Thursday's Line/Bengals Slight Favorites?

27 replies

Phoenician FanPhoenician Fanforum_veteranOP
Oct 28, 2013, 05:26 PM

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/nfl/2013-10-27/nfl-week-9-point-spreads-betting-lines-vegas-odds-bengals-dolphins-packers-bears

I'm very surprised the Dolphins are getting this much respect. If I wasn't morally opposed to betting against my own team, I might lay the money down.

byroanbyroanadmin
Oct 28, 2013, 05:34 PM

It actually started out as a pick'em game. It then moved up slowly to where it's at now which is -2.5.

Road teams usually don't fare well on the short week.

RickyBobbyRickyBobbyNew Member
Oct 28, 2013, 05:38 PM

Bc Vegas sees that we weren't that far from winning most games. Only the fans are giving up

ckparrotheadckparrotheadmoderator
Oct 28, 2013, 05:42 PM

Road teams on Thursday night. Bengals played a later game on Sunday, too.

I will say this though, Thursday night short week road teams are 4-3 this year. Interesting phenomenon. It's not enough for Vegas to change their formulas though.

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PandarillaPandarillaforum_veteran
Oct 28, 2013, 05:44 PM

"RickyBobby wrote:

Bc Vegas sees that we weren't that far from winning most games. Only the fans are giving up

Also that they know that the Dolphins perform better when they're fans don't give a sheit.

padre31padre31luxury_box
Oct 28, 2013, 05:48 PM

I think we win this one, this is a hungry team

ckparrotheadckparrotheadmoderator
Oct 28, 2013, 05:51 PM

Here are the short week road games thus far in 2013:

Week 2: NYJ (+10.5) at NWE - Jets 10, Patriots 13
Week 3: KAN (+3.0) at PHI - Chiefs 26, Eagles 16
Week 4: SFO (-3.0) at STL - 49ers 35, Rams 11
Week 5: BUF (+3.5) at CLE - Bills 24, Browns 37
Week 6: NYG (+9.5) at CHI - Giants 21, Bears 27
Week 7: SEA (-5.0) at ARI - Seahawks 34, Cardinals 22
Week 8: CAR (-7.0) at TAM - Panthers 31, Buccaneers 13
Week 9: CIN (-2.5) at MIA - ???

Strange phenomenon that the visiting team has covered 5 times in 7 weeks.

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Oct 28, 2013, 06:06 PM

If refs can stay out of it we might have a shot.

Section126Section126luxury_box
Oct 28, 2013, 06:14 PM

"ckparrothead wrote:

Road teams on Thursday night. Bengals played a later game on Sunday, too.

I will say this though, Thursday night short week road teams are 4-3 this year. Interesting phenomenon. It's not enough for Vegas to change their formulas though.

When the Dolphins beat the Panthers a few years ago on a thursday night....the Road teams were something horrific like 2-18 straight up and something ridiculous ATS as well.

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djphinfandjphinfansubscriber
Oct 28, 2013, 06:29 PM

I would think that Thursday away team stat would matter if they were away the game before they played the Thursday..

Andy dalton playing well, kid turned out pretty good against a lot of criticism..so much talent on that team, I will hope to see our two rookie corners playing, ride or die..

Lol, no way the dolphins come out flat in this one, don't matter if it's just the vendors are in attendance...Philbin better have them foaming.

cuchulainncuchulainnsubscriber
Oct 28, 2013, 06:55 PM

Bengals have traditionally been as bad or inconsistent as we have been. We beat them last season with less talent. If we can play all 4 qtrs instead of a half, and not lose another guy to injury, we can beat them. Still, just don't get beat 49-9... lmao...

FinfangirlFinfangirlluxury_box
Oct 28, 2013, 07:43 PM

"cuchulainn wrote:

Bengals have traditionally been as bad or inconsistent as we have been. We beat them last season with less talent. If we can play all 4 qtrs instead of a half, and not lose another guy to injury, we can beat them. Still, just don't get beat 49-9... lmao...

i thnk there were 2 pick 6's..which was helpful. also, Marvin Jones and AJ green were unstoppable.

cuchulainncuchulainnsubscriber
Oct 28, 2013, 08:03 PM

"Finfangirl wrote:

i thnk there were 2 pick 6's..which was helpful. also, Marvin Jones and AJ green were unstoppable.

Yes. I wasn't worried about beating the stej at all this season until we dropped that Bills game and now the Pats. The stej have a very good defense, but their offense is atrocious, but they have some talent at WR and RB.

That said, I think we'll still play them much better and if we can continue to protect Tannehill, keep him mobile, and NOT turn the damn ball over, we can win this. Be nice if our defense can continue to generate turnovers.

JWjw3102forum_veteran
Oct 28, 2013, 08:52 PM

"Pandarilla wrote:

Also that they know that the Dolphins perform better when they're fans don't give a sheit.

If that's the case, based on attendance at games and local TV ratings over the past few years, the Dolphins should be undefeated this year and the defending SB from last year.

Nappy RootsNappy Rootsforum_veteran
Oct 28, 2013, 08:55 PM

"padre31 wrote:

I think we win this one, this is a hungry team

clearly.

finfansince72finfansince72subscriber
Oct 28, 2013, 09:02 PM

I don't think we are as bad as we've looked at times and I don't think the Bengals are as good as they have looked at times. It should be a close game. I actually like our chances in this game. I think the Bengals are a 9-10 win team at best they aren't going to be 12-4 or 13-3.

CitizenSnipsCitizenSnipsNew Member
Oct 29, 2013, 02:48 AM

Bengals have struggled against a lot of teams this year. They finally put it all together against the jets. That's what the bengals look like at their best. Now lets hope on a short week, on the road, their at their worst

Stringer BellStringer Bellsubscriber
Oct 29, 2013, 09:19 AM

"ckparrothead wrote:

Here are the short week road games thus far in 2013:

Week 2: NYJ (+10.5) at NWE - Jets 10, Patriots 13
Week 3: KAN (+3.0) at PHI - Chiefs 26, Eagles 16
Week 4: SFO (-3.0) at STL - 49ers 35, Rams 11
Week 5: BUF (+3.5) at CLE - Bills 24, Browns 37
Week 6: NYG (+9.5) at CHI - Giants 21, Bears 27
Week 7: SEA (-5.0) at ARI - Seahawks 34, Cardinals 22
Week 8: CAR (-7.0) at TAM - Panthers 31, Buccaneers 13
Week 9: CIN (-2.5) at MIA - ???

Strange phenomenon that the visiting team has covered 5 times in 7 weeks.

Not strange at all. Anyone who says "home teams usually cover Thursday games" is essentially relying on a flawed strategy, and Vegas is taking their money.

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SICKSICKforum_veteran
Oct 29, 2013, 09:28 AM

"ckparrothead wrote:

Here are the short week road games thus far in 2013:

Week 2: NYJ (+10.5) at NWE - Jets 10, Patriots 13
Week 3: KAN (+3.0) at PHI - Chiefs 26, Eagles 16
Week 4: SFO (-3.0) at STL - 49ers 35, Rams 11
Week 5: BUF (+3.5) at CLE - Bills 24, Browns 37
Week 6: NYG (+9.5) at CHI - Giants 21, Bears 27
Week 7: SEA (-5.0) at ARI - Seahawks 34, Cardinals 22
Week 8: CAR (-7.0) at TAM - Panthers 31, Buccaneers 13
Week 9: CIN (-2.5) at MIA - ???

Strange phenomenon that the visiting team has covered 5 times in 7 weeks.

alot of that may do with it being against the Rams, Bucs and Cardinals.....

LimboLimboforum_veteran
Oct 29, 2013, 09:54 AM

"CitizenSnips wrote:

Bengals have struggled against a lot of teams this year. They finally put it all together against the jets. That's what the bengals look like at their best. Now lets hope on a short week, on the road, their at their worst

They've beaten Detroit New England, and Green Bay. Not too shabby.

But yea, I do think Dalton could toss up a horrible game even with all those nice skill players. Their secondary is beat up right now as well. This is the game we need Mike Wallace to take over and win for us. He owes us a few W's.

ExplosionsInDaSkyExplosionsInDaSkyforum_veteran
Oct 29, 2013, 10:03 AM

"Tannehill wrote:

If refs can stay out of it we might have a shot.

Yes, THIS right here. Getting robbed on like four different occasions last week didn't help our cause against the Pats.

ckparrotheadckparrotheadmoderator
Oct 29, 2013, 10:12 AM

"SICK wrote:

alot of that may do with it being against the Rams, Bucs and Cardinals.....

...and Dolphins?

Twitter: @ckparrot
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vt_dolfanvt_dolfansubscriber
Oct 29, 2013, 10:34 AM

"ckparrothead wrote:

...and Dolphins?

What, losing doesnt hurt enough...ya just gotta keep twisting the knife?....

"The more difficult the victory, the greater the happiness in winning"
Pele

SICKSICKforum_veteran
Oct 29, 2013, 10:39 AM

"ckparrothead wrote:

...and Dolphins?

dun dun dunnnnnnn

shula_guyshula_guyNew Member
Oct 29, 2013, 10:59 AM

Dolphins are going to do what they always do. They will win this one and suck fans back in thinking that just maybe this team has finally turned the corner but in the end we will end up being a 7-9 or 8-8 team.

"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that justifies it."

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