Of course this has the makings of going down as one of the least popular threads ever…:lol:
I keep hearing how Miami has their franchise QB, but exactly what does that mean? I remember in 2009 many dolphans thought we had our franchise QB in a guy by the name of Chad Henne. Three years later Henne became one of the most despised players to ever wear a Dolphin uniform.
What separates Tannehill from Henne? Up to this point Tannehill’s career is almost a carbon copy of Chad Henne.
In 2009 a 24 year old QB named Chad Henne led Miami to a 7-6 record in his starts (5-3 in his first 8 starts).
In 2012 a 24 year old QB named Ryan Tannehill has led Miami to a 4-4 record (being generous including the win over the Jets).
Statistically:
Henne in 2009…
274 comp, 451 att, 60.8%, 2,878 yards, 6.38 ypa, 12 TD , 14 int, 2 fumbles, 51.3 QBR, 75.2 QB rating
16 rush, 32 yards, 2.0 ypc, 1 TD
Miami PPG under Henne starts = 24.4
WRs/TE = Ginn Jr., Camarillo, Bess (2[SUP]nd[/SUP] year), Hartline (rookie), Fasano (1[SUP]st[/SUP] year starting)
Coaching staff = HC – Tony Sparano, OC- Dan Henning
4[SUP]th[/SUP] Quarter wins = 2
Games lost when leading or tied in 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter = 3
Games leading at halftime that ended in a loss = 1
4TH QTR, +/-7 PTS = 32 comp, 78 att, 403 yards, 41.0%, 5.17 ypa, 3 TD, 4 int, 49.3 QB rating
LAST 2 MIN. HALF = 48 comp, 78 att, 469 yards, 61.5%, 6.01 ypa, 2 TD, 4 int, 65.6 QB rating
OVERTIME = 2 comp, 3 att, 4 yards, 66.7%, 1.33 ypa, 0 TD, 1 int, 30.6 QB rating
Tannehill in 2012…
142 comp, 241 att, 58.9%, 1,762 yards, 7.31 ypa, 5 TD, 6 int, 3 fumbles, 52.8 QBR, 78.2 QB rating
19 rush, 24 yards, 1.3 ypc, 1 TD
Miami PPG under Tannehill = 21.2 (20.0 ppg if subtracting the 30 against the Jets that Tannehill wasn’t really a part of)
WRs/TE = Bess (5[SUP]th[/SUP] year), Hartline (4[SUP]th[/SUP] year), Moore, Armstrong, Fasano, Clay
Coaching staff = HC – Joe Philbin, OC – Mike Sherman
4[SUP]th[/SUP] Quarter wins = 0
Games lost when leading or tied in 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter = 3
Games leading at halftime that ended in a loss = 3
4TH QTR, +/-7 PTS = 22 comp, 47 att, 312 yards, 46.8%, 6.64 ypa, 1 TD, 0 int, 75.8 QB rating (80 yard completion to Hartline when Cardinals blew coverage letting him run free significantly skews
stats…otherwise has a 61.14 QB rating)
LAST 2 MIN. HALF = 6 comp, 19 att, 65 yards, 31.6%, 3.42 ypa, 0 TD, 1 int, 20.7 QB rating
OVERTIME = 4 comp, 7 att, 60 yards, 57.1%, 8.57 ypa, 0 TD, 1 int, 45.8 QB rating
Personally, I think Ryan Tannehill is more appeasing to the eye than Henne. He is more accurate with the long ball, skilled at making pre-snap reads, has a quicker release and throws a tight pass. He also wears a helmet that actually fits him. Henne was benefited by a stronger ground game, but Tannehill clearly has the better coaching staff. Miami definitely has the better defense in 2012 only giving up 18.6 ppg compared to 24.4 in 2009.
Of course, Henne was a 4 year starter in college and had a year to sit, watch and learn in the NFL. However, Tannehill was the son of a coach, was a 5th year senior and came into basically the same offensive system ran during his 5 years (including red-shirt season) at Texas A&M. So I don't see Tannehill as inexperienced as some claim him to be. He sure came in a lot more experienced than Cam Newton.
However, I have always considered franchise QBs to be the guys that can carry a team on their arm when needed and when the game is on the line just have that “it” factor when their game goes to another level and lead their team to victory. I am NOT saying Tannehill can’t become a franchise QB. I just don’t see him having EARNED that label yet. Usually, QBs come into the league with the “it” factor already. Very few that I can recall develop it while in the NFL.
But since so many dolphans claim that Miami has their franchise QB what exactly does that mean to you? Please, something more intelligent than “if you can’t just see it when he is on the field, then you are blind!”
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The thing that is the biggest difference between Tannehill and Henne is that Tannehill is running the offense, while Henne was just running the coaches offense.
Ray Lucas, MikeHoncho, Fin-Omenal and 2 others like this. -
yeah, when watching the actual game (not reviewing stats) you can see Tannehill is in command out there. That is a huge difference.
However i do also agree half a season does not a franchise QB make. Only time will tell.Ray Lucas likes this. -
Here's an angle. In 2009, not only was Chad Henne a 2nd-year NFL player, but if you check the game log, he had only three games out of 14 (21%) with a QB rating of 90 or higher. He had five games out of 14 (36%) with a QB rating below 70.
Ryan Tannehill, a true rookie this year, has already had four games out of seven (57%) with a QB rating of 90 or higher, and only two games of seven with a QB rating below 70 (29%). I'm not counting the Jets game because Tannehill barely played in it.
So, using this logic, Ryan Tannehill, even as a rookie in comparison to Chad Henne as a 2nd-year player, has given us far more frequent (57% to 21%) an opportunity to win games (QB rating of 90 or above) than Chad Henne did.
Conversely, Chad Henne, even as a 2nd-year player in comparison to Ryan Tannehill as a rookie, made it somewhat more difficult (36% to 29%) for us to win games (QB rating below 70) than Ryan Tannehill has.
So I think the upshot is that both the floor and the ceiling for Ryan Tannehill are higher than for Chad Henne. -
It is my opinion that Henne was more of a coach killer than the other way around. He has all the look of a quarterback who should succeed. However he is missing something that is hard to place exactly what it is. -
You would actually expect Henne's numbers to be better. The guy was a 4 year starter at Michigan. He should've been more "Pro Ready" than Tannehill. The fact that their numbers are pretty similar in a lot of areas (though Henne's YPA was 6.4 that year, which is pretty poor. Tannehill's is 7.3), says a lot to me.
It's all about consistency and improvement. Tannehill has progressed seemingly every week. Here's a neat little stat: Henne only had 3 games in 2009 where he posted a 90 or higher QB rating. Tannehill already has 4 of those game, and there are still 8 more games left to play. -
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DolfanTom likes this.
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I think decision making and accuracy is what really separates the two. Ryan Tannehill hasn't thrown an interception... since September. That's pretty impressive as a rookie who had little starting (quarterback) experience in college compared to the other top rated quarterbacks such as Luck and RG3.
Tannehill has a lot more leadership qualities than Henne as well... plus you can just tell by his demeanor pn the sidelines that the dude absolutely loves the game. -
For one, Tannehill started from day one, while Henne got to watch a very efficient Pennington for 20-plus games before starting. Secondly, it's Tannehill's command out there - he runs the offense, seems in charge, and his ball placement is better (though still needs improvement). Tannehill also throws the ball well on the run, keeps his eyes down field to help extend the play - a trait of some of the elite, seasoned QBs in the league.
I'll admit, Henne impressed me a lot in '09, and at the end of the year, I thought we had our QB. It didn't take long in 2010 to realize it wasn't happening. But looking at '09 knowing what I know now, I think Henne benefitted a lot by the threat of the running game too. Not that our running game is bad now, but it was really good in '09, Wildcat or not. Ronnie Brown was having a monster year before he got hurt, and Ricky was an amazing b/u. Henne also had a tough time w/ touch passes looking back too - I always thought he would get better, but never did.
And beyond that - it's jut the "it" factor that you see when you watch the games. It's that thing that you just know when you see it, and you know when you're missing it. Tanny has it, Henne didn't.Aqua4Ever04 likes this. -
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If you want an intangible i.e "eyeball test" difference between the two; Henne was deathly afraid of making a mistake. He was constantly checking down. Tannehill rarely checks down, hence the difference in YPA.
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If I remember correct Henne didn't seem like much of a leader starting out and the players didn't all accept him as leading the team the same way Tannehill appears to have stepped in being in charge of the offense and the players seem to accept him as a natural leader.
Still early though. -
As late as March of 2011, following Chad Henne's second year as a starter for us (third year as a pro), the feeling here was almost unanimous that he, too, was indeed our franchise QB of the future.
Our crystal ball here isn't real reliable.
The only way you're going to adjudicate this issue objectively is by comparing Ryan Tannehill on some reliable, objective measure(s) to the rookie seasons of QBs who went on to become franchise QBs. -
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Frumundah Finnatic and Conuficus like this.
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Plus they called long passes and Henne wouldn't pull the trigger. People can blame coaching all they want, however there was nothing that really proved it. Henne was not a gun slinger in college, despite what people try to convince themselves. -
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Tannehill's never made me (yet) pound my head against the wall in frustration in the same way Henne did practically every game. -
if you can’t just see it when he is on the field, then you are blind!
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All good and valid questions. I think Tannehill will prove to find long-term success where Henne couldn't. At least I hope so.
The number one thing Tannehill has to do if he wants to succeed where Henne failed: Have a TD/INT ratio > 1. After a rough start, he's heading in the right direction in that department. A good game this Sunday and he might get there. -
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Steve Young -- 56.9 (1-4) (after playing in the USFL for a while)
Troy Aikman -- 55.7 (0-11)
John Elway -- 54.9 (4-6)
Terry Bradshaw -- 30.4 (3-5)
Dan Fouts -- 46.0 (0-5-1)
And some current All Pro QBs:
Eli Manning -- 55.4 (1-6)
Matthew Stafford -- 61.0 (2-8)
Peyton Manning -- 71.2 (3-13)
I don't think there has ever been a rookie QB who EARNED the label of franchise QB in his first 8 starts. I think Tannehill has shown the qualities necessary to be able to become one though. -
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From what i've seen so far Tannehill has the makings of a franchise QB. However....I think he needs to have a strong season next year before he can be annoited such a praise. Too many QB' have bad sophmore seasons in the NFL. Even Matt Ryan had an off year his second season. Cam is struggling this year and Andy Dalton has simmered down a bit too. It's important that we continue to see growth in Tannehill these next few years. A player can flash as Henne did and give hope to a fan base but if they can't follow it up in the oncoming seasons they never make it.
I do think Chad Henne can still be a good QB and I also think he's the best option for Jacksonville going forward. It's possible that we gave up on Henne too soon but i'll still take the upside of Tannehill over Henne any day of the week. Thing is in my opinion if Chad Henne is Ryan Tannehills floor then we are doing ok.
In conclusion I think Ryan Tannehills ceiling is that of Matt Ryan. That is the QB who he reminds me of the most where Chad Henne at best could end up being Matt Shaub. It's just way to early to call Ryan Tannehill anything right now. I'm just hoping he continues to have good games and if he can get through year 2 unscathed without injury and without folding under the over bearing expectations (there will be some) he is going to be our franchise QB.
I think he is deserving of the same chances that Henne got though, and that is providing him with a viable number 1 option at receiver to see how he does. -
He's an absolute eye test player when it comes to his ceiling, Meaning, I'm sure you see things that a stat cannot measure. -
IMO Luck has played in a way that's far less "special" as a rookie than many QBs who were considered to have nowhere near the potential.
I think you have to consider that the good ol' "eyeball test" may be influenced by whom you're watching. If you were watching "John Doe" do the same things Andrew Luck has (the game against us notwithstanding), you may have a different impression. -
At some point in evaluation, once you see what it is your looking for, you don't need to see anymore,you just let it evolve, and surround.
He has a very legitimate chance of having the best rookie Qb season ever..I think that's franchise caliber..
I'm very excited about Tannehill because of how he looked and competed side by side with a player that I believe is already elite. -
No doubt Luck is gonna be hyped up but his team is winning and the coach going through what he's going through is no doubt some heralded drama that the media tends to blow up. In all reality though Andrew Luck is kind of what Lebron James was in terms of the chosen one. Forget that Chris Bosh, Dwayne Wade, and Carmelo Anthony were in the same draft as Lebron. Any one of them would have been number 1 overall picks any other year in the draft. As far as Tannehill goes...So maybe Luck is Lebron but hopefully Tannehill is D Wade (assuming RG3 is Melo) and if thats the case we still have ourselves one hell of a franchise player. What am I really saying though??? It's early as hell.
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