Very straightforward question and there's no basis here for what is "better" or "worse" (QBR, games won, comebacks, command of the pocket or whatever)....that's completely your call on how you rate those sorts of things overall.
I simply want to know if you expect our next QB to play better or worse in 2019 than Tannehill did this season.
Will our next QB play better or worse than RT did last year?
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Absolutely!
16 vote(s)55.2% -
No Chance!
13 vote(s)44.8%
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2019 build the lines as best as possible and target the future Qb in 2020.Last edited: Jan 5, 2019Fin-O, Tin Indian, resnor and 1 other person like this. -
I think there's equal chance he's better or worse since Tannehill is statistically an average QB.
I'd prefer to have a 3rd option of "not sure" here because that's where I stand.Tin Indian, Bumrush, jdallen1222 and 3 others like this. -
If it's a Vet I'd expect him to play better right out the gate or, why bother. If it's a rookie I'd expect him to play worse but, show steady improvement or, the search continues.
KeyFin likes this. -
I think Tannehill has done better than he should given the team around him. Moving on is fine, but again, I don't think the reasons are primarily his level of play.Mcduffie81, TopLoader and KeyFin like this. -
Tin Indian, KeyFin and Surfs Up 99 like this.
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So you and I have different opinions about this, but as sample size increases simple stats like passer rating have a high correlation to who most people think are the best QB's and I don't think Tannehill is some weird exception to the rule.Bumrush, jdallen1222, Pauly and 1 other person like this. -
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I am kind of in the middle like cbrad, but I selected NO CHANCE. My reasoning is most likely the QB will be learning a lot of new things like their new coaches, perhaps a new system, and new teammates. Considering our QB options will be limited, I don't anticipate us being able to snag a legitimate franchise QB and we will most likely have a bridge QB to hold us over. If we are able to grab a guy who is a legitimate developmental guy who has a strong chance to become the QB we all hope for, then that would be stoked because that would be the most exciting for me. I am just looking for steady improvement game after game, year after year.
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I think that our starting QB in 2019 will absolutely be worse than Ryan Tannehill, if that's the question. Probably less skilled, and also likely with a worse team around him as we tear things down.
Now, if the question is whether our next long term starter is better than RT, that's a bigger one. RT is easily the third best QB in Dolphins history. He started 88 games over six seasons, with solid production every year after his rookie season. -
The reason I'm asking is because the #1 reason I've seen here for these changes is that we're sick of mediocrity. I think the odds are favorable that we'll be below that standard next season without having any more answers than we have today. So what happens when we're 4-12 at the end of 2019 if people are going berserk over 7-9 this year?
Okay, the 4-12 gets us a great prospect in one of the best QB drafts in awhile. Yay! The Jets did that and went 4-12. Buffalo did that and went 6-10. Are we happy in 2020 with a possible QB of the future when we're still only winning 5 games?
Stay with me for just a few more seconds....
The reason this matters is because if Ross, the fans or anyone is going to throw temper tantrums over 7-9, I just about guarantee you that it will be downright ugly once we turn into the new Cleveland (circa 2016). That means the coach we're about to hire doesn't matter because he will be fired within 24 months no matter what. That tells me the GM doesn't matter because he's following that guy right out the door. And while we may finally have our quarterback (cBrad gave it a 25% chance that a high 1st rounder develops), we likely won't be back to 2018's mediocre levels for a good 3-5 seasons.
Now, I may not be the sharpest tool in the shed, but if I can follow that line of thinking then I think anyone qualified to coach a NFL team will see the exact same pattern. Forget about our "wish list" for head coaches because none of them are dumb enough to become the new Cleveland. Heck, maybe Rizzi even says no. Because once you hire that coach who doesn't have a QB and doesn't have even a prospect to hope for in 2019, we're pretty much screwed without Tannehill or a similar veteran.
I just wanted to make sure that everyone fully realizes what they're asking for- we're currently on the path to re-enter the dark ages of Dolphins football. And I just don't see a path forward without a legit starting QB by 2020.resnor and Surfs Up 99 like this. -
KeyFin, Surfs Up 99 and pumpdogs like this.
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I am wholly, 100% in favor of burning the entire thing to the ground and starting over, with the exception of trying to extend Tunsil, Howard and a few key others. Of fielding a team likely to win two to four games next season.
I wanted to give the offense one more shot to show that they could be good. I liked RT, Drake, Parker, and Stills, and was eager to see the new additions of Wilson and Gesicki. But Gase's offense is just awful, so it sucked, and its time to abandon ship and start totally over. All of it.
I am totally opposed to drafting a QB high this year, because I don't really like any of the options, and the 2020 class should be much better, possibly with four QBs better than anyone in 2019. So I see us signing a mediocre veteran as the starter on a one or two year deal, and he likely plays fairly poorly given his own skills and who he has helping him. We bottom out, and draft one in the first round after that. -
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Yeah, Tannehill has put up average stats. But to sit here and act like these Dolphins teams haven't been overall below average is just silly.KeyFin and adamprez2003 like this. -
Really it's just the OL where you can argue has stayed bad. But again it's worth noting that when a QB changes teams sack% is more highly correlated before and after the switch, than Comp%, Y/A, TD% or INT%. In other words, the QB is often a major reason for that QB's sack%. Can't just pin it all on the OL. And we all see how bad pocket presence Tannehill has so the stats jibe with observation.
Point is, IMO it's completely untenable to argue Tannehill has just been in such a bad situation regarding his coaching and surrounding cast that he just can't develop to his potential. Nah.. he DID develop to his potential, which is mediocre.Losferwords and The Guy like this. -
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He had the same oline and receivers on the road as he did at home. Tannehill just shrinks in big games, road games, @ Buffalo. I 100% believe if we drafted lets say Baker Mayfield he would get more out of this team than Tannehill. Not saying we're playoff bound but maybe he throws more TD's than int's, maybe his qb rating is a respectable 85+ that would be a start. -
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your poll answers are awful for the question... am i answering absolutely for better or worse? am i answering no chance for better or worse?
make a proper poll with proper answers.
Will the next QB better or worse than Thill?
option 1 better
option 2 worse -
What if this is the true state of affairs:
Tannehill on a poor team -- passer rating around 88.
Tannehill on an average team -- passer rating around 94.
Tannehill on a great team -- passer rating around 100.
Great QB on a poor team -- passer rating around 100.
Great QB on an average team -- passer rating around 106.
Great QB on a great team -- passer rating around 112.
So, if that's the true state of affairs, you can see how Tannehill limits a team. The team has to be great for him to play at a level associated with Super Bowl contention.
With a great QB by contrast, the team can be poor and he nonetheless plays at a level associated with Super Bowl contention. -
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I know you're being sarcastic, but if that were actually true, then Tannehill couldn't possibly be responsible for his own good play, as well. That would always be a product of the rest of the team.
If his poor play is the fault of something else, then his good play has to be attributed to the same thing.
So whoever attributes Tannehill's poor play to something else is implicitly limiting the responsibility that can be ascribed to him for his good play, as well. For them, implicitly, Tannehill can never be good in his own right.Sceeto likes this. -
lol.. love the responses in this thread about how the poll is not worded well. However, Agua I think hit it on the nail and since no one seemed to appreciate it, let me do so.
Agua said:
That's what Agua is saying. That there is actually a "correct" answer to this poll question: ABSOLUTELY the next QB will play better OR worse than Tannehill last year, excepting of course the extremely slim probability he plays exactly the same. lol.. thinking like a mathematician.Agua likes this.
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