http://www.mlive.com/spartans/index.ssf/2015/06/former_michigan_state_star_ton.html
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Trae Waynes was the one player I did not want in the first. If Lippet turns out to be better at 6'3", then the Denzel Perryman debate is over before it starts (and I don't care if Phillips busts or not).
I'm sorry but this draft could put Hickey in rarified air... -
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There's nothing wrong with handing out a "C" grade. The fact that a "C" grade is being defended as "not being that bad" is evidence that grade inflation has taken such a strong hold that grades are meaningless. Not that they are particularly meaningful regardless of grade inflation. History will tell the draft's true grade. Otherwise the grade is purely a percentage indicator of how much the team's thinking lined up with your own.
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According to the above you can make the "right pick" and have it be the wrong player and that's absolutely true. So if the player busts in 5 years or you chose not to select a guy that turned out to be a Pro-Bowler, you don't criticize the pick however, you criticize the strategy that led to that pick and therefore alter that strategy accordingly. The strategy is certainly dynamic in that manor and as I said, multi-dimensional consider it will vary based on how much risk a team wants to take on.
Now, if you're grading player evaluation, a team doesn't have to draft a player at all. The evaluator just needs access to what the team thought of a guy--the team's evaluation of a prospect. You can then compare that to how well the player is playing in 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, etc. The team might've been dead on when it came to predicting D-line success but they choose to draft LB and were wrong in their evals in that area.
Again...are we talking about player evaluation pre-draft or decision making under uncertainty? Your answer will dictate how you judge the team's actions.mbsinmisc likes this. -
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It can be useful if you trust the opinions of the person doing the grading. If I'm not a guy that evaluates players (and therefore I don't trust my own uninformed opinion), but I do like and trust Mike Mayock as an evaluator, then I'd like to know how he grades my team's draft because it will tell me how much my team's draft lined up with Mayock's evaluations. And since I like and trust Mayock's evaluation skills, that can be useful.Mile High Fin, mbsinmisc and SICK like this. -
Any decision you make with imperfect knowledge should be re-evaluated later on after you have more information to see if you used the information available in a smart way. For example, if you chose to draft QB A over QB B because you thought stat X was more important than stat Y, and you later find out the opposite is true, then you have to re-evaluate. That is, the way you grade "decision making under uncertainty" depends on how close to optimal the information could have been used, and since you don't know that in general, outcomes always matter. -
Yeah, if all your picks end up badly, it would seem to indicate that your evaluation of the available information when you draft, was faulty. It would indicate that you need to change how you evaluate.
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