!
There were so many great moments tonight- Brady actually looked scared at times in the pocket and it was impossible for him to find his rhythm. Down the stretch I almost felt sorry for him, but then I just laughed like mad and rooted for Suh to crush him again. By the 4th quarter, Brady's entire left arm was a bruise from wrist to elbow....it was freaking beautiful.
And our boy Ajayi...how bad are we missing him right about now? Drake was fantastic. Cutler was fantastic. I could literally go on and on because this team has found their identity and playing awfully darn hot. I guarantee you that the Pats are now watching the playoff brackets for two reasons- first, they're desperate to catch Pitt...and second, they're even more desperate for somebody to knock us out of this playoff race. They certainly don't want us again in week 18...I can promise you that.
There were some mistakes by our team tonight but you know what...now's not the time to talk about that. We did great knocking out the dumb penalties tonight, all aspects played hard and the scoreboard definitely didn't show what really happened on the field. Our boys really played perfect...hats off to them fellas.
Oh, and one more thing- it really sucks that we beat the **** out of the Pats tonight and lost our "sweet" draft position, right? LMFAO!
Three more wins to "maybe" making the playoffs Dolphin fans. It's probably not enough, but let's hop on that J-Train anyway now that the darn thing is finally chugging forward. Great game, my friends! Go Fins!
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San Diego and KC play each other, so that takes care of that. Baltimore has an easy schedule against Cleveland, Indy and Cinci and they need to lose one of those. Tennessee has a tough schedule against the 49ers, Rams and Jacksonville and they need to lose two.
Point is.. there's a small but decent chance EITHER Baltimore loses at least 1 more OR Tennessee loses at least 2 more, so it's not over yet! -
On missed block by Pouncy or one drop by Drake or one run by Cutler for this game to not even be close.
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I can't stop thinking about the two games we lost with game-changing phantom penalties over the past month....just giving us that Raiders win would change a whole lot.jdallen1222 and adamprez2003 like this. -
I’m looking forward to less this team sucks trade everyone and fire all the coaches.....at least for a week or so. If we were to win out and somehow make the playoffs i think they could make some noise.......I wouldn’t bet much on them even making the playoffs but this win makes that not sting so much.
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BOY WE SURE MISS AJAYI OUT THERE GUYS! JUST A FOURTH!?!?!?! FIRE GASE!
Seriously though, what a great game. Exciting to see some young guys starting to ramp it up. Howard looked like a bust halfway through, now he looks like an allstar. Hopefully he turned a corner and can be a shut down guy going forward. Drake ... godDAM that spin move in the backfield he put on ... Chung? Then bounce it out and take it 20ish. That was a #1 runner move there. Dude can catch the ball too.
Grant stepped up on that TD - would be great to see him involved. Landry getting some tough yards and a tough TD. Still not convinced about bringing him back for premium $$$. OL played very well. Parker ... mostly invisible, still disappointing that he can't turn it around and dominate. But still, great win.
Seeing Tom Brady sulking and frustrated will never, ever get old.Irishman, RevRick, Tin Indian and 2 others like this. -
Anyway, probability of us winning all three is basically (1/2)^3 = 12.5% if we assume it's a coin toss. Probability Baltimore wins at most 1 out of 3 is exactly 50%, so multiply those together and I think a decent estimate for us making the playoffs through a 3-way tie with Baltimore and either KC or SD is about 6.25%.
EDIT: I calculated the wrong thing: "Baltimore wins at most 1 out of 3" lol.. like that matters haha.
OK, just to do this right.. if we assume games are coin tosses, the probability Baltimore loses any 1 out of 3 remaining games = 3*(1/2)^2 = 0.375 or 37.5% and the probability Tennessee loses any 2 out of 3 remaining games is also 0.375 or 37.5%. So the probability one OR the other happens is 0.375 + 0.375 - (0.375)^2 = 0.61 or 61%. Multiply 12.5% by 61% (as opposed to 50%) and you get a rough estimate of 7.5% chance of making the playoffs. Well.. the brain fart at least got you in the right range haha.Last edited: Dec 12, 2017KeyFin likes this. -
I don't see the Ravens losing a game the rest of the way. If we win out and have young players like Drake and Howard playing well? We are in better shape for 2018 than if we had the #10 pick versus having #20.
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Summary for making playoffs:
1) We win out
2) Baltimore loses at least 1 OR Tennessee loses at least 2
That's it. All other teams will lose in a multi-way tiebreaker with us due to conference record (the one tiny exception is we can't end up in a 2-way tie with Baltimore).KeyFin likes this. -
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Congrats on kicking the Pats butt tonight. Awesome win for you guys, love watching NE lose.
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Brady having his head down was a great moment!
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And one more thing, the 9ers are pretty hot themselves and feeling like a winning club. I wouldn't count them out against anyone this season.Irishman likes this. -
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For the first time in a long time, I think I'd be more surprised if the Dolphins disappointed than if they played well. No, I think we beat Buffalo. Doesn't mean it will be easy or a blowout but the way this team is playing last two games you'd be hard pressed to bet against them unless it's another team playing at a high level. -
I'm not "expecting" us to finish 3-0 because we all know anything can happen, but I really think this team has the potential to finish strong and change a lot of opinions. I think Gruden said it best last night when he said we were seeing what everyone thought was the 2017 Dolphins before the hurricane, the RT injury, etc. Our boys just need to own that and keep the momentum flowing...and I like our chances from here on out as well.
By the way, I heard it was an all-out party in the locker room after the game last night...our boys are not taking this late-season surge lightly. They're on a mission!Irishman, bigballa2102 and cbrad like this. -
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