No. 1 seed — Patriots (11-2): The game coming up against Denver is huge. What's left: at DEN, NYJ, at MIA
No. 2 seed — Chiefs (10-3): It doesn’t look like we can overtake the Chiefs: The Chiefs beating Tennesse and Denver would give us be a nice push in the right direction. What's left: TEN, DEN, at SD
No. 3 seed — Steelers (8-5): A loss at Cincy and/or Baltimore all but dooms them since we own the tie breaker on head to head. Then beating Baltimore is our best medicine. What's left: at CIN, BAL, CLE
No. 4 seed — Texans (7-6): The one division that really doesn’t matter. Would like them to beat Tenn. What's left: JAX, CIN, at TEN
No. 5 seed — Raiders (10-3): The match up with Denver is the big. What's left: at SD, IND, at DEN
No. 6 seed — Broncos (8-5): Denver still holds this spot over Miami despite the loss at Tennessee because of the common-games tiebreaker. Their whole finishing slate is brutal. What's left: vs. NE, at KC, vs. OAK. We need them to finish 1-2 to realistically have a shot if we drop one game.
No. 7 Dolphins (8-5): Jets looked terrible last week. It is a conference game and away, but I think Matt will do Moore than enough. What’s left: Jets, Bills, NE
No. 8 Ravens (7-6): Crushing defeat that they may not bounce back from. The injury to Jimmy Smith could have a major effect on their defense. When he’s not in they are a different team. What’s left: Philly, at Steelers, at Bengals
No. 9 Titans (7-6), Although Tennessee beat Denver, its best path is still beating out Houston in the South. Another loss and they are done.
No. 10 Colts (6-7): Indianapolis is a longer shot in that division now.
Who's still alive — Bills (6-7), Bengals (5-7-1), Chargers (5-8): Cincinnati is working to finish strong for Marvin Lewis. Injuries are preventing San Diego from doing the same for Mike McCoy. Buffalo can't do much for Rex Ryan.
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But against Oakland that's not the case. The common games are: Ravens, @Broncos, vs. Texans and vs. Bills. NE will be 3-1 (lost to Bills) while Oakland is currently 3-0 playing @Broncos in week 17.
That means Oakland could get the #1 seed if they win out and NE loses any of their last 3 games.Hoops likes this. -
Eh i hope the patriots are resting their players on week 17.. gotta take care of the jets first tho..
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All of this is moot if we cannot run the ball. We are 4-1 the last 5 games and have squeaked by games. Yes they have found ways to win, but how long does that last? They need to have their identity, what they had with those three straight home wins. I think Miami needs a new ID, and that is slinging the rock. Many teams have that and then use the run effectively inbetween. Pats do it, Pack do it. If teams are teeing off the run and daring us to pass, we have to do that. Hell , we have the WRs to do this. If they cant run block, then pass block. Who has enough corners to cover our three WRs. For us to be a playoff team, they must have an ID. Backing into the playoffs (even with wins) is a waste. Id rather lose the games instead of masking deficiencies
Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkFinster likes this. -
I'll take a W any way I can get it. If we beat the Jets 9-6 in an overtime game, that's fine by me. Of course, i'd love to go in there and smash them, but a win is a win. We need some other teams to lose because as much as i'd like to see us win out, it's going to be tough with Matt Moore. We can go 10-6, and we can be a playoff team.
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Unlucky 13 likes this.
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So basically the pats are very likely to be playing for something week 17 and we may be trotting out matt moore to face them
Ehh
I have a hard time believing we win at buffalo with matt moore let alone vs the pats week 17 with something to play for
Heres hoping tannehills ready week 17 -
so if pats lose next 3 and we win out, we got the division?
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Let's go down the rabbit hole on this. What if we are 10-6, Denver has lost to Pats and Chefs, and we are in. We could rest guys, or try and beat the Pats to knock them out of the #1 seed, right? Assuming the Raiders win out?
Would 11-5 get us to the #5 seed and a match-up versus the AFCSouth winner? I don't care who wins that division, it would be the easiest potential win of the wild card weekend. -
Anyway, to the 11-5 question it all depends on what the Chiefs do. If the Chiefs only beat Denver, then they are also 11-5 and get the other WC. Conference record is tied so it goes to common games and we do beat them there if we win out. Common games are: Jets, Chargers, Steelers, Titans, with us playing the Jets twice and them playing the Chargers twice. If they only beat Denver that means their common games record is 2-3 while if we win out for us it's 4-1.
So IF the Chiefs only beat Denver the rest of the way, then we get the #5 seed. Otherwise if they win at least 2, then they'd be 12-4 with the #5 seed.Last edited: Dec 15, 2016 -
Here is what I got from the Playoff Machine:
AFC Tiebreakers
- 1st Seed - New England
AFC East Champ
Wins tie break over Kansas City based on best win percentage in common games. - 2nd Seed - Kansas City
AFC West Champ (Wins tie break over Oakland based on head-to-head win percentage.)
KeyFin likes this. - 1st Seed - New England
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Brasfin likes this.
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I guess we'll just have to wait a couple more weeks to find out.cbrad likes this. -
Fake it till you make it. I'd rather them stumble as far into the playoffs as possible. Move the stick forwards. Breaking .500 is a sorry measuring stick. Good teams mask deficiencies and play to the weakness of their opponent. Our D needs work and depth, but our offense was starting to flourish. -
There are lots of ways to judge the season, but I've personally already witnessed enough to say that our team is starting to become a legitimate contender. Patch up the defense, start building depth, and enjoy the youthful team we've put together. The measure of success will only grow in the coming years....regardless if we make the playoffs this season or not.LI phinfan likes this. -
I'm calling it out with this anti Jinx, in an effort to derail an otherwise impending outcome, that we are being insidiously drawn from the solitude of our pessimistic lair, only to be shanghai'd in a devastating loss the Jets, a flatulent drubbing by the Bills, and then in a demoralizing horror show, experience the final outrage of losing in contemporary Dolphin style to a pared down, backup staffed Patriot squad.
Remember, this may be a new coach, but this is still the same team that for better or worse you hitched your wagon to, the same team that cursed season after cursed season you've watched the wheels come off, and drag your team and dream into a ditch, the one we would again be destined to reside in til August.
Let us hope this team is cleansed.Last edited: Dec 16, 2016 -
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My big worry is the weather conditions in week 16. ****ing Buffalo... when are they moving to a dome in london?
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cbrad and Aqua4Ever04 like this.
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PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member
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jdallen1222 likes this.
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PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member
Preferring losing to doing the SAME THING 31 other teams do (mask deficiencies), I wonder what that feels like.
You make the playoffs, by winning 2/3 of your last 3 games (DIVISION games, 2 on the road, no less), and end up with a 4-2 divisional record, you earned it...period. -
Go Patriots? Yuck...I'll just pretend I'm watching the Giants against the Broncos. Same colors!
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Colmax likes this.
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