6 more games of high production, MMoore is on a nice run but can he keep it up and put?
To be in the mix for comparison to Penny in 08:
Last 4 gms worth of QBR:
58.5/147/75.2/133.3
Completion %
59.1
73.9
69
70
He lacks the consistency needed to enter that Near Elite level, a 40% swing from week to week in his Qbr, meaning TD production, his completion percentage is outstanding for a comparison to Pennington's 08 Season:
97.5 QBR
19 Tds
7 int's
67.4 Completions
3,653 yds
223 ypg
MMoore currently:
85.8 QBR
7 Td's
5 int's
63.6% completions
1,319
188 ypg
Now to me, Pennington was the perfect Qb for the 08 Dolphins, MMoore is a fillin, but, as I glance at MMoore's numbers in comparison, imo he projects to:
15 Td's
10 int's
65% completions
2,447 total yds
Since he threw 3 int's in his first two games (SD and NYJ) he has settled into about 1 int every other game, 6 games left, 3 int's, 7 Td's in 7 games, but he could pass that as Moore tends to throw TD's in bunches, he has 4 gms with -0- Td's and 2 gms with 3 Td's, making that a difficult number to project.
Fun stuff, he won't catch Pennington's 08, but he is on pace to have a solid season, in terms of Completion % and QBR
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His numbers are a reflection of the team. If the talent improves, a talented OL is assembled, and the skill positions continue to improve he can succeed.
DolfanTom likes this. -
"If" MMoore had started since gm #1, if his production had stayed level, he would have passed Penny's 08, in fact if Henne's numbers are added to MMoore's:
Yds: 868 + MMoore's 1,219=2,087
Td's 11
Int's 11
Qbr: 79.5
As I glance at Henne's stats in his 4 starts, what strikes me is he played similarly to MMoore, the difference being MMoore created more Td's.
Imho that is a place where stats do not tell the whole story, Henne's numbers were comparable, but if you watched both of them play, there is no question that MMoore is far better, for example with Henne we had 1 20+ output gm on offense with Henne, and 3 less then 20, with MMoore we've had we've had 3 gms of less then 20, but still averaged more ppg as MMoore's has had 3 over 20 pts games in a row.
W/Henne 17.25 ppg
W/Moore 21 ppg
W/penny in 08: 22 ppgrdhstlr23 likes this. -
And that's how QB's are judged (right or wrong) by an offense's point production and wins.
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Kinda cool that we are averaging almost as many ppg as we did in 08, in fact it is really percentage points difference as 08 was something like 21.567 and 2010 it is 20.6 something, inow, no real difference, MMoore and those 4 ppg we've picked up since then has made all of the difference and why we are winning ballgames. -
What I like is that in the same way that Pennington worked well in the mixed Air Coryell of Henning, Moore is adapting well to Daboll's adjustments. What's going under the radar is that Miami's skill players and Moore are meshing well in an attack that honestly looks like a West Coast offense at times. The WRs, Clay, Fasano, and Reggie Bush all are productive pass catchers that are finally doing the things they should be doing instead of going 25 yards down the field in a spread pattern. I'm a little giddy thinking of how much easier it is to find good WRs for a West Coast offense than it is for say an Air Coryell.
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That 2008 year by Pennington was the best from a Dolphins QB since Marino. It was so much fun watching a QB you could count on to win a game. Let's be clear. Matt Moore isn't that guy. At least not consistently. He did this once with the Panthers and came back the next season and played terrible.
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Let's be clear? That's a pretty bold statement. Tough to assume what happened to that garbage Panthers team is what will happen if you continue to improve with the same system.
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This could just be me blabbering, but I think a big thing (going all shouright on you guys) is how much better Matt amoore is at handling Brandon Marshall. I dunno. You see a lot of the guys getting more involved with Moore at QB (Clay, Bush, Fasano) than Henne. I think Chad had a lot of pressure on him trying to force the ball to Marshall. Pressure put on him and Marshall. We call the Sam amount of plays to Brandon, but lately (in Moore's first 2 starts it wasn't the case) you can see Moore looking off Marshall and finding someone else. The TD to Bess was a great example. A fabulous blitz pick up from Thomas, he looks to Marshall it isn't there goes to Hartline in the back nothing, then hits Bess on the in cut. So quick. He stayed within the pocket and maneuvered around. Rather from what I saw Chad do and that's force it to Brandon or look off, put the head down and try and run.
I think Moore has much different way of handling the players and it helps his decision making. That's just a minor thing. Right now, his confidence is so high he's living off of that and the team's confidence. -
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Well updated:
After the Cowboys gm:
-63% Completion percentage
-YPG 200.3
-YPA 7.3
-Td to int ratio 8 to 5
Pennington's 08:
-97.4 QBR
-67% Comp
-7.7 YPA
-220 ypg
-19 to 7 Td to int ratio
Last 4 gms for MMoore:
-114 Qbr
-68.1 completion percentage
-7 to 1 Td to int ratio
-225.2 YPG
INOW, that is Pennington in 08 numbers, slightly better then Penny in 08 the truth be told, now I do not consider him good enough, as of yet, to obviate the need for a young Qb prospect, but:
Recognize how well Matt Moore is doing in 2011, if he keeps that up over the last 5 gms, we will have an interesting offseason as he will wind up with pretty much Penny's 08 season pro rated for the lack of starts. -
It just seems to me the whole team is more into playing the game every week, having a good time. It seems to be night and day with MM as opposed to CH at QB as far as attitude and the like. I cant include Dallas, since I had a house full of relatives in my house so I couldnt pay attention to the game. (WHAT wuz I thinkin)
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Well ATL, not sure if that is just the offense gelling, or they buy into MMoore.
What surprised me is MMoore performance is so close to Penny's in 08, even to the point of outplaying him for stretches.
5 gms left, if he continues to play at that level, it can only be a good thing, I'd like to see him do it, but for this thread it is all about the numbers and not my feelings about MMoore.
Here is a good example of why I thought MMoore would stumble v Dallas:
He usually followed up a 130+ Qbr with a mid 70's one, in this case he followed up a 133 with a 99.5.
That was against the #10 ranked D in the NFL, he struggled vs Washington, but against Dallas, he statistically upped his performance.
Which is the sort of trend that says "he is improving". -
I maintain that Matt is a good quarterback, but the problem is that Miami needs a great quarterback.MrClean likes this. -
a great QB we don't need; Griese wasn't great .... Marino was - let's compare SB wins .... that's not a knock - just a fact. We can list 10,000 reasons for both cases, but none-the-less.
all we need is a good to above average QB ... that's it
am i sold on Matt Moore, god no ... but i did bring up a few weeks ago with Pads about his 'bad luck-circumstances' that he has dealt with at every level in his football career. what i certainly believe is that he is a guy we should keep around ... -
I'm not sure if I can see MMoore doing that, and above all things in my view the Qb has to produce passing Td's consistently as the sort of "efficient Qb who moves the chains down the field" approach is what is no longer really valid, they now must throw for Td's to cap things off. -
What Moore has shown so far is that when the Dolphins are playing another bad NFL team and the defense is playing great, he is able to be effective at the QB position. When the Dolphins play against the better teams in the NFL, Moore has not shown the ability to make the plays necessary to consistently score touchdowns. His play inside the red zone against the good teams has been below average. Moore is a very good backup QB, but that is all I ever see him being throughout the rest of his career.
I will admit that Moore is a better NFL QB than Henne, but I have never felt that Henne was very good to begin with. -
Larryfinfan 17-0...Priceless Club Member
Pads, this is another example of stats being misleading. While Moore has had some nice games, he still is weak in the red zone, or our scheme is weak in the red zone, but either way, he has the same problems that Henne was having in the RZ and that's where a QB makes his mark....
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And let me add, when brees/Brady lites up a poor d, why isn't the same thing said?
And Dallas and Wash were top 15 D's -
Does Matt Moore have any trade value?
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But it does appear true that in some ways the fanbase believes he is not competent due in some part to the path he took to get here.
If you fix the o-line to some degree this offseason I think Moore will show he's better than many are actually giving him credit for.Stitches, maynard, Disgustipate and 2 others like this. -
Well, keep in mind, 5 games left, you sort have to wait and see how he does Conu and KB, I chose Penny's 2008 because to me, that is the celing for a "Efficient" Qb, like Matt Cassel's 2010, so far he is holding up well.
He also sort of puts the final nail in the Henne coffin so to speak, there is simply no way around drawing that conclusion.
Back to the theme of the thread, Moore will need to:
Continue his torrid Td production pace, 2 Td's in the last 5 games will come close (on avg), 1 Td on avg and he winds up with 12-13 Td's.
He has 1 int to "give" so to speak.
Maintain that over 100 QBR on avg. -
Well:
1 Td/52% completions/160 yds/85 Qbr/YPA down to 6.38
For a total of:
1,607 yds 63% completions 8 Td's 5 int's
With 4 games left, he won't catch Pennington in any raw production stats, Td's or Yrds, and he remains 2%+ behind Pennington's 08 Completion percentage and 12 QBR pts behind Penny's 97 QBR of that yr.
He can catch Penny in efficiency stats, that is not out of reach, especially with a struggling Philly D up next.
His QBR trend is downwards, 133 to 99.5 to 85.8
His Completion % is also moving downwards 70 to 59 to 52%
Hmm, personally I thought the problem today was guys were not winning one on one matchups on the underneath stuff. -
Pennington: 97.4 QBR 67.4% completions 19 Td's 6 int's 3,653 7.7 YPA 24 sacks fumbles 3 1 lost
MMoore 2011 w/2 games to go
QBR 88.7 60.8% Completions 12 Td's 6 int's 2,081 7.4 YPA 30 sacks 11 fumbles 5 lost
Not bad, MMoore could catch Penny in Td's possibly completion percentage, QBR is a longshot.
All in all, if Penny was seen as the last good Dolphins Qb, MMoore is making his case with 2 games left, liked that he played after being knocked out of the game last week. -
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Moore is looking like a Coryell/Norv Turner type QB. I happen to like that style, but its becoming more rare these days. the Chad Henne spread experiment has almost disappeared from the playbook, a credit to Daboll imo for realizing what he has.
Moore is efficient but still not producing enough in terms of completions and yardage. He is getting the look of a feast or famine QB. He is either completing the ball down the field or not really at all it seems.
I haven't quite closed the door on himDolfanTom likes this. -
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What surprises me is how few attempts he has per gm, usually just over 20 attempts.DolfanTom likes this. -
I cant wait to seem him against the Jets again. I am thinking he has improved greatly since that game since he now has many more reps as the starter.
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Jets got in his kitchen in his first start, he's improved a lot since that game but it remains to be seen by how much. -
He's much more of a TD/Checkdown guy who is more likely to take shots down the field then to dink and dunk ala Penny, that is to say, Penny was better then MMoore at the dink and dunk stuff.
Let me point out though, Pennington had 66 starts heading into 2008, MMoore had 12, it should surprise no one it has taken him time to get up to speed, but to me, being colourably mentionable in the same breath as Pennington is as high of a compliment as I can think of for a qb like Matt Moore. -
the point remains that he still has to be able to move the chains consistently.
if you are thinking to yourself that you want to build a team around him, he prob. needs a stronger run game and better protection than most guys. but his accuracy doesn't quite warrant trying to build around him an make him the next Aikman or what have you. it's also where Penny separates himself
because in a scenario where you think you can build around Moore is one where you probably take a Lineman or a Tight End. A lineman in the 1st round will give this fan base a heart attack
that said, i think with a more solid line (which we need anyway) and similar play from our RBs, I think Moore can get you in the playoffs. Super Bowl, i doubt it -
maynard likes this.
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the next two games are as good of a litmus test as you can ask for him. he is settled in and knows the offense.
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Right now MMoore is like that great GF in college, you've been going out for a couple of weeks and thing seem good, but..give it time.
Not to contradict myself however I really really have to see those accuracy numbers go up, accuracy is the foundation of a Qb like Moore's game, he's not Tebow and he's not Rivers, he is more of a counter puncher type of Qb and has to have that accuracy to make it work long term.maynard likes this. -
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