those two touchdown passes vs jacksonville were beautiful.

 

I went back and counted to make sure of this, but 10 of Tannehill's 24 TDs came during goal-to-go situations. I don't know what that means. I don't know if that's an indictment of Lazor or Tannehill or the receivers or what, but it seems like a lot. I wonder why the team couldn't score from say, the 15? Or the 20? Or the 30?

Most of those 10 where with the ball well inside the 10 yard line, too. I wonder how that ranks relative to the rest of the NFL. Has anyone looked at that? What's worse is that if we take away the 3-4 TD throws which don't tell us anything meaningful about Tannehill (i.e. the screen to Lamar Miller against the Texans, the deflected ball that Landry came down with against the Eagles, etc.) it seems that approximately half of his TDs came on relative dinky little throws.

That makes me a bit nervous. Hey, you'll take 'em any way you can get 'em but I wonder why the team couldn't score before they got that close?

In terms of the interceptions, I saw several batted balls which go both ways. Shame on the QB for bad ball placement. Shame on the WR/TE for batting it up for someone to intercept. That said, poor ball placement and a propensity to throw to blanketed receivers are not good things when you're trying to score from some distance out.

I have a tendency to think maybe Tannehill doesn't see the field as well as some of the better QBs. Maybe that's an inexperience thing. Maybe it will get better. I don't know.

 

The probability of scoring a TD (run or pass) tends to drop off exponentially away from the goal line, so 10 out of 24 (~42%) isn't that's unexpected.

Here's some actual data from 2001-2004 which shows it's within normal range:
http://www.fftoday.com/stats/td_distance_qb.htm

And here are the TD probabilities, showing it's an exponential drop-off regardless of down:
http://archive.advancedfootballanalytics.com/2012/08/1-play-touchdown-probability.html

That includes both run and pass, but the stats should show similar trends for pass alone.

 

Yeah, idk, I guess it's more or less normal then. It just seemed like a lot at first glance. Maybe the plays themselves just looked a little dinky. It did seem like the bulk of them used speed to the edge as a key to getting open. I guess that can come off as a little gimmicky but you don't have much to call down that close either, so it's reasonable I guess.

I wonder if things have changed post-2004? Maybe slightly, idk.

Anyhow, thanks for that CB!

 

In 2014 we only scored a couple TDs from outside of the red zone. These past two years have not been explosive. It's better now and with Lazor gone, hopefully even better.

 

There's a big yellow circle in the middle which says GIF - what good is that? It's on everyone of them.

 

Also networks tend to show 10 replays of the 80 yard TD and skip the replay of the 5 yard slant. So we think that QBs on teams we don't follow closely like Flacco and Rodgers are dropping 50 yard bombs for 2 or 3 TDs a game.

 

The author got cute with the scripting for the animated gifs... they are supposed to load in the background and animate when you hover over it. A slow internet connection or ad-blocker can interfere with it. If you actually care about watching each one, you can right click and select "inspect element" and copy each gif's url out of the "no script" element and paste it into your browser and watch it run as it loads.


Example: Odrick beats Jamil Douglas and sweeps around the OL, then flushes Tannehill out of the pocket. Tannehill sees Odrick and runs away to his left with Odrick bearing down on him and completes a TD to the back, Williams.

 

Lol... watch the first half second of the very first TD. Dallas Thomas and Jamil Douglas setting the tone of the OL for season early.

Dallas is on skates and Jamil Douglas somehow loses his feet and falls on his *** with no one touching him. All other linemen were holding their own.

 

I think Tannehill probably tripped him or something.

:lol:

 

Miller got all into Perry Riley, I'm gonna miss Miller.

 

Watching it time and again, it looks like Douglas' heel may have caught Miller's left shoe as he was moving laterally, then lost his balance and fell in space.

 

Took Miller a couple seasons to learn to pass block. I'm sure Ajayi and Williams can pick that up as well.

 

that TD pass to DeVante in the Baltimore game though.....

 

He trips over Miller's legs. Pretty clear.

 

sweet

thanks

 

QB17's highlight reels are another example as to why there are many that are unconvinced that he is a franchise QB, "snapshots" of the eye test, and his highlight reels are very average, not many "heroic" QB passes.

A very large majority of the passes are either, very easy passes, or passes where the "player" is making a play, very few QB "WOW" plays, very few "drop it in there" plays, and very few "thread the needle" plays, and most franchise QBs will put up a highlight reel in a single season that has as many "WOW" plays as QB17's 4 year career reel.

Also, too many "bad" INTs, inexcusable passes that should just never have been thrown, and yes every QB has them, but he has too many.