From the start of his pro career, I have seen a lot of potential in Ryan Tannehill. Great pre-snap reads, a tough QB with great vision, and a true playmaker when he’s given enough time. I’m not going to mention his shortcomings because I don’t want to start yet another debate, but instead I wanted to point out four things that have to change in 2014 for Miami to make the playoffs.
1) Better Accuracy over the Middle
One point that I disagree with almost everyone here on is that Tannehill and Wallace need to figure out the deep ball. Don’t get me wrong, it would be great if he could hit him in stride on every attempt, but Wallace actually scored more TD’s in Pitt with short passes over the middle. This was a route that was never even attempted under the prior OC, however, because it’s Ryan’s lowest percentage pass. Now, before people start showing me stats on how accurate Tannehill was over the middle, I want to point out that there’s a big difference between a PERFECT slant pass and a CATCHABLE one.
I wish I could embed NFL videos, but here’s what a slant pass to a speedy Mike Wallace should look like- [video]http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-game-highlights/09000d5d813ac3e8/Mike-Wallace-40-yd-TD[/video]
If the receiver has to reduce speed, jump in the air, try to turn around or do anything other than run full speed for the opposite sideline, then the ball is not where it should be. Wallace only got that big gain because he was hit in stride, and this is a great way to get him involved early. In this fast-tempo offense, those types of throws will be critical and it will be Landry’s bread and butter as well. He has to be perfect on these throws more often than not, and it may be his biggest challenge this season.
2) Protecting the Football
Nobody wants their QB to be the NFL sack leader, and most of us realize that a lot of that came from a horrible offensive line. Tannehill was forced to believe that scrambling was out of the question as well, which made him regress more than anything last season. Even though that will change in 2014, he still needs to protect the football better when he’s pressured.
[video]http://www.buccaneers.com/multimedia/videos/DT-Gerald-McCoy-strip-sack/4b9a7695-0224-41cc-bd32-f20b1bf43382[/video]
In the Tampa pre-season game, we saw McCoy bust through the line almost untouched- which is not a QB issue at all. Tannehill tries to make a last second juke, however, and in the process the ball comes away from his body. When a 300+ pound defender karate chops your arm and rakes his hand all the way up to your wrist, that ball is going to be on the ground every time. So he has to learn this sooner rather than later…wrap up the ball and fall on it, then let your lineman get cussed out.
3) Closing Out Games
The main reason I didn’t want to talk about 2012 or 2013 was because I’m almost convinced that Sherman, Tannehill’s biggest supporter, didn’t fully trust his QB. We ran the same couple of formations for two years straight and Tannehill was almost robotic in some of his motions, because that’s exactly how he was coached to be. What he did last year was almost a miracle in that offense, and it gives us reason to be very hopeful, but the fact of the matter is that he has yet to prove himself in the 4th quarter when everything is on the line.
With the new spread offense, I believe that we are going to see a lot of creativity this season and there will be a lot more scoring opportunities. At the same time, Tannehill is going to be in the spotlight more than ever and he has to make those critical throws down the stretch. A run game will help alleviate a lot of that pressure and his mobility will keep the linebackers honest early on, but the spread offense is a gimmick just like the Wildcat or anything else you can name.
Eventually, the defenses will catch up and that’s when we will see what Ryan Tannehill is really made of. I personally think that he will become a long-term answer after this season…but I’m also basing that on blind faith and hope. In any case, I believe that we will know for sure by about week 10.
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You don't say that your QB has no problems with 2 minute drills when you're one of the lowest scoring offenses in the league though. -
2 minute drill and total scoring output are two separate things. The unfair or false perception is that Tannehill is not clutch however given the ball with a field goal or touchdown to win or keep us in the game, he has more often than not delivered. Has he failed, yes but even the greats don't have a 100% success rate. Bottom line is he's more clutch than given credit for.
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I'll give my four...
1. Anticipation
2. Consistency in Decision Making
3. Deep Ball to Wallace (better trajectory is something I've argued )
4. Playmaking with his feet
I like RT, always have...but like most QBs entering year 3 he has some wrinkles to iron out.Sceeto likes this. -
You nailed it with being specific with #3. I think it's a huge misconception that Tanne can't hit the deep ball. That's not true. It's only Wallace he can't connect with.
vt_dolfan likes this. -
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If I were the coaching staff I'd put together a video of every deep pass Ryan has hit from college to now. Make him watch it. It may be a short video who knows, I think he needs to see that he can hit the pass with consistency.
I think his problem with Wallace is he thinks before je throws. -
I agree with 1 and 2 though the video's showed contradict the statements.
1. Wallace was not hit in stride, he had to get off the ground and that's not the definition of "hit in stride," where the receiver continues to run and the ball hits him in the cradle and he doesn't lose stride. I do agree that Tannehill often puts the ball in places that leaves receivers susceptible to injury (Keller, Hartline).
2. Tannehill did do a juke move but Dallas Thomas lost containment after 1.2 seconds and you could see McCoy's right hand rise high over his head and come down hard to swat the ball. So he did not lose the ball "in the process of" the Juke move. However, I agree that he could have recognized the missed block and thrown it over the head to the sideline or fetal positioned and went to his knees. On a side note, Kudos to Sattele for trying to help and had the ball bounced his way he could have recovered the fumble. -
There is one big one for me:
1. Better game management, or more specifically better risk management. Throwing that deep ball to Hartline in the Jets OT game when we were already in game winning field goal range was a huge no-no. Just inexcusably poor risk management. Sliding feet first a yard short of the line to gain with the playoffs on the line (again against the Jets) is another example. You never see good QBs make mistakes like these. Tannehill has poor throttle control if you will, he's pretty good when we're a score down and he absolutely needs to go 100%, but if we're slightly in the lead or even tied he doesn't push hard enough. The team is not immune to this either. Who are you going to play harder for, the guy that picks the ball up off the turf and dives over the pile into the end zone, or the guy that slides just short of the first down?
Sadly, I don't believe risk management is something you can learn to be good at either. -
In the same category as decision making for me, some of his choices have puzzled us. -
IMO the areas that Tannehill needs to improve most are as follows:
Knowing when to run with the ball: IMO this is number 1 and it opens everything else up. I see it as the biggest difference between him and guys like Wilson and Luck. I don't want him to run a lot, but the threat has to be real. And when the D drops everybody back or is undisciplined in their rush lanes I want RT to make them pay by picking up plus yardage.
Making the right reads: I didn't see this as a big issue under Sherman. He knew the O well enough that I felt his reads were pretty good. But he's in a new system now. It's a QB friendly system so it shouldn't be insurmountable. There were definitely some issues this preseason with his pre-snap reads. Kelly's offense was basically an easy math problem. Where you pick run or pass depending on where you have the favorable numbers. He seemed to make some poor choices this preseason where he picked run into a stacked D or passed when the D was sitting back in the lanes.
Hitting Wallace deep: Sometimes you have to let it rip and let him run to it and sometimes he's so wide you can underthrow it safely. It seemed to me that the issue has gotten into his head so much that he tries to just throw it as far as possible without even looking at the WR. You have to do that on some plays with more backfield action, but not always. I don't think we need a ton of success, but we need some. IMO if they hit 4 +40 or so yard TDs this year that would be enough. Obviously more would be better, but assuming they try an average of one per game and hit one every four games or so that 25% rate would be acceptable to me. Add in another +4 TDs on some shorter passes or the crossing routes that the OP mentioned and you'd get an 8 - 10 TD year probably 1200 yards from Wallace. -
i want to see better finish. Touchdowns instead of field goals. Field goals instead of drives flaming out 5 yards away from field goal range. It always seems we are 5 yards away from scoring. I think Lazor will help in this regard with better spacing and better playcalling.
One thing I don't care about? The ****ing deep ball. I'm so ****ing tired of hearing about the ****ing deep ball. He is an average deep ball thrower, let's all move the **** on. Build on the kids strengths instead of constantly trying to fix/talking about a weakness.MAFishFan, Colorado Dolfan, Bruzer and 1 other person like this. -
Tannehill protected the ball pretty damn well under the circumstances. Inadvertently, that god-awful o-line has turned him into a better scrambler and made him an absolute gun on the rollouts. These are curses converted to blessings.
The main criticisms I have with Ryan, and these are perhaps play-calling criticisms that he cannot answer for, but alas they are that 1) he doesn't make more use out of those amazing legs (not talking about Lauren), and 2) He may be a short-passer, and that's fine but he still needs to be able to go for the deep ball and connect more consistently. If he is on the money and Wallace drops or doesn't fight or whatever, then that'll be on Mike and not him but as it stands they are equal parts to blame for the deep threat not being realized. -
One thing I'm wondering about is if this throwing to a spot business is for everybody. I would guess some QBs would be better off throwing to a spot and others would be horrible at it but is it reasonable to assume it doesn't matter that much for Tannehill?
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PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member
MAFishFan likes this. -
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PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member
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Sceeto likes this.
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Step 2: Catch the ball.
Step 3: Profit.
He's got 1 & 3 covered.Rocky Raccoon and unifiedtheory like this. -
PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member
Andrew Abramson @AbramsonPBP · 8m
Lazor on why haven't shown more fast-paced O: We have decisions we have to make, strategy how we approach each game, will keep to ourselvesColorado Dolfan likes this. -
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1) I believe several of Tannehilll's deep passes to Wallace were catchable. No, not perfect by any means, but Wallace didn't fight for them either. Heck, there were 3 this preseason alone...one he lost in the lights, one he made no attempt on (the one just out of bounds), and the 3rd he was held (w/ no flag).
2) When Tannehill hits Clay, Hartline, or anyone else deep, it's not a designed play (well, maybe a few to Clay were). In most cases though, it's pure reaction and he usually nails it. With Wallace, on the other hand, he's in the pocket looking for it and he doesn't have the time to throw it...so it's a forced attempt. I believe this improves with better protection.
3) I don't think the key to Mike Wallace is getting him 3 deep TD's per game. Again, it would be wonderful, but not that realistic because the guy isn't going to run sprints every play until the ball connects. Wallace is frustrated, but that will change by getting him more involved. Letting him get some chunk yards through better play calling is what will get him motivated again, and eventually the long ball will come. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if they connect in week one, so I don't think it's as big of a factor as we make it out to be.PhinFan1968 likes this. -
The key with Tannehill is that he has to recognize which reads are going to be options for throwing the ball based on a smaller amount of visual information available to him very early after the snap.
Part of the issue last year was that he was taking too long to determine whether his primary read was an option, which let the pass rush get to him. He needs to be able to determine whether his primary read is an option very quickly after the snap, and then either make the pass to that read or move on through his progression immediately.
You can't take as long as he took to determine whether the primary read is an option and expect not to pay for that with sacks, as quick as defenses and defensive linemen are in today's game. All that stuff has to happen very quickly.Sceeto, djphinfan, Fin-Omenal and 1 other person like this. -
By far the #1 area Ryan Tannehill has to improve is his play from the pocket. He posted a top QB Rating on passes attempted outside the tackles but he posted a bottom ten rating on passes attempted within the pocket. Some of that was undoubtedly because of last years shoddy OL but Ryan should be much better then that. It will be worrisome if it continues mainly because the tools are there and the OL is at least average now imo. If it does continue I think it would speak to something else, namely accuracy and footwork which are, in almost any case, tied together for a QB. For instance, when he was throwing deep last year, you could see his feet were spread wider causing him to open his hips too wide. Thats one of the things that cause the inaccuracy on his deep passes.
IMO the pocket play is the #1 thing. The NFL passing game has always been played from the pocket primarily and always will be played from the pocket imo. In order for Ryan to take that next step, its got to start there. -
PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member
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I've said for a while that he is a top 5 intermediate passer, I haven't dug up any stats to back this up but I have seen every throw he has ever made in this league.
Evolving other parts of his game is what Lazor needs to shoot for. -
vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member
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vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member
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I think Phins need him to execute the new quirks the offense has added, which is basically timely accurate throws.
But as far as his improvement, that is an entirely different story and it maybe at odds with the system requirements.
He needs to become excellent at reading defenses pre snap especially front 7, to know at all times where the pressure is coming from, and who the hot read is.
And he needs to become a gamer. He must see favorable match ups and take advantage, he must be able to hit a guy for a long gain even that is not a hot read. I saw Matt Moore this preseason abandon what the defense was giving him, he had a guy in the flat or on the sit, but went deep to one on one coverage even with the safety over and delivered. I think that is what Tannehill admires about Moore, when they watch film, he sees a guy who has balls of steel.
And to do that he needs to develop a touch, to throw the ball with just enough air under it, whether it's over the LB in the middle or over the corner at the boundary.
This is a lot of improvement to expect in one year. I don't expect it, but I expect strides. -
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