Gentlemen,
I have been reading some of the posts here at Celtkin.com, since Finheaven.com is down, but had not joined the conversations. However, I think it would be more than fair to use my first post to talk about Beck.
He deserves a shot next year as our starting QB. Although, having an amazing rookie year would have been a great indication of his talent, the fact that he did not do incredibly well does not mean he is a bust.
I found a site that shows you a list of the best rookie quarterbacks of all times:
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=list/rookieqbs
Yet, not all of them had incredibly long and good careers.
I also researched the rookie careers of most of the great QBs in the last 20 years, and none of them had a bad rookie year. I used this link for that: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/
I am a bit confused now. I am not sure if I should be encouraged by the fact that not all quarterbacks with a great rookie season are in the HOF, or disappointed that all of the great quarterbacks heading or already members of the HOF had at least a decent rookie season.
Some food for thought I guess...
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I guess if we want to be able to judge, we need to define what a good year or bad year is. For me, he had a bad year. His overall QB rating was 62.0. He completed only 56.1% of his passes. He threw 1TD, but 3 INTs. He had 4 games with less than 60.0 QB rating.
Although he had a QB rating of 96.3 in his last game.
I guess that is what I am using to assess that his year was bad. -
Is hard to say that he had a good or bad YEAR when he only played 3 games and parts of 2 others...he didn't have much talent around him and his 1st 2 games were in horrible conditions......could he had done better with more talent around him? Nobody knows that....He should get a chance next season imo.
Ozzy rules!! -
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John Beck is why Bill Parcells went against the grain and hired a QB coach David Lee.
Is Beck the future? as a starter? as a backup?
I don't believe in handed anybody anything, make'em earn it. -
The more I read, the more it becomes obvious that the locker room was imploding. Cameron and the the veterans were not on the same page but they agreed on Beck, though. They didn't want him to start since Lemon gave them the better chance to win. But Cameron was forced to start Beck by the owner and the team forced Cam to bench Beck by their play in Buffalo.
I think Beck should be judged fairly by taking the circumstances into account. If he had played four games in NE, he would have a perfect record and would be the next great thing. Here he played on a bad team with an imploding locker room and vetereans that were not supporting him. No surprise he fumbled the first snap against Cincy. But the throws he made after a shaky start against Cincy looked good. He made good decisions, was patient, went through his options and he made accurate throws. Let's just hope he gets a chance with the new regime. -
How are you going to judge a guy who played less than four full games for the worst team in the NFL, one that was threatening to be the worst in the history of the NFL? You can't do it. Give him an offseason, and then a fair chance next year and see what he does.
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Here's how their adjusted QB ratings look:
Trent Green: 73.75
Cleo Lemon: 67.02
John Beck: 42.85
I'll use John Beck as an example...
Completion %: 60 completions +8 rushing attempts (- the QB kneel)/107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
YPA: 559 passing yards + 13 rushing yards (took away the -1 yard from the QB kneel) -69 sack yards/ 107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
TD %: 1 passing TD + 1 rushing TD/107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
Turnover %: 3 interceptions + 5 lost fumbles/107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
In most cases, the adjusted QB rating will be significantly lower than the standard QB rating. Vince Young and Michael Vick are some notable exceptions to the rule.... -
People think that a guy who plays 4 games has had ample time to prove his worth. They say that because he's older he should be more ready, ignoring the fact that he's older because he was in Portugal on a mission, not, amazingly, studying the playbook.
I think the time to judge Beck is after the 2009 season. -
Lets give Beck the benefet of the doubt, he was thrown into a bad situation. Lets hope he gets a chance this year.
RTD -
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You don't judge a QB based on 4 games, especially with the least talented offensive unit in football (remember that Ronnie Brown was already on IR). Solidify the offensive line, bring in a veteran WR who is capable of being a #1 (but at least a sure starter) with some size to go along with a developing Ted Ginn, draft a pass catching TE in the 2nd or 3rd round, and then you'll also have Ronnie Brown hopefully coming back 100% healthy.
Once the above is in place (obviously easier said than done), then we can assess Beck's play. -
I think key to Beck's development are the recovery of Ronnie Brown as a back, but also as a safety valve in the passing game, but also the play of Lorenzo Booker and the introduction of a downfield threat tight end. Beck worked best with Jonny Harline at BYU. I can see him and a Fred Davis or a Brandon Pettigrew becoming fast friends. -
Fred Davis is the guy who came to mind when I made that post.
I don't think he'll stick around until our late-2nd rounder, but you never know.
What about Martin Rucker from Mizzou? -
Boom, what are your thoughts on Martin Rucker? I've read that he is one of the most ready and complete TE's in the draft (Good hands, intense blocker, etc) with very few weaknesses in his game. I'm not much of a college football fan, so I only know what I read.
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I will say Beck had a bad year last year, but I will defend him in this sense. He didnt have the workhorse Ronnie Brown that Green had in the begining of the year. Brown would have made Beck's job much easier because Brown was a guy that would get a total of 20-25 touches a game and make plays. Beck had Chatmann, and the suprise of Lobook. Green started the year with Chambers who did well for us except for the no TD threat. Beck had Booker, Hagan and Ginn. Ginn was the best of those targets IMO. Finally, there was no such thing as a TE on this team. Martin wasnt even existent for the majority of this season. Rookies like TE's but there wasnt one for Beck.
Beck has to start next year, not a veteran because Beck I believe will be 27 by the start of the next season. -
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I keep reading people post that its too early to declare Beck a bust. I dont think that's the debate at all. And I dont see anyone declaring him a bust. Drafting a QB or aquiring a vetarn QB to compete with Beck is not declaring Beck a bust contrary to popular opinion. What it is, is an acknowledgement that our QB position is weak going into 2008 and needs to be strengthened and an acknowledgement that Beck has failed to show enough to warrant him being "given" the starter's job. It does not mean he wont be competing for the starter's position. Beck will have ample opportunity to compete for the starter's job and if he can elevate his game to a level that he warrants starting, he will be our starter in 2008. The debate here is simply do we add competition to make sure that if Beck cant elevate his game we're not left with no other options
sgtphin likes this. -
I dont have enough info to judge Beck after what this team just went through. It would be funny to be able to go back in time and see what the Broncos thought of Elway after his first few starts. At first, if I remember right, he was basically lost or overwhelmed. On one play he actually lined up under a guard to get the snap. That guard had to tell him to move over and get under center. Good thing for them they didnt give up him that early. I can wait to judge Beck.
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Perfect time to add this little input:
As I noted many times befor I live in NY and listen to a well known radio sports talk show called "Mike and the mad-dog". Recently Mike was interviewing someone when the topic shifted to the Dolphins and John Beck. Mike asked this certain someone about whether he believes Beck has what it takes to be the Dolphins answer at QB. This person responed by saying this. " It might be a little bit early to know for sure if Beck has what it takes to be a #1 QB for the Dolphins,but from what i`ve seen, Beck should have shown a lot more even with the limited time he had. So,if you`re asking me now if I think he has what it takes to be the Dolphins answer at QB I would say NO."
NOW. Guess who that "certain someone" was that gave that answer. It was a former QB by the name Dan Marino!. He might know a little about what it takes to be a successful QB in the NFL.
I couldnt agree with him more. Dans gut feeling is Becks not the answer.
For The Millionth Time....WE NEED A BACK UP PLAN!!!!!!!!Last edited: Jan 13, 2008 -
Breed likes this.
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I think Beck should go into 2008 as "the starter" and get a fair shot at keeping the job.
I also think the front office and "us" the Phinsfans need to remain flexible as to player moves, we only have so many picks to make major changes on our roster and right now, we really do not have the luxury of taking a Qb with a low pick, if one slides to us then we should not let "well we have John Beck" stop us from pulling the trigger and drafting a Qb.
But trying to say "well Beck should have shown more" is correct in and of itself, every player should have shown more this past season, and Beck had a lack of weapons on offense that was almost criminal.
That, and IMO, Cam hand cuffed Beck with his play calling he played Beck in "Safe Mode" and made Beck think far too much for a rookie. -
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Here's how their adjusted QB ratings look:
Trent Green: 73.75
Cleo Lemon: 67.02
John Beck: 42.85
I'll use John Beck as an example...
Completion %: 60 completions +8 rushing attempts (- the QB kneel)/107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
YPA: 559 passing yards + 13 rushing yards (took away the -1 yard from the QB kneel) -69 sack yards/ 107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
TD %: 1 passing TD + 1 rushing TD/107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
Turnover %: 3 interceptions + 5 lost fumbles/107 passing attempts + 8 rushing attempts + 10 sacks
In most cases, the adjusted QB rating will be significantly lower than the standard QB rating. Vince Young and Michael Vick are some notable exceptions to the rule.... -
He looked BAD when he was out there, let's not quibble or dress it up, of all of the rookie QB's that I saw play he was by far the worst. He may end up being a very good player, it is way too early to tell. Brady Quinn looked MUCH better than he did. I know he was on a better team with MUCH better receivers, but at least he wasn't fumbling snaps right and left...
I'm curious what you guys out there think about something. I'm pretty sure that Parcells take on his leaving college to go on a mission is probably radically different than Cam the choir-boy's... -
This isn't an interview process leading up to the draft, Parcells took this job knowing what type of roster and players he was getting. Ireland even said that the Boys were very high on Beck, so I don't think that Beck's opportunity will be effected by something he did in college that is considered a positive.
JMO though -
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