I'm trying out Daily fantasy this season. I'm stick w/$1-$2 dollar contests while I acclimate myself to the format. Trying out Yahoo's since they were offering 200% bonuses.

I have 4 $1 lineups entered into tournament play. Scoring is .5 PPR. $200 dollars per team. I've got 1 GB packers stack (Rodgers, Lacy, Cobb, Adams), 1 Dolphin stack (Tannehill, Miller, and Landry), and one balanced team. No splashy super stars, just all around solid players at every position. I also have a wildcard team.

EDIT: New Wildcard team.

QB: Tyrod Taylor ($20)
RB: Lamar Miller ($27)
RB: Matt Forte ($33)
WR: Dez Bryant ($32)
WR: AJ Green ($28)
WR: John Brown ($17)
TE: Martellus Bennet ($20)
Flex: Tyler Lockett ($10)
Def: Seattle ($13)

Strategy:
- Tyrod Taylor was cheapest starting QB available at $20
- Lamar Miller and Forte for their rushing ability, but also have some PPR value.
- Dez w/great matchup
- AJ Green is healthy and has a great match up.
- John Brown could very well be T.Y. Hilton 2.0 in Bruce Arians offense w/Carson Palmer.
- Seattle/Lockett combo for double points for special team TD's. Might ride this one all season until it hits lol. Hopefully Lockett plays well in the slot.

Thinking about switching out Megatron for AJ Green... AJ Green has a juicer matchup.

 

I was thinking that too. Maybe Matt Forte. The thing I love about Forte, no matter what, he has value in that bears offense. If you're ahead, he can grind. If you're behind, he can catch. There's always possibilities for points with him.

 

Since we're all new to daily fantasy, lets track our results throughout the year.

 

I'm up $24 dollars at the moment... Nice. Mostly from the $10 entry, 1 million dollar kickoff I decided to enter into, right now, I'm making money in every contest I entered expect 1 (3/4). .That could change tomorrow as I'm sure a lot of people are playing players from the two Monday night games... As am I though. Jordan Matthews is on 2/3 teams. And Vernon Davis is on one. Hopefully, it all works out.

Players who were huge for me today:
Eifert: The cheapest TE ($13) who had the highest upside and best match up. Glad I went w/him on a couple of teams.
Ingram: Decided to flex him on one team. Had an overall good day.
Forte: Great day. About to CJ Anderson the league in his contract year.
Ivory: Cheap ($17) and had a good matchup. 2 TD's FTW.
Hill: Might be my favorite RB this season in terms of production.


Players who I hate:
Lamar Miller: Or Bill Lazor more accurately.
Matthew Stafford. You have a WR nicknamed after a ****ing evil transformer because he's such a monster, being covered by a 5'9" CB and you target him 4 times? **** you, Stafford. Lots of big-time WR were disappointing today. Beckham, Megatron, Dez, all did jack ****. Cobb luckily got a TD or else he would have done jack **** too.

 

https://dailyfantasynerd.com/optimizer/yahoo/nfl?week=1

These stats are super ****ing interesting/awesome... All the work I put into this week and I had about the same score as this guys optimal lineup. I didn't sign up for a premium account (I might though...), but even if that doesn't interest anyone, his stats are free and are worth checking out. Invaluable in terms of saving time. I did a lot of leg work (and some educated guessing, based on players I like this season) for nothing this week lol. It was ALL right there. The legend/ley is the "?" mark on the right of his stat database. Complete w/projections and a value rating. Going to try his optimal lineup this week (you get one free) when his projections come up Wednesday. My other teams will be my own. Will make sure to put up all my teams this week and show which is which.

Has Fanduel, draftkings, and yahoo projections FYI

 

Week 2. Looking @ yahoo cost values for players, this week looks tougher to predict than week 1.

It's early. All is subject to change based on a number of variables. It's only Tuesday... BUT guys I like this week.

-QB-

1. Philip Rivers $32): Before his severe rib and back injuries in 2014, Rivers was on pace for 4600 hundred yards, 40 TD's/10 INT, 70% completion through 8 games last year. I've ALWAYS been on the Rivers bandwagon, back when he was a prospect and before he jumped up the boards, I wanted Miami to draft him in 2004 w/our 20th pick. I feel he's very underrated because of "his" W/L record, despite not having much talent on the oline, WR's, RB's, since the mid-2000's. There truly is a Dan Marino comparison to be made for Rivers in terms of what their career trajectory looked like. Both guys had talent on offense entering the league, both had some success (Marino more than Rivers, obviously), and a few years into their careers, their talent deteriorated/left town and their W/L records starting evening out. Agree or disagree w/me on that subject, I like Rivers and for $32 bucks? Yes please. Already has a 400 yard game. Running game can't be relied on, and is weapons are pretty good this year. Best Value + Talent. Even though Cinci's D is decent enough, Rivers will have great fantasy numbers if for no other reason than volume. He will be on at least one of my DFS teams.

2. Drew Brees ($43): Home game vs. Tampa. Tampa made Mariota look like Aaron Rodgers. Played well (355 yards 1TD/1INT) on the road vs. a good Arizona defense. That TD/INT ratio should look more like 3:1 or 4:1. But Mark Ingram got a ton of RZ attempts in NO last year... That could lower this number.
3. Carson Palmer ($34): Looked good. W/o Ellington this week, but the Johnson RB's should be servicable. Bears D really shocked me in week 1 in terms of D play... Legit or not?
4. Sam Bradford ($42): Home v. Dallas. Likes to throw and I don't think Dallas is capable of stopping this offense on the road.
5. Ryan Tannehill ($39): Scared off after week 1? Fair enough, I guess. Strong matchup @ Jax. Tannehill has pretty bad road stats, however... Low floor, high ceiling.
6. Matt Stafford ($37): High potent offense, especially if Ebron is the real deal. Very rarely do TE's have good rookie years. Gronk was the Dan Marino of rookie TE's.
7. Nick Foles ($29): Cheapest legit QB 1. Risky because his weapons are suspect (Tavon, Bailey, Cunningham, Cook) in terms of consistency. Can they keep it up? Vs. Seattle, he played pretty well. Washington isn't Seattle, despite Washington having a good/underrated front 7.



I didn't get to see the Viks @ 49ers. Did Minnesota's defense look good or did SF offense/QB look bad? Zimmer is a good defensive coach and they've got young talent, but I'm not sure how to rate Minnesota's defense at this point. Certainly, that will factor in my Stafford opinion.

 

Love Moncrief this week. Super cheap, great value IMO.

TY Hilton had 7 catches, 77 yards, on 14 targets.
Moncrief had 6 catches, 46 yards, 1 TD on 11 targets.

TY is OUT. Antonio Cromartie is OUT.

Moncrief will play in Hilton's spot this week. Andre Johnson will be shadowed by Revis. Moncrief should see 10+ targets this week vs. A weakened Jet's secondary.

 

I meant spot as on "go to receiver" in the roster w/ Andre getting Revis. Role would of been a better choice of words.

 

This is my protype roster for this week. Subject to change, but I'm liking...


QB: Rivers ($32) @ Cincinnati
RB: LeSean McCoy ($28) vs. New England
RB: Mark Ingram ($26) vs. Tampa Bay
WR: Julio Jones ($37) @ NYG
WR: Jordan Matthews ($27) vs. Dallas
WR: Donte MonCreif ($13) vs. New York Jets
TE: Austin Seferian-Jenkins ($12) @ NO
Flex: Darren Sproles ($12) vs. Dallas
DEF: Ravens ($12) @ Oak
Total: $200

I'm thinking of going w/CJ2K instead of Sproles. $10 and potentially great value. Waiting to hear about any news regarding his role w/Arizona vs. David Johnson.

That website I linked earlier suggested my optimized roster should be...

QB: Blake Bortles
WR: Antonio Brown
WR: Demaryius Thomas
WR: Dante Moncrief
RB: Chris Johnson
RB: Matt Forte
Flex: Carlos Hyde
DEF: Ravens

I entered this roster in a $1 50/50. Will make sure to post results. Looks pretty decent. I like Moncrief, Johnson, etc... Problem is, the tournament leagues don't use Thursday night players, eliminating Demaryius Thomas as an option. I would have to buy their content to exclude/filter Thursday night games for another "optimized" roster. I'm not going to do that until I see how decent this service is. If it shows some decent results in the 50/50's that include Thursday night players, I might pick it up in October/November.

Optimized rosters for Draft Kings is...

QB Drew Brees
RB Matt Forte
RB Lamar Miller
WR Antonio Brown
WR Allen Robinson
WR Cole Beasley
TE Jason Witten
FLEX Frank Gore
D Baltimore Ravens

Optimized Fanduel roster is...

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
RB Matt Forte
RB Chris Johnson
WR Antonio Brown
WR Odell Beckham Jr.
WR Pierre Garcon
TE Jason Witten
K Andrew Franks
D St. Louis Rams


If any of you guys are willing to throw these rosters into a $1 tourney, it would be cool if you posted the results.